Todays Plays

[strictlywinners]

Wright State +11
Hopefully they are Right State tonight and not Wrong State, seriously though they are a very good team this year, Butler has played well as of late but I don't think they have the fire power to beat this team by double digits, no team holds more then a 8 point lead all game.

FIU +6.5
I know everyone is in love with Western Kentucky because of the run they went on last year. This was largely because of a superstar of the name of Courtney Lee, or something Lee, I'm not good with names. Well he is no longer there but the public is still in love with this team. They just got smacked in the mouth by Mississippi State and they will not have recovered from that loss. They will play uninspired basketball tonight. And I think they lose this one outright.

SanJose State +3
Boise is a very good team this year, and I like their chances of hammering a Mediocre San Jose State team that struggles to win on the road. Many of you may be wondering then why is your pick San Jose State. Its simple I feel the odds makers are much smarter then me on this one. Boise is just too easy, the are begging for action on Boise and there has to be a reason, some matchup I'm missing. So San Jose is the play, moneyline as well.

Washington State -1
California has been playing out of their minds lately beating Arizona the Arizona State. Washington State has played lack luster basketball just getting a beat down from Washington. Well that will be a wake up for them, there walk it up style and good defense will bother California and disrupt the flow of their transition offense. Washington State by double digits tonight.

Hawaii +6
Hawaii is on the road at Idaho, yes Hawaii on the road I know its amazing, Idaho just beat a decent Nevada team and will be pretty high on themselves, thinking they are better then they actually are. This will lead to many of their players playing outside their talent. Hawaii has lost a couple in a row and will be determined to win and execute their gameplan. I like Hawaii to win outright.


There is possibly 2 more play, I'm just waiting to see what happens with the lines. I absolutely love the plays posted above though.

[strictlywinners]

One more thing, I advice not to put any of these plays in until right before gametime, I feel we will get a better line on most of them.

[MrMonkey]

Well you just killed my thinking of going with Cal? Your too hot to go the other way! Figured Cal-3 after Sunday's game. Well for debate purposes, I give Cal pk as side?

Mike M. has them clicking on all cylinders. Yes, shooting ungodly right now (50% from 3) and Washst (30 % from 3) won't last. Randle crazy 1.84 PPS, but they have good 8 man rotation ( 5 juniors starting), Christopher good second option. Don't turn ball over for uptempo team. Cal might just be this good?

WashSt will slow things down, have senior leadership (9 frosh on club though) but lost best 3 players to graduation. They might just not have the people to score enough to win? Lost slow down game to Baylor at home? Played some good teams, lost all of them? Might not lose 2nd straight at home and go 0-2 in Pac10? If Wash St wins this then!!! Thanks for your help!

MrMonkey

[strictlywinners]

No problem my man, I love Cal as a team, I just don't love them tonight. Washington state getting beat up by Washington will be a wakeup call. If odds makers felt that call was that good they would have adjusted the line to make them the initial favorite. I do believe Cal is that good and that they will upset teams in the tourney but think like a Cal player right now. You just beat Arizona and Arizona State pretty handily, now you travel to play a team that can't get a win, and they look terrible. Are you going to give a team that can't win the same respect , probably not, you are, you are going to go in there thinking that you deserve to win just because you are the better team, which they are. The better team unfortunately does not always win. Washington States defense gets it done tonight, Cal shoots sub 40% from the field.

[WestsidePete]

Strictly, Hawaii won their last game...I'm leaning Idaho as this is only Hawaii's second road game all year...first one in a month and Idaho is 5-1 at home...losing only to Wash St there...

[strictlywinners]

Yea I know Hawaii won there last one, they won on that last 2nd shot, I was thinking they lost because I had Latech +7 so I won. But yes you are absolutely right they did win their last game, and they are traveling for the first time in a long time. Part of I guess you would call it trend I have been going with or atleast considering as part of my analysis, is teams winning a game they shouldn't have won, losing their next game. Idaho should not have beat Nevada just like BC shouldn't have beat North Carolina and Georgetown shouldn't have beat Uconn. When you get a big emotional win, it is draining you tend to party to much after it, and not work as hard, almost always get surprised by the next team you play, no matter how bad the are or how little road games they have played.

