@ Blueeyes - I see you are on this - what factor makes this a play and last night's citadel a pass?
FMS
mmike032
SBR Hall of Famer
09-11-08
8905
#2
same situation as Citadel ( which I feel for)
over 80% on Troy and line moved from PK to +1
I wouldnt play it if I was you
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FranklyMrShankly
SBR High Roller
02-05-09
118
#3
Thought so - What I find strange though is that even though a lot people on here vehemently warn against such plays, they never have the balls to fade them...
...if it such a trap certainty isn't the fade an "anti-lock" so to say?
FMS
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mmike032
SBR Hall of Famer
09-11-08
8905
#4
nothings 100%..
just trying to give a little info on the line movement. I have been burned my fair share on these types of games.
If Troy is such a better team why would the line only be PK or +1?
they know something we dont.
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FranklyMrShankly
SBR High Roller
02-05-09
118
#5
Where do "they" get their info though and how come no one else on these (and other) boards has even an idea of what the "something" might be...??
New to this game so forgive the lame discussion...
FMS
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vsdspread
Restricted User
08-05-07
251
#6
Frankly Mr Shankly, I'm a sickening wreck, I've got the 21st Century breakthing down my neck...
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FranklyMrShankly
SBR High Roller
02-05-09
118
#7
I must move fast, you understand me
I want to go down in celluloid history, Mr. Shankly ....
Originally posted by vsdspread
Frankly Mr Shankly, I'm a sickening wreck, I've got the 21st Century breakthing down my neck...
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SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#8
It actually this morning went to Troy -1 with over 80% then out of now where it went to South Alabama -1 in a matter of minutes. I will try y luck with South Bama, just like I took Samford last night when everyone couldn't understand why Citadel is only -3.5. Troy has beat South Bama by an average of 15 points both times they have played this yr and it only opens as a pk. I'll take bama thanks.
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
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losturmarbles
SBR MVP
07-01-08
4604
#9
Originally posted by mmike032
nothings 100%..
just trying to give a little info on the line movement. I have been burned my fair share on these types of games.
If Troy is such a better team why would the line only be PK or +1?
they know something we dont.
who says troy is such a better team?
troy was only a 2.5 fav at home against usa last week. (troy won by 5)
troy was a 12.5 dog when they played at usa (troy won by 24)
line opened at what it shouldve opened at. on paper troy is only slightly better than usa, however on the court troy has gotten it done.
i didnt watch the last game, maybe usa outplayed troy and shouldve won, but i don't think the line is off.