Saturday - Pair of 5's Sir

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  • Pair of 5s Sir
    SBR MVP
    • 04-20-08
    • 4960

    #1
    Saturday - Pair of 5's Sir
    Let's recap yesterday's selections:

    Fairfield -4.5 (L) risking 1.10 to win 1.0 unit

    Overall
    7-1-1 87.50% +6.00 units

    Dogs
    4-0 100.00% +4.00 units

    Favorites
    3-1-1 75.00% +2.00 units

    Thanks to those who got on the streak. Stay threaded and thanks

    The Contrarian
  • Pair of 5s Sir
    SBR MVP
    • 04-20-08
    • 4960

    #2
    The radar is switched to the on position, early this morning. Family obligations have been thrusted upon me. Delaware gets on the radar screen for all you contriarios out there. I appreciate the PM's this morning who offered their humble thanks for providing the recent streak. However, that's all in the past.

    Look at Delaware. I will probably place my selection very early to make sure gametime does not interfere with the birthday cake. I capped the games through the 4:00 pm card. No other looks, surprisingly.

    Stay threaded. This one game losing streak bothers the hell out of me.

    The Contrarian
    Comment
    • The General
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-10-05
      • 13279

      #3
      Good run you got going.
      Comment
      • Pair of 5s Sir
        SBR MVP
        • 04-20-08
        • 4960

        #4
        Thanks

        Originally posted by The General
        Good run you got going.
        Were you on any of them?
        Comment
        • The General
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-10-05
          • 13279

          #5
          No sir, I missed the boat unless they fell in my plays by luck. I've been riding some of the plays posted though and had a good run. On the speadsheet.
          Comment
          • themajormt
            SBR MVP
            • 07-30-08
            • 3964

            #6
            DO you have anything today sir?
            Comment
            • Pair of 5s Sir
              SBR MVP
              • 04-20-08
              • 4960

              #7
              Selection

              Delaware gets the contrarian play of the day. I am heading out for the afternoon.

              Go get Delaware -5.5.

              The Contrarian
              Comment
              • Blazermaniac
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 10-30-08
                • 556

                #8
                Pair....I am looking at the UConn game. Could be a play. Right now...65% has UConn to cover -1.5. Will see what that number is around game time. ND has played well but aren't able to finish. They can definitely flat out shoot.
                Comment
                • themajormt
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-30-08
                  • 3964

                  #9
                  What exactly is "contrarian" is this his own term??
                  Comment
                  • sqvirrel
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 01-19-09
                    • 74

                    #10
                    Originally posted by themajormt
                    What exactly is "contrarian" is this his own term??
                    I guess 90% of the public being on a play makes it contrarian to also be on that play.
                    Comment
                    • Blazermaniac
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-30-08
                      • 556

                      #11
                      Missouri -18 looks good. 65% on it. Game starts at 10:30...will track it and make a decision before game time. Missouri killed Iowa St...people are expecting the same thing. Tech hasn't been good lately...getting blown out pretty much every game away. But look for the cover. It's a very risky game cause Tech is prone to blow outs.
                      Comment
                      • Blazermaniac
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-30-08
                        • 556

                        #12
                        I am on Tech +18. 67% on it for the blow out. Expect Missouri to lead by as much as 20 plus to high 20s....then Tech will make a backdoor cover when Tiger starters are out with less than a minute to go. Tigers had an easy game against Cowboys but had to hold on at the end for the win. Expect them to come out a little flat. Tech will be leading early or keep it close til second half.
                        Comment
                        • TheLock
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 04-06-08
                          • 14427

                          #13
                          Originally posted by sqvirrel
                          I guess 90% of the public being on a play makes it contrarian to also be on that play.
                          Wow your 3rd post on SBR is a real gem. I'll look forward to #4.

                          The contrarian system is way more involved than making a play on a team that all the $$ is going on.

                          /speaks on behalf of Pair while he finishes counting his money
                          Comment
                          • Pair of 5s Sir
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-20-08
                            • 4960

                            #14
                            I am back

                            I am back from the birthday party. I will be strapped in for the rest of the afternoon. Great hearing from the contrarian followers. I see their are some questions from the group. Feel free to post your questions. I will do my best not to bore you.

                            The Contrarian
                            Comment
                            • dob08
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 12-04-08
                              • 290

                              #15
                              My question is Deleware?? They are terrible. Down 7 at half and will not cover 5.5. What made this line stand out?
                              Comment
                              • Pair of 5s Sir
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-20-08
                                • 4960

                                #16
                                My point of view

                                Originally posted by dob08
                                My question is Deleware?? They are terrible. Down 7 at half and will not cover 5.5. What made this line stand out?
                                Contrarian indicators exist on several fronts. Statistically when various numbers point in a particular direction, one that is consistent throughout the analysis, it provides insight as to which contrarian play is on the card. Georgia State showed facts pointing in their direction with the line going the other way. Remember gentlemen, contrarian plays with not yield 100% (no fooling). However, it is been my experience that contrarian plays will yield a positive return over the long run. Financial markets are common for contrary plays. There are other factors, but I will not bore you. If losing based on any system play is going to discourage you, I can not help you. One of the downfalls to the contrarian plays is that not many are available everyday. Usually there will be one or two, but that does not discourage me whatsover. But for some, they like alot of action.

                                Your views are always welcomed.

