tblueyes early leans and plays for 3/10/09

zootiehead · 03-09-09, 11:09 PM

What do you think about Cincy/DePaul. I think Cincy has folded for the season...seems like +8 is the play.

bostonboss · 03-09-09, 11:23 PM

eastern michigan is thin....chippewas have more depth and are a much better free throw shooting team.....iknow eastern michigan won the 2 games head to head this year.........but they will not beat cental 3 times in a year....easternmichigans offense has been really struggling lately while cental michigan is coming off a road win at western michigan.....

tblueeyes · 03-09-09, 11:27 PM

Originally posted by zootiehead

What do you think about Cincy/DePaul. I think Cincy has folded for the season...seems like +8 is the play.

1/17/09
Depaul 55 (home)
Cinny 59

I capped that one, and havent found an edge in favor of either team....Depaul played at G.town lost buy 8 and didnt cover. Played at WVA lost by 19 and didnt cover, and lost at home to St John and didnt cover.

Cinn. played at G. town won by 2 and covered in OT. Played @ WVA won by 4 and covered, and won at home against St. Johns by 10 and covered.

On another note, both teams played villanova , l. ville, and pitt, and neither team won nor covered.

DEP are 10-25-2 ATS in their last 37 Tue. games.

CIN are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Tue. games.

Blue Demons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Blue Demons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Blue Demons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Blue Demons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big East.

Cinncy has the edge in ppg, fg%, free throws, defense, rebounds and bench!

I cant really find a significant edge, for either team, hope this info is helpful, and BOL to you!

tblueeyes · 03-09-09, 11:32 PM

Originally posted by bostonboss

eastern michigan is thin....chippewas have more depth and are a much better free throw shooting team.....iknow eastern michigan won the 2 games head to head this year.........but they will not beat cental 3 times in a year....easternmichigans offense has been really struggling lately while cental michigan is coming off a road win at western michigan.....

thanks for the info Boston...e. mich plays better defense, better at rebounds and have a better bench...not to mention C. mich is without Chris Kellerman, he is out as of 3/3/09 with an ankle injury, so he played during their past 2 match-ups, and he averages 12.6 ppg!

tblueeyes · 03-09-09, 11:55 PM

Lean:
Idaho St. +6

2/12/09
idst 78 (home)
pst 69

1/10/09
pst 85 (home)
idst 58

Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as an underdog.
Bengals are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Tuesday games.
Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Sky.
Bengals are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
Bengals are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Vikings are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games as a favorite.
Vikings are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Vikings are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.
Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games.
Vikings are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big Sky.

IDST are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Tue. games.

Idaho St. beat Sac. St by 35, where port st only beat them by 17...both teams were home. Idaho st also beat Montana St. at Montana St. by 7 and covered, where Port St. lost by 3 and didnt cover, both teams were on the road.

bostonboss · 03-09-09, 11:58 PM

kellerman played the first 9 or 10 games and got injured...you are wrong...he missed both games vs eastern michigan.......and last game eastern michigan played 7 guys.....nice bench.....like i said central michigan shoots at a higher percentage.....turns the ballover less and creates turnovers......central wins this by 8-10

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 12:14 AM

Originally posted by bostonboss

kellerman played the first 9 or 10 games and got injured...you are wrong...he missed both games vs eastern michigan.......and last game eastern michigan played 7 guys.....nice bench.....like i said central michigan shoots at a higher percentage.....turns the ballover less and creates turnovers......central wins this by 8-10

my bad...you are correct about Kellerman my friend, However I still like e. mich here...E Mich won at Ball St in OT by 2 and covered the spread, where c. mich lost at ball st by 9 and did not cover...also e mich played at Bowling Green won by 8 and covered, where c mich lost by 6 at home to bowling green and did not cover...e. mich is pretty hot right now, they have won and covered their last 4, and have already beaten c. mich twice! I would'nt underestimate them...BOL my friend!

bostonboss · 03-10-09, 12:31 AM

you cannot compare what the teams did against common opponents....for example....boston college defeated north carolina.....yet harvard beat boston college...using your theory harvard would defeat north carolina.....and we all know that would not happen.....best of luck to you...i tried to help you...but i guess there is no hope lol.....

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 12:41 AM

Originally posted by bostonboss

you cannot compare what the teams did against common opponents....for example....boston college defeated north carolina.....yet harvard beat boston college...using your theory harvard would defeat north carolina.....and we all know that would not happen.....best of luck to you...i tried to help you...but i guess there is no hope lol.....

I appreciate your opinion, i feel like I have very valid reasons for liking e. mich...not just match-ups between previous opponents...and to say that using my theory Harvard would defeat UNC is just ludacris...that is not my theory at all! I look at trends ATS, previous match-ups, power ratings, ppg, fg% etc... I really do appreciate your opionion, however I am finished with this dicussion, as I feel like I am talking to a brick wall! lol...have a good night, and BOL as always!

hoop guru · 03-10-09, 01:04 AM

I really like idaho st +6. Idaho st is very capable of upsetting portland st in this game. THis is the most solid play tommorrow.

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 01:10 AM

Originally posted by hoop guru

I really like idaho st +6. Idaho st is very capable of upsetting portland st in this game. THis is the most solid play tommorrow.

thanks or your input babe!!

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 01:41 AM

Lean:
Hawaii -1

2/5/09
haw 69 (home)
frno 43

2/19/09
haw 73
frno 69 (home)

Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Bulldogs are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 01:47 AM

Lean:
Cleve St. +6

2/18/09
butler 58 (home)
cl. st 56

Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Vikings are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS win.
Vikings are 23-10 ATS in their last 33 games following a S.U. win.

