tblueyes LEANS/PLAYS THURSDAY 3/12/09

[tblueeyes]

Lean:
C. Mich -1

Cent Mich.@w. mich 71-68 won (covered)
tol 59-44 won (covered)
e. mich 56-57 lost (no cover)
no. illi 63-44 won (covered)
@kst 57-61 lost (covered)
miami oh 57-55 won (covered)

CMICH are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Mid-American

CMICH 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.


Ball St:
@w. mich82-84 lost (covered)
@tol 67-71 lost (no cover)
e. mich 53-55 OT lost (no cover)
@no.illi 55-56 lost (covered)
kst 56-63 lost (no cover)
@miami oh 41-59 lost (no cover)


Ball st is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as an underdog.
Ball st. 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.

[tblueeyes]

Lean:
Northwestern +2

Northwestern:
@ ohio st 47-52 lost (covered)
@ ind 75-53 won (covered)
mich 67-70 lost (no line)
illi 59-60 lost (no cover)

NWEST are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Thu. games.


Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as an underdog.

Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.

Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.


Minnesota
@ohio st 58-64 lost (no cover)
ind 62-54 won (covered)
mich 64-67 lost (no cover)
@illi 41-52 lost (no cover)


Golden Gophers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as a favorite.

Golden Gophers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. loss.

Golden Gophers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Golden Gophers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games.

Golden Gophers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

Golden Gophers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big Ten.

[tblueeyes]

Lean:
St Louis(no line yet) projected +7

@duq68-70 lost (covered)
dayt 57-49 won (covered)
st joe 73-71 won (covered(
char 69-61 won (covered)
duq 78-74 OT won (covered)

STL are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

STL are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. Atlantic 10.

STL are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 Thu. games.

Billikens are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Billikens are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Billikens are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.

Billikens are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. Atlantic 10.


Xavier:
@duq 68-72 lost (no cover)
@day 58-71 lost (no cover)
@st joe 68-54 won (covered)
@char 60-65 lost (no cover)
@duq 68-72 lost (no cover)

XAVER are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 Thu. games.

[tblueeyes]

Lean:
Kansas (no line yet)


Baylor
neb 62-66 lost (no cover)
@iast 62-71 lost (no cover)
@ok st 74-84 lost (no cover)
okl 63-78 lost (no cover)
@txtch 76-83 lost (no cover)
misso. 72-89 lost (no cover)

BAY are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games overall.

Bears are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games overall.

Bears are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 vs. Big 12.

Bears are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Bears are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.


Kansas
neb 70-53 won (covered)
iast 72-55 won (push)
ok st 78-67 won (covered)
@okl 87-78 won (covered)
@txtch 65-84 lost (no cover)
misso. 90-65 won (covered)

Jayhawks are 17-4-1 ATS in their last 22 vs. Big 12.

KAN are 24-7-1 ATS in their last 32 games overall.

[tblueeyes]

Lean:
Ole Miss +6.5

1/27/09
ol miss 85 (home)
kent 80


Ole miss
misst 80-82 lost (no cover)
@ark 98-91 OT won (covered)
geor. 69-47 won (covered)
tenn. 81-65 won (covered)
@lsu 66-73 lost (covered)
@vandy 61-71 lost (no cover)

Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.

Rebels are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss.

Rebels are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.

Rebels are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.

Kentucky:
misst 57-66 lost (no cover)
@ark 79-63 won (covered)
geor 85-90 lost (no cover)
tenn. 77-58 won (covered)
lsu 70-73 lost (no cover)
@vandy 67-77 lost (no cover)

Wildcats are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games.

Wildcats are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.

Wildcats are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.

Wildcats are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Wildcats are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.Wildcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.

Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Southeastern.


(one of my favorite leans so far)

[tblueeyes]

Lean:
Tulsa(no line, but will be favored)

3/7/09
rice 50 (home)
tulsa 60

Rice:
@mars 62-76 lost (no cover)
hou 51-56 lost (covered)
@cflr 69-66 won (covered)
@smu 66-69 lost (covered)
utep 58-67 lost (no cover)

Owls are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings.


Tulsa:
@mars 73-57 won (covered)
hou 77-68 won (covered)
@cflr 72-74 lost (no cover)
@smu 74-64 won (covered)
utep 76-65 won (covered)

Favorite is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.


Golden Hurricane are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Golden Hurricane are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.

[MrMonkey]

Thanks TBlue, a win is a win, Providence push was a gift! Looks like you had another productive night! Maybe I'll do some researching also tonight! First glance from posted lines liking AriST -4, Minny -2, Miami -3???

MrMonkey

[tblueeyes]

Thanks TBlue, a win is a win, Providence push was a gift! Looks like you had another productive night! Maybe I'll do some researching also tonight! First glance from posted lines liking AriST -4, Minny -2, Miami -3???

