college wager for wednesday

jellobiafra · 03-18-09, 09:12 AM

I'm actually fading you on this one. I haven't really handicapped it, though. I like to go through the matchup page for every game on covers.com and check the team expert picks. If I see a game with an overwhelming advantage for one team from both team's "experts", I will usually play it. This game had 7 team expert picks last I checked and they all had Evansville covering 6.5. I put a small wager down based soley on that. BOL to you though.

G's pks · 03-18-09, 10:35 AM

Interesting...just ran a test I use on it...even using Evansville as the home team///Belmont showing a slight edge... Might look into Belmont here...thanks...

DennisT · 03-18-09, 11:08 AM

Not too terribly worried.

Going to take Belmont and lay 6 1/2. Logical.

DennisT · 03-18-09, 11:14 AM

Sorry.

Turn last post around. New at this. Learning computers for first time. Take Belmot + 6 1/2.

jellobiafra · 03-18-09, 03:42 PM

It will be interesting to see how this one turns out. I just checked the count of "team expert" picks on covers again. It's now 11-1 in favor of Evansville covering. This doesn't necessarily mean anything, but I find that when the consensus is that strong (and this is an unusually strong one) it's a decent bet that they are right. We shall see.... BOL.

bostonboss · 03-18-09, 05:33 PM

when i run the numbers i get belmont being a 3 point favorite.....evansville has one major player shy ely....i just think belmont's offense will be too much....if evansville does win i don't see it being by more than 7....i bet the game last night at +7 now they are currently +6

jellobiafra · 03-18-09, 09:52 PM

Excellent job capping this one fellas. Hats off to you.

bostonboss · 03-18-09, 10:11 PM

thank you..

tblueeyes · 03-18-09, 10:20 PM

nice job boston, didnt realize you started a thread...i cashed on this 2....easy money baby!

bostonboss · 03-18-09, 10:30 PM

very easy.....ya i started it late last night....was the only game i really liked. congratulations.

tblueeyes · 03-18-09, 10:35 PM

Originally posted by bostonboss

very easy.....ya i started it late last night....was the only game i really liked. congratulations.

gotcha...

bostonboss · 03-18-09, 10:36 PM

i'll have my early play for tomorrow up after the houston/oregon state game...

Seattle Slew · 03-18-09, 11:44 PM

Great pick. This was the first time I played a board pick without research since your analysis seemed very knowledgable.

My own pick tonight was a brutal beat, Duquesne +7.5, losing by 8 in double OT.

bostonboss · 03-18-09, 11:56 PM

i've been burned many times by the half point......now i just buy a half to make it a round number to be safe...rather be pushed than shoved