2009 College Hoops

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  • Negataur
    SBR Sharp
    • 07-08-07
    • 286

    #1
    2009 College Hoops
    Now the fun begins. Got a good sample of games to use for analysis, and with conference play in full swing, now's the time to start winning .

    Monday 1/12 UL -6.5
    Two efficient offenses, but I feel that UL can win by three possesions. UL defense has been stellar, and with ND's documented road woes, this could be a blowout. I am concerned about the look ahead aspect for the cards, but I don't think that the ND defense will be able to outlast the Cardinal O. (ND's S.O.S. is weak. Losing to St. John's doesn't help.) I'll take the home team on National TV tonight.

    GL to ALL.
  • Negataur
    SBR Sharp
    • 07-08-07
    • 286

    #2
    1-0 (+1 unit)

    If you don't think that luck is part of this "game", than you need to check yourself. I'll take a lucky win over a bad beat any day.

    1/13 Ball St. -4.5

    Northern Illinois is not a good team, and coming off an "impressive" win over a struggling Toledo team does not make them a better team. Ball St. is not great either, but has played a tougher schedule, and has a better Defense than NI. Throw in that Ball St is at home, and I think that they can win by at least two possessions.

    Gl to ALL.
    Comment
    • Negataur
      SBR Sharp
      • 07-08-07
      • 286

      #3
      2-0 (+2.0 Units)

      Ball St waited till the end to pull it out by .5 point. My local had it @ -5.5

      Wed 1/14

      Georgetown -6. More of a play against Syracuse, than anything else, and I feel that this number will drop. Just feel that the Orange are due for a bad game, and I'll lay two possessions. I feel the Hoyas will play better than they did vs. Providence. Look for another output like the one vs. UCONN a few weeks ago.

      West Virginia -14.5 I'm sure this number will rise over the next six hours, but a neutral site, and a two game losing streak will have the Mountaineers ready. I expect a blowout win for, IMO, one of the top 10 teams in the nation.

      GL to ALL.
      Comment
      • Negataur
        SBR Sharp
        • 07-08-07
        • 286

        #4
        3-1 (+1.9 Units)

        1/15

        Northeastern -3.5. This team is coming together, and should easily win by two possessions. NE has played well against some good competition, and is starting to roll. DEL beat VCU @ Home, but also lost to NC-Wilm. I'll take the hotter team and lay the points.

        XAV/URI OVER 150.5 Both teams scoring very well lately. Should be a tight game, up and down the court, similar to UNC @ WAKE on Sunday.

        GL to ALL.
        Comment
        • Negataur
          SBR Sharp
          • 07-08-07
          • 286

          #5
          4-2 (+1.8 Units)

          1/17

          ALA/AUB UNDER 136. Too much Defense, not enough offense in this matchup. There may not be 50 points at halftime, and I don't see either team getting to 68.

          GL to ALL
          Comment
          • Negataur
            SBR Sharp
            • 07-08-07
            • 286

            #6
            4-3 (+.7 Units)

            Hmmmmmmmmm........

            4-1 on sides and 0-2 on totals. Wonder what I'll be playing from now on

            1/19 St. Peter's +11

            Love this line. Manhattan is a team that is getting better, but had a hard time with Loyola-MD on Friday, and the Peacocks geat Loyala last week. St. Peter's has been playing much better as of late. I just feel that the 11 is a gift, and wouldn't be surprised to see SPC pull off the upset.

            GL to ALL
            Comment
            • Negataur
              SBR Sharp
              • 07-08-07
              • 286

              #7
              5-3 (+1.7 Units)
              1/20

              Northern Illinois -4.5

              NIU has been playing alot better, and should easily get this one by two possessions. NIU coming home after two tough road losses, should be fired up for a victory at home. EMU just lost to Toledo by 12, and won't be able to get enough O to come close.

              GL to ALL
              Comment
              • Negataur
                SBR Sharp
                • 07-08-07
                • 286

                #8
                6-3 (+2.7 Units)
                1/21

                Xavier -12.5

                Don't usually like these huge lines on the road, but I honestly feel that Xavier will put the beat down on this St. Bonny team. I think they win by twenty, and I expect the line to rise to 14. Too much Xavier D, and not enough St. Bonny O.