Underdog is 4-1 ATS last 5 meetings vs Butler.

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 01:55 AM

other slight leans are St Johns +6, Ohio -3.5, Rutgers +11, Penn -3...this may change as these are just early leans!

schaapattack · 03-10-09, 02:08 AM

Originally posted by hoop guru

I really like idaho st +6. Idaho st is very capable of upsetting portland st in this game. THis is the most solid play tommorrow.

idaho isnt playing portland fellas

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 02:11 AM

Originally posted by schaapattack

idaho isnt playing portland fellas

I'm not a fella...but they are playing port st!

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 05:26 AM

Lean:
St Johns +6

Red Storm are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.

Hoyas are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Hoyas are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Hoyas are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Hoyas are 3-14-1 ATS in their last 18 games overall.
Hoyas are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 vs. Big East.
Hoyas are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite.

I think they can hang with G-town!!

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 05:53 AM

Lean:
Penn -3

Penn 16-7 ats vs Princeton. Already beat them at princeton and its senior night at the Palestra!

Tigers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Pennsylvania.
Tigers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

djpremier36 · 03-10-09, 06:16 AM

I'm with you on St. John's. GL !

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 06:20 AM

Originally posted by djpremier36

I'm with you on St. John's. GL !

thanks babe...GL to you as well!!

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 06:44 AM

Lean:
Depaul +8

1/17/09
Dep. 55 (home)
Cinn 59

Blue Demons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Blue Demons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Blue Demons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Blue Demons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big East.

Bearcats are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5.
Bearcats are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Tuesday games.
Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Bearcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Bearcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big East.
Bearcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

CIN are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Tue. games.

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 06:49 AM

Lean:
Ohio -3

Ohio is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game.

WMICH are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

Broncos are 4-17-1 ATS in their last 22 neutral site games.
Broncos are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 Tuesday games.
Broncos are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 vs. Mid-American.
Broncos are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Broncos are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as an underdog.
Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 06:51 AM

Ok I am seriously taking a nap now...been up all night, and only 4 hours til the first games tip!

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 10:44 AM

Originally posted by tblueeyes

Lean:
E. Mich +2.5
Here is why I like it:

2/28/09
e. mich 57
c. mich 56 (home)

e. mich 84 (home)
c. mich 77

Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Eagles are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 vs. Mid-American.
Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

Chippewas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite.
Chippewas are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Mid-American.
Chippewas are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 Tuesday games.
Chippewas are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.

EMICH are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 vs. Mid-American.

CMICH are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 Tue. games.

Play:
E. Mich +3.5 (bought.5)

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 10:46 AM

Originally posted by tblueeyes

Lean:
Depaul +8

1/17/09
Dep. 55 (home)
Cinn 59

Blue Demons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Blue Demons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Blue Demons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Blue Demons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big East.

Bearcats are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5.
Bearcats are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Tuesday games.
Bearcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Bearcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Bearcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Big East.
Bearcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

CIN are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Tue. games.

Play:
Depaul +9.5 (bought.5)

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 11:30 AM

Lean:
Weber St. -12

3/3/09
Web st 84 (home)
mon st 64

1/15/09
mon st 75 (home)
web st 70

Montana St:
@ montana won by 2, did not cover
@no. col lost by 27, did not cover
@port st lost by 6, but covered
idst lost by 7, did not cover
@sac st won by 15, and covered
@no ar. lost by 19, did not cover

Weber St.
@montana won by 11, covered
@no. col won by 6 and covered
port st won by 10 and covered
idst won by 14, covered
sac st won by 35, covered
@no. ar won by 5 and covered

WEBST are 42-17 ATS in their last 59 vs. Big Sky

Favorite is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

Bobcats are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Wildcats are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
Wildcats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.

Weber St has also covered all of their last 10 games

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 11:54 AM

Lean:
Rutgers +10

NOTRE are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall.

NOTRE are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 vs. Big East.

RUTG are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

bostonboss · 03-10-09, 11:55 AM

cental michigan university up at halftime 26-21 over eastern michigan lol...

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 11:58 AM

Originally posted by bostonboss

cental michigan university up at halftime 26-21 over eastern michigan lol...

your point? look unless you have anything of value to add...GET LOST! Where is your thread with your plays?? Have some respect...geez!!

MrMonkey · 03-10-09, 12:08 PM

Originally posted by bostonboss

cental michigan university up at halftime 26-21 over eastern michigan lol...

Hey my friend, I thought she told you last night end of discussion! Pretty rude telling TBlue there is no hope! I checked you out, your the same guy that was picking on that nice lady PittChic and she left!

Big deal if CMich covers, good win for you, remember when you picked Nova +4.5 against WV couple Fridays ago! Nova got buried! Happens to all of us, why don't you chill alittle my friend! Good luck!

MrMonkey

Vonnegut · 03-10-09, 12:11 PM

You tell em monkey.

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 12:13 PM

Originally posted by MrMonkey

Hey my friend, I thought she told you last night end of discussion! Pretty rude telling TBlue there is no hope! I checked you out, your the same guy that was picking on that nice lady PittChic and she left!

Big deal if CMich covers, good win for you, remember when you picked Nova +4.5 against WV couple Fridays ago! Nova got buried! Happens to all of us, why don't you chill alittle my friend! Good luck!

MrMonkey

thanks Monkey, always a pleasure to see you in my thread

tblueeyes · 03-10-09, 12:13 PM

Originally posted by Vonnegut

You tell em monkey.

2daBank · 03-10-09, 12:20 PM

Originally posted by bostonboss

cental michigan university up at halftime 26-21 over eastern michigan lol...

you are a sad sad person