Kevsworld ~ Thursday

kevsworld · 03-05-09, 06:53 AM

BG @ Miami -7.5

BG has the defense to stymie Miami and keep this game close. They have the edge in the FG % and should make this a close game and could pull a win SU>. The over is a good play for an O/U < 120

Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Falcons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Falcons are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Mid-American.

Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Miami (OH).
Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.

Vonnegut · 03-05-09, 07:50 AM

Are these MAC tourny games Kev?

hoop guru · 03-05-09, 08:59 AM

Originally posted by kevsworld

BG @ Miami -7.5

BG has the defense to stymie Miami and keep this game close. They have the edge in the FG % and should make this a close game and could pull a win SU>. The over is a good play for an O/U < 120

Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Falcons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Falcons are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Mid-American.

Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Miami (OH).
Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.

I agree with your pick. I like BG +4 1st half. Miami (OH) lost their starting PG for the season (Politz). Politz had very good numbers against BG in the first meeting this season which Miami won 67-60. Politz had 13 points, 6/9 shooting, 1/1 3 pointers, 4 assists, 3 steals and 2 rebounds. From scouting reports, his replacement is Carl Richburg who is quite undersized at 5'9". Politz at 6'6" is a very good defender and richburg is not. Watch for BG to take advantage of the undersized guard.

Vonnegut · 03-05-09, 10:39 AM

All over Bowling Green tonight+7.5 is a gift IMHO. I think this is a toss up so I will take the points everytime the numbers come out that way.

romoney · 03-05-09, 01:19 PM

Tough couple of days here too buddy, for what its worth
I,m all over PENN ST
LA TECH
WICHITA ST.
GL to u brother!

TORONTOBBALL · 03-05-09, 01:40 PM

hoop guru dont forgot for bowling green chris knight is questionable for tonites game he scored 7 points and 10 rebounds last game against miami oh.

kevsworld · 03-05-09, 04:10 PM

Originally posted by Vonnegut

Are these MAC tourny games Kev?

No, these are still conference games, I know Ohio has their last game next week@ BG.

kevsworld · 03-05-09, 04:17 PM

Originally posted by hoop guru

I agree with your pick. I like BG +4 1st half. Miami (OH) lost their starting PG for the season (Politz). Politz had very good numbers against BG in the first meeting this season which Miami won 67-60. Politz had 13 points, 6/9 shooting, 1/1 3 pointers, 4 assists, 3 steals and 2 rebounds. From scouting reports, his replacement is Carl Richburg who is quite undersized at 5'9". Politz at 6'6" is a very good defender and richburg is not. Watch for BG to take advantage of the undersized guard.

I saw that Politz was out, and they are struggling trying to find his replacement, that can provide a defensive presence. I see the line has already jumped a point.

kevsworld · 03-05-09, 04:30 PM

Originally posted by romoney

Tough couple of days here too buddy, for what its worth
I,m all over PENN ST
LA TECH
WICHITA ST.
GL to u brother!

Looking over the picks they look good, BOL to you Sir!

mcbaseball10 · 03-05-09, 04:42 PM

line up to BG +9 with RLM as 74% of public on BG...If your pick is locked in BOL, seems like a sketchy movement of the line

Vonnegut · 03-05-09, 05:02 PM

Originally posted by mcbaseball10

line up to BG +9 with RLM as 74% of public on BG...If your pick is locked in BOL, seems like a sketchy movement of the line

Yeah I dont like that I hopped on BG this morning at +7.5 and I am almost thinking of eating the juice and trying to middle.

kevsworld · 03-05-09, 07:17 PM

Booked

[715] BOWLING GREEN +7½-110 Win
CBB [742] WICHITA ST -4-110 Win
NBA [701] DALLAS +6½-110 Loss (Faded myself

)

Add

2H PORTLAND +1-110 loss

CBB: 32-26-1
NBA: 3-3

romoney · 03-05-09, 08:12 PM

lets make some cash!!