                GL to ALL
                Comment
                • Negataur
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 07-08-07
                  • 286

                  #9
                  7-3 (+3.7 Units)
                  1/22

                  Weber St. -11

                  Another double digit road fav, but Sac. St. is one of the worst in the nation. Weber St. has played some decent opposition, and after that loss at home to Montana St, I'm sure they will be motivated to take care of business against a much weaker Sac. St. squad.

                  GL to ALL
                  Comment
                  • Negataur
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 07-08-07
                    • 286

                    #10
                    7-4 (+2.6 Units)

                    1/23

                    Brown +6 I think Brown will keep this one close, and could win outright. These two played last week, and Brown lead all of the first half, including a 17-6 start. Half way through the second Yale took the lead, and the game was alot closer than 70-62 final. Recent trend has the season series splitting the past 2 years, and I think that two possessions is is more than what Brown will need.

                    GL to ALL
                    Comment
                    • Targetman
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 01-22-09
                      • 11

                      #11
                      Nice job, Keep it going. Computer gives me a slight lean to Yale, but that about it.
                      Comment
                      • Negataur
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 07-08-07
                        • 286

                        #12
                        8-4 (+3.6 Units)
                        Thanks TMan. I guess your slight lean for YALE was accurate.

                        1/24
                        Notre Dame +2

                        Just don't think that UCONN can keep this ND team down. Harangody will win the battle vs Thabeet. This is the typical down game for Calhoun and his squad. ND has the home record at stake, as well as their season.


                        GL to ALL
                        Comment
                        • Negataur
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 07-08-07
                          • 286

                          #13
                          8-5 (+2.5 Units)

                          1/26

                          Marquette +3 I think this is a trap, and I don't feel that ND can cover even that small of a number. The BE is very competitive, teams are noticing how to stop ND, and ND has not fared well against good defending teams. I think Vegas wants the public to get on ND, and I hope it rises to 3.5 or 4. Marquette could easily win this one, and I'll take the points.


                          GL to ALL
                          Comment
                          • TPowell
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-21-08
                            • 18842

                            #14
                            nice job to stick to sides, ****ing hate totals. Seems like you're playing a lot more on random events in totals. BOL today but I'm not on ND
                            Comment
                            • Negataur
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 07-08-07
                              • 286

                              #15
                              9-5 (+3.5 Units)

                              1/27

                              George Mason -12 GM coming home of a 2 game losing streak, facing a terrible D in Delaware. This one could be close at half time, but I think GM pulls away, and wins by 15.

                              GL to ALL
                              Comment
                              • Negataur
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 07-08-07
                                • 286

                                #16
                                10-5 (+4.5 Units)

                                1/28

                                James Madison PICK

                                Don't get this line at all, but I see the home team being favored for this one. Coming off a tough loss to Hofstra, JMU will be ready for a win. Love that I don't have to give the points!

                                GL to ALL
                                Comment
                                • Negataur
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 07-08-07
                                  • 286

                                  #17
                                  10-6 (+3.4 Units)

                                  1/29

                                  MSU -6.5

                                  I know about the Iowa D, and I know how hard it is to play @ Iowa, but I really feel that MSU will get it done by at least three possessions tonight.

                                  GL to ALL
                                  Comment
                                  • MicGan
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-11-09
                                    • 666

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Negataur
                                    10-6 (+3.4 Units)

                                    1/29

                                    MSU -6.5

                                    I know about the Iowa D, and I know how hard it is to play @ Iowa, but I really feel that MSU will get it done by at least three possessions tonight.

                                    GL to ALL
                                    Unlikely ... Iowa is much better at home.GL
                                    Comment
                                    • Negataur
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 07-08-07
                                      • 286

                                      #19
                                      11-6 (+4.4 Units)

                                      1/30

                                      PENN +5

                                      Love taking points on these friday night Ivy League tilts. Harvard beat BC, but is that enough to make them a 2 possession fave? PENN is not much better, but not much worse. Throw in some key injuries to Harvard, and I'll take the points.

                                      GL to ALL
                                      Comment
                                      • Negataur
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 07-08-07
                                        • 286

                                        #20
                                        12-6 (+5.4 Units)

                                        1/31

                                        LOUISVILLE -6

                                        WVA is a very young and promising team, but I don't think they match up well vs. a very agressive defense like UL. The cards are hot right now, and as much as I love WVA, I think they lose this one by more than three possessions.

