Just did an observation on my Make it or Break season thread on all of my posted picks, to see if buying point will improve my overall profit margin. My current NCAAB posted record is (99-81-6). Buying 2 points at -150 would add my 6 push to my 99 wins making it 105. While scouring through my thread, I also found 8 picked losers, where +2 added point would make them winners. By adding points, my new record would be (113-73) 60%.
(113-73) 60% Buying 2 Points at -150
113 wins at -150 for $100=$11,300 Winnings
73 Losses at -150 for $100=$10950 Losing
Total Profit=$350 Winnings after adjustment
(99-81-6) 55% Original record at -110
99 wins at -110 for $100=$9900 Winnings
81 losses at -110 for $100=$8100 Losing
Total Profit=$1800 Winnings after adjustment
Summary:
While buying points would make your overall record look better, in the long run you will profit less. If you like a pick, just go with it as is. Gambling always involves risk. Teasing or buying is a good way of reassuring yourself your bet might win, but at the end of the day your probably not going to need it.
(113-73) 60% Buying 2 Points at -150
113 wins at -150 for $100=$11,300 Winnings
73 Losses at -150 for $100=$10950 Losing
Total Profit=$350 Winnings after adjustment
(99-81-6) 55% Original record at -110
99 wins at -110 for $100=$9900 Winnings
81 losses at -110 for $100=$8100 Losing
Total Profit=$1800 Winnings after adjustment
Summary:
While buying points would make your overall record look better, in the long run you will profit less. If you like a pick, just go with it as is. Gambling always involves risk. Teasing or buying is a good way of reassuring yourself your bet might win, but at the end of the day your probably not going to need it.
