Sunday Gospel According to Sneaks

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  • jtsneaks
    SBR Sharp
    • 06-03-08
    • 282

    #1
    Sunday Gospel According to Sneaks
    I love Sunday Hoops and the slate is tempting today --it has everything from early good match ups to a late one for our viewing pleasure, so I thought I would sort through them and look for some winners!

    Illinois vs Indiana --May want to hold your nose for this stinker as the Hoosiers are a bad club and are in last place for a reason. The Hoosiers have been bad all year and in the last meeting in Illinois they were thrashed by 31 points. The one thing that may help the Hoosiers is that Illinois is a bad road team and are off a game where they had to mount a serious comeback to beat a middle of the road Northwestern team. In the last game Indiana started four freshman so if your going to bet on them be very careful. The key to me is if Devan Dumes plays this game. He was suspended by his coach for throwing an elbow and they have not announced if he will play. He is the leading scorer for the Hoosiers and if plays today I might be tempted to take the points in this game but for now I will pass. The fans still come to see the Hoosiers play as it is a sell out and will be "Stripeout" in Indiana. This line is right on in my opinion but it is interesteing to note that Illinois is 16-32 ATS in the last three years after allowing 60 points or less in the previous game. I believe Dumes will play and they want to reward the fans for selling out even though they are not playing well.

    Hoosiers +10 (*Only if Dumes Plays)

    Clemson Vs Virginia
    The second game seems alot like the first as a 20 game winner in Clemson travels to a bottom dweller in the Cavaliers, a team that has lost eight straight! The Cavs played well in the last game against Florida St and actually led at the half before losing yet again. This is a positive sign but that does not mean they will be able to keep up with Clemson. The Tigers have been lights out from behind the 3 point arc and K.C. Rivers was 8-11 from 3 against BC. He may look to have another big game today going against Virginia since he has averaged 27.7 points per game playing in that state. When Clemson wins in the ACC they turn out to be big wins and have won five ACC games by double digits this year. I would like to back Clemson here but I am not sold that they will have another big game from three point land and they are sour from the charity stripe shooting just 67% on the road. Those free ones could be the difference in covering this big number. This game is a pass for me.

    More games coming up!!

    JT Sneaks
  • Vonnegut
    SBR MVP
    • 01-08-09
    • 1499

    #2
    I think Dumes plays today too. Illinois is a bad road team but Indiana is just a bad team. I may just have to lay off this one, cant find an edge even though my instincts are telling me Illinois.
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    • jtsneaks
      SBR Sharp
      • 06-03-08
      • 282

      #3
      Vonnegut--I hope he plays, and I know the Hoosiers are bad but I hope they rally in this one!

      South Florida vs Notre Dame--Did anyone watch the drubbing the Irish put on the Cards? It will be hard to repeat that kind of effort and I think this could be a sneaky game where South Florida keeps it well within this number. Here is the problem South Florida is bad, and I mean really bad. They shoot 40% from the floor on the year and 57% from the free throw line!!! I can't bet on a basketball team with those kind of numbers. With West Virginia next for the Irish they look right past this one and I am taking the total to stay under the number.

      Under 140

      The Irish will not put up the same numbers and the Bulls are bad enough to keep this under. SF has shown flashes of brillance like against Marquette but just 1-7 on the road will keep me on the total.

      Buffalo vs Ball St
      Here is my head scratcher of the day Buffalo has 17 wins and Ball St is reeling losers of three straight yet Vegas sets this line at 3.5? Ball St has a history of playing well against Buffalo but I am not willing to take them as home dogs and I am not backing Buffalo here either. If I was forced to play it would be on the Cardinals but this is a pass for me.

      Rapid fire for the rest of the slate as I just got a list of Honey do's and I want to get them out of the way so I can watch some hoops!

      Boston College +7
      Duquesne +1.5
      Michigan +4
      Louisville -21.5



      may add some more later or first/second halves but that's all for now!

      JT Sneaks
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