Mon, Feb 9 Plays

PsychoQ · 02-09-09, 05:43 PM

damn you curious i go tot wvu and i was going to take pitt could you tell me why your taking them ughhhhh. im getting ready to make my post help me out here....i have mad respect for you, i almost dont want to bet this game beacuse i have a feeling its going to be close

curious · 02-09-09, 06:40 PM

Originally posted by PsychoQ

damn you curious i go tot wvu and i was going to take pitt could you tell me why your taking them ughhhhh. im getting ready to make my post help me out here....i have mad respect for you, i almost dont want to bet this game beacuse i have a feeling its going to be close

West Virginia....+350.....0.962.....+223..... +127.....44.17%
Pittsburgh........-380.....0.9697....-253.....-127.....55.83%

Columns:
team name.......line.....pythag.....delta.... .value line.....win probability

win probability is calculated using the log5 formula on the pythag adjusted for strength of schedule

value line is the line that the game should be at given the win probability

delta is the difference between the actual line and the value line

line is the line being offered by the books

pythag is taken from www.kenpom.com

WVA value line is +127, actual line is +350, WVA is a play

Rick22 · 02-09-09, 06:47 PM

Curious - Just not sure on this one. If WV covers I will never doubt you again. I respect your picks and you keep me smiling with your forum wit.

BiffTFinancial · 02-09-09, 06:52 PM

Curious - Thanks for taking the time to explain that. If it fit neatly into your signature, perhaps you wouldn't have to explain it so often when people question your system and the moneyline faves.

tblueeyes · 02-09-09, 06:53 PM

yay!!! I am on W. Vir. a s well curious....gl!!! <muah>

curious · 02-09-09, 06:53 PM

Originally posted by Rick22

Curious - Just not sure on this one. If WV covers I will never doubt you again. I respect your picks and you keep me smiling with your forum wit.

Just because the team is a pick according to Dr. Pythag and Ms Log5, doesn't mean they don't get blown out. Happens sometimes. But the percentages are in our favor.

curious · 02-09-09, 06:54 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

Curious - Thanks for taking the time to explain that. If it fit neatly into your signature, perhaps you wouldn't have to explain it so often when people question your system and the moneyline faves.

SBR said I cannot have a 10 page signature.

PsychoQ · 02-09-09, 08:50 PM

This happen last game curious wvu played with pitt and with 10 left in the second pitt ran away with it..

curious · 02-09-09, 08:52 PM

Originally posted by PsychoQ

This happen last game curious wvu played with pitt and with 10 left in the second pitt ran away with it..

When did you become my basketball in play advisory service?

PsychoQ · 02-09-09, 08:55 PM

just thought i would make conversation but i guess your not a very talkitive person..

curious · 02-09-09, 08:57 PM

Originally posted by PsychoQ

just thought i would make conversation but i guess your not a very talkitive person..

Chill out dude, I'm just fukking around.

look at that Furman pick. Can I pick 'em or can I pick 'em? Spread is +8 1/2 and Furman loses by 8.

PsychoQ · 02-09-09, 08:59 PM

Oh ok i was going to say damn i was not being hatefull hahahah..Great Furman pick by the way..

tblueeyes · 02-09-09, 09:02 PM

damn curious, what happened to W. Vir?? oh well...on to the next games...congrats on Furman!! and gl on the others!!

curious · 02-09-09, 09:07 PM

Originally posted by PsychoQ

Oh ok i was going to say damn i was not being hatefull hahahah..Great Furman pick by the way..

See, the thing is everyone thinks that Curious takes himself SOOOO seriously. Only he doesn't take online fukking around seriously at all. Get the picture?

It's all good broham.

curious · 02-09-09, 09:08 PM

Originally posted by tblueeyes

damn curious, what happened to W. Vir?? oh well...on to the next games...congrats on Furman!! and gl on the others!!

We should have bought 3 points. Yep on to the next one.

Loyola just covered, we had Loyola +14 and they lose by 13.

DAMMM I'm Good.

curious · 02-09-09, 11:24 PM

9-6 +18 units

Hit a big dog on the money line.

Good night.

Congrats to all who followed.

tblueeyes · 02-09-09, 11:24 PM

Congrats...i had a very good night as well!!