                                The Contrarian
                                Comment
                                • dob08
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 12-04-08
                                  • 290

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
                                  Contrarian indicators exist on several fronts. Statistically when various numbers point in a particular direction, one that is consistent throughout the analysis, it provides insight as to which contrarian play is on the card. Georgia State showed facts pointing in their direction with the line going the other way. Remember gentlemen, contrarian plays with not yield 100% (no fooling). However, it is been my experience that contrarian plays will yield a positive return over the long run. Financial markets are common for contrary plays. There are other factors, but I will not bore you. If losing based on any system play is going to discourage you, I can not help you. One of the downfalls to the contrarian plays is that not many are available everyday. Usually there will be one or two, but that does not discourage me whatsover. But for some, they like alot of action.

                                  Your views are always welcomed.

                                  The Contrarian
                                  13 and 0 run to start the half! Cmon Contrarian.
                                  Comment
                                  • Pair of 5s Sir
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-20-08
                                    • 4960

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by dob08
                                    13 and 0 run to start the half! Cmon Contrarian.
                                    are you on Delaware?
                                    Comment
                                    • Pair of 5s Sir
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-20-08
                                      • 4960

                                      #19
                                      Contrarian Radar

                                      Indiana State goes on the contrarian radar for tonight's 7:05 PM matchup. Contrarian indicators exist with Bradley to surely get a ton of money. I am waiting for line confirmation. I will let you know before gametime if you should get down on them.

                                      The Contrarian
                                      Comment
                                      • dob08
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 12-04-08
                                        • 290

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
                                        are you on Delaware?
                                        yea, i cashed b/c of you. thank u sir.
                                        Comment
                                        • Pair of 5s Sir
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-20-08
                                          • 4960

                                          #21
                                          It's Official

                                          The afternoon contrarian play cashes for the good guys. Delaware started off the game slow but started the second half with a 13-0 run. I would love to hear from those who got down.

                                          Delaware -5.5 (W) risking 1.10 to win 1.0 unit

                                          Beware O Contrare
                                          Comment
                                          • MSUSpartan32
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 10-01-08
                                            • 948

                                            #22
                                            Tailed you on it 5's. Nice win.
                                            Comment
                                            • Pair of 5s Sir
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-20-08
                                              • 4960

                                              #23
                                              Non believer

                                              Originally posted by dob08
                                              yea, i cashed b/c of you. thank u sir.
                                              You were a non-believer early. I am glad you stuck in there. As a contrario you need to be patient and disciplined.

                                              The Contrarian
                                              Comment
                                              • Blazermaniac
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 10-30-08
                                                • 556

                                                #24
                                                Great call Pair....Tech did cover.
                                                Comment
                                                • Blazermaniac
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 10-30-08
                                                  • 556

                                                  #25
                                                  Indiana St.....boy that's a tough one. I don't know. The trend looks right but it also said they can be blown out, too. Checked the starters...Bradley's average a point or two better than States. Won 3 of last 4. By 11 on 1/13 at States. This will be a tough one. Let me know and I'll make a last minute decision.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-20-08
                                                    • 4960

                                                    #26
                                                    Radar Screen II

                                                    Indiana State continues to blink on the radar. Waiting for line confirmation in order to pull the trigger. Sit tight, I will post back before gametime.

                                                    The Contrarian
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-20-08
                                                      • 4960

                                                      #27
                                                      Selection II

                                                      The money is dumping in on Bradley. Contrarian indicators are present, with line confirmation. Go to the window boys and get Indiana State.

                                                      Indiana State +12.

                                                      The Contrarian
                                                      Comment
                                                      • MSUSpartan32
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 10-01-08
                                                        • 948

                                                        #28
                                                        On it at +12.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-20-08
                                                          • 4960

                                                          #29
                                                          Radar Screen III

                                                          Florida International University is coming up as a potential play. Waiting for line confirmation to form. Sit tight, this one is developing.

                                                          The Contrarian
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Blazermaniac
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 10-30-08
                                                            • 556

                                                            #30
                                                            I am too late. Just got back. Couldn't catch Ind St. Was laying off Notre Dame as 68% was on it. Will look at your other picks and scanning the lines for any games left for the night.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 04-20-08
                                                              • 4960

                                                              #31
                                                              Selection III

                                                              Go to the window and get Florida International University. They can't win for shit on the road, but not tonight.

                                                              FIU +2

                                                              The Contrarian
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Blazermaniac
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 10-30-08
                                                                • 556

                                                                #32
                                                                K....line looks good....will be pulling my hair out but taking UL Lafayette +2. S. Alabama getting all the plays. UL played Western KY tough on the road. Though their record doesn't reflect their play....they should pull this out. S Alabama is the better team but you never know. Just have to cross your fingers. This will be a nail biter.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 007Fatty
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-14-09
                                                                  • 2267

                                                                  #33
                                                                  hey pair quick question. why do you think florida will cover? like i put a bet on them because i figure wat the hell hah but wat makes you think they will??
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-20-08
                                                                    • 4960

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by 007Fatty
                                                                    hey pair quick question. why do you think florida will cover? like i put a bet on them because i figure wat the hell hah but wat makes you think they will??
                                                                    There are few contrarian indicators that are present. The most prominent is the road record of FIU, they can't win on the road. That's what the public sees and the linesmaker does not make them a bigger dog. Line movement is less prominent with this selection. Obviously, the contrarian plays are not 100% (no fooling), it is the criteria that leads to a long term successful return.

                                                                    The Contrarian
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Pair of 5s Sir
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-20-08
                                                                      • 4960

                                                                      #35
                                                                      It's Official

                                                                      Indiana State hangs on for a push. I was able to get it at +12. However, I saw the SBR screen showing numbers like 11, 11.5. I hope most of you got +12 to push out.

                                                                      Indiana State +12 (PUSH)

                                                                      Comment
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