Quick Wednesday thoughts for discussion

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  • eatdust11
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-16-09
    • 683

    #1
    Quick Wednesday thoughts for discussion
    Some interesting matchups tomorrow night...

    Without doing the research thoroughly I am inclined to like these:

    Ohio State +1 at Northwestern
    Cal Poly vs. UC Davis over 148.5
    Miami vs. Florida State over 132 (this one looks very good)
    Towson -3 vs. William and Mary

    Any thoughts? Which games stand out to you?
  • gameday10
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-16-09
    • 601

    #2
    Ton of games tomorrow. I like to stay away from the 'big' games and like the games not a lot pay attention to because those are the lines that are usually off. Most primetime games and big games the lines are real tight and usually spot on. I looked through all the 7et games and have about 10 leans, now I go in and cap those games usually ending with 1-2 games I play out of those. So, after all that, with your plays the only lean I have now is Towson -3. I do like that right now, have not capped the game yet myself. The others I will pass or have not looked at. Good Luck.
    Comment
    • WestsidePete
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 07-19-07
      • 8049

      #3
      Personally I like Miami-Ohio +3..already beat Akron at home by 13 and outrebounded them 46-31..through 11 conf games Akron gets outrebounded by 2 boards a game...even at home they get outrebounded...while the opposite for Miami where they outrebound opps by 4 a game..and an the edge on the road as well....so I like the advantage there and for Miami-Oh to steal a win or a close cover
      Comment
      • gameday10
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-16-09
        • 601

        #4
        Originally posted by WestsidePete
        Personally I like Miami-Ohio +3..already beat Akron at home by 13 and outrebounded them 46-31..through 11 conf games Akron gets outrebounded by 2 boards a game...even at home they get outrebounded...while the opposite for Miami where they outrebound opps by 4 a game..and an the edge on the road as well....so I like the advantage there and for Miami-Oh to steal a win or a close cover
        Agree, just looked over that and liked miami+3 and the u115.5. I will get around to this game later and check it out. See if anything will become a play.
        Comment
        • WestsidePete
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 07-19-07
          • 8049

          #5
          Take a look at Houston -5.5...better offensively and defensively...on defense Marshall gives up over 48% shooting...over 41% on 3's ....horrible...now Marshall is 10-3 at home but only 1-6 ATS at home they don't cover vs good teams
          Comment
          • gameday10
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-16-09
            • 601

            #6
            Originally posted by WestsidePete
            Take a look at Houston -5.5...better offensively and defensively...on defense Marshall gives up over 48% shooting...over 41% on 3's ....horrible...now Marshall is 10-3 at home but only 1-6 ATS at home they don't cover vs good teams
            Yea, Houston -5.5 was a lean I wrote down also. I have about 12 leans with the 7et games including o/u that I am looking through. I have a big write-up already for the Ball St./ Toledo game. I do write-ups for each lean if I look at it again and things stand out after I check it out and number crunch. But once I am through I go back and only play the one's that stand out and i am confident in. So now on to the next game to cap.
            Comment
            • gameday10
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-16-09
              • 601

              #7
              Originally posted by WestsidePete
              Personally I like Miami-Ohio +3..already beat Akron at home by 13 and outrebounded them 46-31..through 11 conf games Akron gets outrebounded by 2 boards a game...even at home they get outrebounded...while the opposite for Miami where they outrebound opps by 4 a game..and an the edge on the road as well....so I like the advantage there and for Miami-Oh to steal a win or a close cover
              Just got about half way through capping and will decide to stay away from this game. My write-up so far is yes the trends all favor Miami(oh) and last 2 years the same team has won both meetings which obviously favors miami(oh). But they are facing an Akron team at home who's opponents are averaging 19 turnovers a game(wow) and against a team wanting revenge from earlier in the year. Akron is looking to jump back into the race in the East at just 7-4 and a win here would put them tied for 2nd. Akron coming off a loss to 3-8 N. Illinois at N. Illinois and will look to redeem themselves at home. I am staying away from this, but good luck to those who wish to side with a team. I am now going to check out the under in this game and see if I can find anything.
              Comment
              • kaspbart
                SBR Sharp
                • 11-30-08
                • 421

                #8
                What do YOu think about Ohio St. +0,5 today? i know that D.Lightly will not play, but He played only few games. Ohio should win this game whitout him,they lost only once with Northwestern. 5-2 ATS last 7 games in Northwestern is for Ohio.

                I want to add LSU -4,5. LSU is better team. some injuries in Arkansas. and i think LSU will cover the spread,arkansas are 3-7 last 10 in ATS, 3-8 southern, and 2-6 after SU loss, LSU are: 4-0 L4 on road,4-1 after ATS loss, 7-2 with southern, ... so we will see,

                waiting for comments, and thanks for helping. GL 4all
                Comment
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