MrMonkey

yea, going on 5hrs of sleep last 2 days, been capping every game on the board, even the crap teams...lol.. wanted to make more plays today, but was out of town most of the afternoon, so wasnt at my computer, as far as your leans, I havent made it that far down the board yet, lol I started with the noon games and have only made it to the 2pm games so far...looks like I got my work cut out for me tonight...I am not playing all my leans, but just posting them as I feel it is valuable to myself and others...i feel the info is useful, but when I get to those games if i see anything of value i will post it...GL sweetheart!!

[tblueeyes]

Monkey, i just realized you were leaning minny, I am leaning Northwestern. I already posted it as a lean...check it out...thoughts appreciated!! i know kent beat em by 27 in jan. but I dont think they will get blown out like that again...maybe revenge factor comes into play!??

[MrMonkey]

Guy at A10 tourney said StL-LaSalle game as ugly as Richmond game!
Looked at box score, horrific shooting! IMO think you will get at least 10 points against Xavier?

Already lost 2 times with StJoe's against Temple. Don't know how many points they will be getting but the matchup has got me hooked! Probably be only person to lose same matchup 3 times in one year! I keep telling myself to stay away feeling Temple will blow them out but.....

Mrmonkey

[tblueeyes]

Guy at A10 tourney said StL-LaSalle game as ugly as Richmond game!
Looked at box score, horrific shooting! IMO think you will get at least 10 points against Xavier?

Already lost 2 times with StJoe's against Temple. Don't know how many points they will be getting but the matchup has got me hooked! Probably be only person to lose same matchup 3 times in one year! I keep telling myself to stay away feeling Temple will blow them out but.....

Mrmonkey

10 points would be great!!

yea i cant imagine them blowing it 3 in a row but they are terrible vs the spread right now:

• Hawks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• Hawks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. Atlantic 10.
• Hawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
• Hawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.


not to mention they are 0-5 ATS vs temple!! Maybe they are DUE for a cover!!! GL, I may have to stay away from that one, I havent capped it yet, but just the trends alone scare me away from taking either side for now!

[MrMonkey]

TBlue you're more experienced than me at this, and I honestly care about people losing money from advice given by me! I know you know better anyway, but tread lightly on the Monkey's advice!

Probably stay away from St Louie game and hopefully StJoe doesn't get enough points to make me do something stupid! NW-Minny, that's tough! NW can shoot the 3ball and play smart, Minny power rebounding team but too many mistakes? Statwise a tradeoff! If Westbrook is on Minny won't lose, but NW needs game more for shot at tourney? Tubby Smith smart coach!

What time will you be up Thursday to play picks or do you put them in before bed?

MrMonkey

[tblueeyes]

TBlue you're more experienced than me at this, and I honestly care about people losing money from advice given by me! I know you know better anyway, but tread lightly on the Monkey's advice!

Probably stay away from St Louie game and hopefully StJoe doesn't get enough points to make me do something stupid! NW-Minny, that's tough! NW can shoot the 3ball and play smart, Minny power rebounding team but too many mistakes? Statwise a tradeoff! If Westbrook is on Minny won't lose, but NW needs game more for shot at tourney? Tubby Smith smart coach!

What time will you be up Thursday to play picks or do you put them in before bed?

MrMonkey

Much appreciated!!! I always value your opinion, St louis isnt one of my STRONG leans, my fave so far is Ole Miss!! I sometimes go ahead and make my plays, but I always like to wait and see how the line moves, and then I buy points as needed! I HATE getting burned by line movements!

I still got lots of games to cap, as I have only capped the noon and 1pm games, whewww lots of work! It pays off though, when ya cap the whole board you can find lots of gems!! I will sleep for a few hours and get right back to it!!

[Chi_archie]

Gl.... just getting started capping myself....

[tblueeyes]

Gl.... just getting started capping myself....

thanks archie, GL to you as well babe!!

[MrMonkey]

Chi archie, much appreciated if you post some of your insight on early leans on Tblue's thread!

MrMonkey

[tblueeyes]

Chi archie, much appreciated if you post some of your insight on early leans on Tblue's thread!

MrMonkey

agreed! lets cash!!

[MrMonkey]

FYI, Junkman just posted NW as a play! Doesn't pick many but sure is good! Probably stay away from Minny unless something changes!

Kansas is a fav of mine so usually don't bet them. Baylor a major disappointment this year and looking at boxscore Neb. couldn't have played any worse today! Whata think, Kansas -10,11 alot of points against a team that could surprise! Statwise, Kansas is a monster but they do have a young team. If you go with them, I do that before StJoe!

Miami and VTech evenly matched up, Tech in a tailspin but all loses to quality teams. Sometimes I look back to these games as the team that preseason wise was the pick. Miami was the higher team and think they have more upside in game! Tech does have 3 good weapons! Tech beat them in last year's ACC tour. if that matters?

