Kevsworld Tuesday

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  • kevsworld
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-21-08
    • 347

    #1
    Kevsworld Tuesday
    Worked late last night, but was able to squeeze in my bets before the the gates opened...2-0 last night, on a couple of obvious. Da'Ville was a gift and Kansas was a no brainer...but it's easier to say now that its over!

    17-12

    New day, new bets...hard work...

    Creighton @ Missouri. St. +6 (8:05pm)

    The game looks like an easy pick, the only issue to worry about is if Creighton is looking past Mizz St, for their last game with Ill St. Other than that -6 is reasonable to cover.
    Creighton is 8-3 ATS on the road, Mizz St. is 4-10 ATS @ home.

    @Mizz
    CREIGHTON is 2-0 against the spread versus MIzz ST over the last 3 seasons
    CREIGHTON is 2-0 straight up against MIzz ST over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    CREIGHTON is 6-0 against the spread versus MIzz ST over the last 3 seasons
    CREIGHTON is 6-0 straight up against MIzz ST over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
  • kevsworld
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-21-08
    • 347

    #2
    Florida St. @ Boston College +2.5


    Any thought on this game. I am leaning towards FS, but would like to hear what you are thinking about this game...window shopping right now
    Comment
    • kevsworld
      SBR Sharp
      • 11-21-08
      • 347

      #3
      Pittsburgh @ Providence -8 (7:00pm)

      I cap this game at -10, Pitt has some rested starters as the reserves carried the load against DePaul. Prov defense suffers as they allow high scoring games against ranked opponents. There bench is not deep enough to compete with Pitt.

      PROVIDENCE is 1-1 against the spread versus PITT over the last 3 seasons
      PITT is 2-0 straight up against PROVIDENCE over the last 3 seasons

      2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
      Comment
      • kaspbart
        SBR Sharp
        • 11-30-08
        • 421

        #4
        Creighton looks really good. i have today LSU -3,5. GL to You with your picks
        Comment
        • kevsworld
          SBR Sharp
          • 11-21-08
          • 347

          #5
          Originally posted by kaspbart
          Creighton looks really good. i have today LSU -3,5. GL to You with your picks
          Thanks, Kas...be careful with that LSU pick, seems to obvious,,,
          Comment
          • roadwarrior1
            SBR Sharp
            • 01-01-09
            • 412

            #6
            leaning towards BC right now.............but if the spread moves any towards Fla st I will probably take them or do nothing at all. Its a close one!!
            Comment
            • kevsworld
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-21-08
              • 347

              #7
              Originally posted by roadwarrior1
              leaning towards BC right now.............but if the spread moves any towards Fla st I will probably take them or do nothing at all. Its a close one!!
              I am waiting on the line movement...to close right now,,, Thanks Brother.
              Comment
              • roadwarrior1
                SBR Sharp
                • 01-01-09
                • 412

                #8
                I think LSU is solid right now at -4..........-5 would be closer..........I do not see any trap here.
                Comment
                • roadwarrior1
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-01-09
                  • 412

                  #9
                  yes.same here on BC..........not doing anything until later on. The line will tell us what to do.
                  Comment
                  • kaspbart
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 11-30-08
                    • 421

                    #10
                    LSU lost last 3 spreads, but winning those games.They were close. i think that today is time to get up and cover the spread. i Know that florida isnt bad team, they got good overall stats, they are good at Away games, but look at the LSU. 18-1 at home, They lost with Xavier,it will be hard game, but LSU looks preety good ... GL to all
                    Comment
                    • kevsworld
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 11-21-08
                      • 347

                      #11
                      Originally posted by roadwarrior1
                      I think LSU is solid right now at -4..........-5 would be closer..........I do not see any trap here.
                      I did too, at first glance...it was one of the first games I looked at...did not get a good feeling. It just seems to easy of a pick, and the obvious play...not sure why the line is where it is...

                      Looking at it again i see LSU is the outright pick...but I will pass...

                      LSU is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
                      LSU is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons

                      LSU is 6-4 ATS at home
                      Fld is is 3-4 ATS on the road
                      LSU is 1-0 after failing to cover 3 consecutive games.
                      Comment
                      • kevsworld
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 11-21-08
                        • 347

                        #12
                        Penn St. @ Ohio St. -5.5

                        This another I'm not sure about. OSU is in a must win part of their season at home to stay alive. The loss of lighty has really hurt them thus far. I cap this game at -7.

                        OSU is 6-6 ATS at home
                        Penn St is 6-3 ATS on the road

                        OSU is 2-0 as home fav under 6.
                        PSU is 0-1 as road dogs under 6.

                        I like my Buckeyes is this game... but just can't pull the trigger on them...guess being in the neg with them isi the reason.

                        anyone?
                        Comment
                        • kevsworld
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 11-21-08
                          • 347

                          #13
                          I have to work late tonight, and so I have to get my bets in before I leave...

                          Booked:

                          [717] PITTSBURGH -7½-120 (B+½)
                          [727] CREIGHTON -6-110

                          Comment
                          • roadwarrior1
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 01-01-09
                            • 412

                            #14
                            My Creighton numbers are not coming up to -6..............more like -2. Trends look good but the numbers are not matching up. I am going to do some more work there.
                            Comment
                            • kevsworld
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 11-21-08
                              • 347

                              #15
                              Originally posted by roadwarrior1
                              My Creighton numbers are not coming up to -6..............more like -2. Trends look good but the numbers are not matching up. I am going to do some more work there.
                              Great...well I have the bet booked, and heading to work. I will stick to my guns...it has been going good so far. As I mentioned, they are looking at a close game if they are not focused on this one. Looking ahead always causes problems...I am betting they are taking one at a time, it's always a gamble!

                              BOL to everyone!
                              Comment
                              • GODFATHER
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 01-07-08
                                • 150

                                #16
                                Hi All,

                                I say LSU spanks it down tonight! Very big weekend in that part of the world, it will only add to them being fired up and giving the crowd a great show. GL all
                                Comment
                                • Madetowin
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-07-09
                                  • 1373

                                  #17
                                  i think even my g-mom is taking LSU today . Let's cash this bastard of a line.
                                  Comment
                                  • kevsworld
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 11-21-08
                                    • 347

                                    #18
                                    Final


                                    [717] PITTSBURGH -7½-120 (B+½) Loss (73-81)


                                    17-13
                                    Comment
                                    • romoney
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-12-09
                                      • 3581

                                      #19
                                      Damn Pitt blew it, what up kev? I'm jumping on San Diego ST tonight. glad i got home to late to get
                                      on PITT
                                      Comment
                                      • kevsworld
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 11-21-08
                                        • 347

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by romoney
                                        Damn Pitt blew it, what up kev? I'm jumping on San Diego ST tonight. glad i got home to late to get
                                        on PITT
                                        Good for you, nothing else going on waiting on Creighton to pull out this cover, I just hope they did not run out of gas catching up!

                                        I just took San Diego St too...they are even, and I am going with the home team...

                                        [742] SAN DIEGO STATE PK-110loss

                                        Final
                                        [727] CREIGHTON -6-110 Push (65-59)


                                        Hope you picked a winner!
                                        17-14-1

                                        GL
                                        Comment
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