                                        GL to ALL
                                        Comment
                                        • Negataur
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 07-08-07
                                          • 286

                                          #21
                                          12-6 (+5.4 Units)

                                          Hmm...... UL up big in the first half, and then they let WVA get back into it. Sosa misses a FT at the end to go up by 7. Something fishy here......... I'll remember this UL Defense come tourney time.

                                          2/1

                                          ILLINOIS -12

                                          36 points in their last game will get ILL up for this one. Iowa offense will not be able to get it going today vs a very stingy ILL D. I'll lay the big number, and hope that ILL gets out of their FUNK.

                                          GL to ALL
                                          Comment
                                          • Bookman
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 01-30-09
                                            • 81

                                            #22
                                            Very solid performance so far, Negataur. Hope it continues, and GL!
                                            Comment
                                            • Negataur
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 07-08-07
                                              • 286

                                              #23
                                              12-7 (+4.3 Units)

                                              2/5

                                              Temple +9

                                              I know that Temple has not been the best road team, but I think they will keep this one close, and possibly have a chance to send this to OT for the win. I think that Xavier will ultimately win, but I have a feeling that Temple will hang in to keep it to 3 possessions.

                                              GL to ALL
                                              Comment
                                              • Negataur
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 07-08-07
                                                • 286

                                                #24
                                                12-7 (+4.3 Units)

                                                2/5

                                                Gonzaga -10

                                                Too much Defense by the Zags will keep Portland's 3 PT attack at bay. Portland's been hot, but so have the Zags. I just don't think that Portland can hang with one of the best teams in the nation.

                                                GL to ALL
                                                Comment
                                                • Negataur
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 07-08-07
                                                  • 286

                                                  #25
                                                  13-7 (+5.3 Units)

                                                  2/6

                                                  St. Peter's +16.5

                                                  Peacocks have been playing alot better in the last month, and any spread over 10 in this conference is worth playing the dog. Niagara is good, but I think this is too many points.

                                                  GL to ALL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Negataur
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 07-08-07
                                                    • 286

                                                    #26
                                                    13-8 (+4.2 Units)

                                                    2/9

                                                    Kansas +4.5

                                                    This KU team is one of the hottest in the nation, and I know Mizzou has been playing well, but I don't think they get it done on National TV. Two possessions is alot for such a close match-up, and I could easily see KU winning outright.

                                                    GL to ALL
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Negataur
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 07-08-07
                                                      • 286

                                                      #27
                                                      14-8 64% (+5.2 Units)
                                                      2/11

                                                      VCU -12

                                                      Tough spot for JMU, on the road, against a very good VCU team that is hungry to stay with NE in the CAA, and JMU may be with out one of its star players. JMU has been on a nice 3 game streak, including a big win vs. Mason, but this will be a let down game.

                                                      Duke +1.5

                                                      No write-up required. Just taking the home team for round 1.

                                                      GL to ALL
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Negataur
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 07-08-07
                                                        • 286

                                                        #28
                                                        14-10 (+3 Units)

                                                        Still licking my wounds from Wed, and I'm ready for better days.

                                                        2/13

                                                        Dartmouth +8.5

                                                        I have stated before that I love taking Ivy dogs on Friday night, and this is the best one of the night. Dartmouth has been playing very well in their last 5, and Columbia has been very streaky. Wouldn't be surprised to see Dartmouth pull the upset.

                                                        GL to ALL
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Negataur
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 07-08-07
                                                          • 286

                                                          #29
                                                          14-11 (+1.9 Units)

                                                          2/14

                                                          Syracuse -4.5

                                                          Since beating UCONN, GT has gone 3-8 SU, and 1-9-1 ATS. Syracuse needs to get a big win vs. a very mediocre GT team. Could be over early for the Hoyas.

                                                          GL to ALL
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Negataur
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 07-08-07
                                                            • 286

                                                            #30
                                                            14-12 (+.8 Units)

                                                            'Cuse up 16 and let Gtown send it to OT. Terrible.

                                                            2/16

                                                            UCONN -2.5

                                                            Was waiting for the line to drop all day. Huskies will take care of business tonight.

                                                            GL to ALL
                                                            Comment
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