MrMonkey

[fresh336]

carolina is in the house

i'm with you tblueyes on three of your picks c.mich., kansas -9, northwestern+1.5 what part of the carolinas are you from

[westexmex]

tblue you r amazing ,i hope you were snoozing from that last post at 1:15, ne ways i like parlays what would you consider your three strongest plays?thank you and bol today

[tblueeyes]

FYI, Junkman just posted NW as a play! Doesn't pick many but sure is good! Probably stay away from Minny unless something changes!

Kansas is a fav of mine so usually don't bet them. Baylor a major disappointment this year and looking at boxscore Neb. couldn't have played any worse today! Whata think, Kansas -10,11 alot of points against a team that could surprise! Statwise, Kansas is a monster but they do have a young team. If you go with them, I do that before StJoe!

Miami and VTech evenly matched up, Tech in a tailspin but all loses to quality teams. Sometimes I look back to these games as the team that preseason wise was the pick. Miami was the higher team and think they have more upside in game! Tech does have 3 good weapons! Tech beat them in last year's ACC tour. if that matters?

MrMonkey

Nice info Monkey!! Thanks bunches! So many games, so lil time...lets put our heads together and get em again 2day!!

[tblueeyes]

i'm with you tblueyes on three of your picks c.mich., kansas -9, northwestern+1.5 what part of the carolinas are you from

NICE!! I am close to Raleigh!

[tblueeyes]

tblue you r amazing ,i hope you were snoozing from that last post at 1:15, ne ways i like parlays what would you consider your three strongest plays?thank you and bol today

aww thanks, hard work...but gets the job done, i was thinking about putting a parlay 2gether, one of my fave leans so far in Ole Miss...I will look further into as i am 2-0 on parlays, will post when I get one 2gether!! GL 2day!!

[MexicanStallion]

I took Minnesota, so that should be a great sign for you to take Northwestern.

[tblueeyes]

I took Minnesota, so that should be a great sign for you to take Northwestern.

aww, dont say that...BOL babe!

[ASH0479]

.....

What up tblue....since I have been posting in your threads I have been on fire, 3-0 yesterday and a huge Monday....so I am going to keep the streak alive today...

just one early lean today

Miami (oh)

I am going to take a look at some other games when I have a chance and post here accordingly....BOL

[tblueeyes]

Lean:
C. Mich -1

Cent Mich.@w. mich 71-68 won (covered)
tol 59-44 won (covered)
e. mich 56-57 lost (no cover)
no. illi 63-44 won (covered)
@kst 57-61 lost (covered)
miami oh 57-55 won (covered)

CMICH are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Mid-American

CMICH 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.


Ball St:
@w. mich82-84 lost (covered)
@tol 67-71 lost (no cover)
e. mich 53-55 OT lost (no cover)
@no.illi 55-56 lost (covered)
kst 56-63 lost (no cover)
@miami oh 41-59 lost (no cover)


Ball st is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as an underdog.
Ball st. 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.

Play:
C. Mich -1 (hook buy)

[tblueeyes]

What up tblue....since I have been posting in your threads I have been on fire, 3-0 yesterday and a huge Monday....so I am going to keep the streak alive today...

just one early lean today

Miami (oh)

I am going to take a look at some other games when I have a chance and post here accordingly....BOL

Nice job babe...keep em coming, and hope the streak continues!!

[tblueeyes]

leaning Va tech, may have a write-up soon!

[Madetowin]

Don't ask why I like Ball State to win but I can't get myself to bet them. So I'm going to hit CM hard

[tblueeyes]

Don't ask why I like Ball State to win but I can't get myself to bet them. So I'm going to hit CM hard

gl, i like c. mich alot!

[grappler145]

i am on CM as well, lets cash this

[tblueeyes]

Lean:
Kent St. -1.5

3/5/09
kst 77 (home) OT
Buf 71

Kent st
akr 67-63 won (covered)
@miami oh 63-68 lost (no cover)
@bgrn 67-66 lost (no cover)
ohio 64-51 won (covered)
c mich 61-57 won (no cover)
@no illi 86-83 won (no cover)
@ball st 63-56 won (covered

KST are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 Thu. games.

Favorite is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings

Golden Flashes are 17-4-1 ATS in their last 22 neutral site games as a favorite.

Golden Flashes are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 Thursday games.

Golden Flashes are 36-16 ATS in their last 52 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.



Buffalo
akr 57-62 lost (no cover)
miami oh 70-67 OT win (push)
bgrn 48-59 lost (no cover)
@ohio 68-66 won (cover)
c mich 56-55 won (no cover)
no. illi 68-46 won (cover)
@ball st 51-53 lost (no cover)

Bulls are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.

Bulls are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Mid-American.

Bulls are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.

[tblueeyes]

i am on CM as well, lets cash this

[ASH0479]

What up tblue....since I have been posting in your threads I have been on fire, 3-0 yesterday and a huge Monday....so I am going to keep the streak alive today...

just one early lean today

Miami (oh)

I am going to take a look at some other games when I have a chance and post here accordingly....BOL

Official plays for me today

Providence +10
Ball State + 1.5
Marquette +2
Miami (oh) -1.5