[homerbush]

Yea I know Hawaii won there last one, they won on that last 2nd shot, I was thinking they lost because I had Latech +7 so I won. But yes you are absolutely right they did win their last game, and they are traveling for the first time in a long time. Part of I guess you would call it trend I have been going with or atleast considering as part of my analysis, is teams winning a game they shouldn't have won, losing their next game. Idaho should not have beat Nevada just like BC shouldn't have beat North Carolina and Georgetown shouldn't have beat Uconn. When you get a big emotional win, it is draining you tend to party to much after it, and not work as hard, almost always get surprised by the next team you play, no matter how bad the are or how little road games they have played.

Don't you love sometimes now instead of actuallly knowing who won or lost the game you know who covered or didn't cover. I was all excited a few weeks ago about some game and my friend was but they lost and I told him I didn't even remember that part of it.

[WestsidePete]

I agree....but Idaho lost their last game to Utah St..so I'd think that's on their minds more then the prior win before that game...man, you have been hot lately so I'm worried I'm on the opp side on so many selections against you today...but this one I actually feel strongly about..

[strictlywinners]

Yea I tell people whether it be my friends, or just someone I am advising on gambling and why I'm taking something compared to something else. You don't bet with your heart or your mind, you bet with your wallet, money is the only thing that matters. Thats why I can't stand sometimes these gamblers, that stress every second of every game, then you are gambling for the entertainment value, and thats ok, but you will be a loser in the long run, you are paying to be entertained. Sure I like watching my action too, but there is no point in stressing until the last 5 minutes of the game.

[strictlywinners]

Very true they did lose to Utah State but that was still part of the road trip, they had not got to be back on campus yet, and fully enjoy the Nevada win, it should be an interesting game, and I hate that your against me, but atleast this way one of us will have to be right. So i'll be happy with any outcome, well maybe just a little bit happier with Hawaii win.

[WestsidePete]

I'm leaning to switched sides on the Wash St/Cal game...Cal just finished a six game home stand and added that Wash St just lost to Was have to believe they figure out a game plan that will frustrate Cal at home...

[strictlywinners]

Exactly, that is exactly as I see it.

[WestsidePete]

I'm starting to like these plays....Wright St coming in on a good winning streak so they will be confident, especially knowing their past with Butler and they both play great defense with both giving up 57 pts a game...Butler advantage is they shoot 3's better...but with Wright St's confidence they can hit a few here....and only one opponent in their last six has shot higher then 40%....Butler probably wins but I agree with the Wright St play....

[WestsidePete]

not sure what you thought about Stanford +7 but really like this one....3 starters from last year ....Wash all happy about rolling their in state rival...love getting 7 pts with Stanford, I watched them vs Arizona and they're a solid team...

[strictlywinners]

Ok I stayed away from Stanford because they just got big win at home and Washington just got big win on the road, they are both traveling. I was waiting for a total to be posted on this game to see if I could come up with something.

[sportsguy04]

What do you think about New Mexico st at home -4.5 to nevada? Or Montana -3.5? Or VCU -4

[strictlywinners]

Way to many games for me, New Mexico State should win, but seems way to easy, bettors are in the I hate Nevada stage right now, because of their recent performance, that usually means they win when everyone is against them.

Montana historically plays good at home, but I made a rule this year, if I can't name atleast 2 players from the team, I can't take the game. And I don't even know one from there team.

VCU -4 I like it a little bit they are a solid team and I love the way they play, I do not like it enough to put money on it though.

[fiveteamer]

All the money is on Cal but the line is not reflecting that,

[scwical]

What are your thoughts on Minn +2. I love the way they are playing right now but they do scary me alittle going on the road to Iowa.

[bamasman47]

I'm going to parlay Washington st -1 and Wright st+11 for 3 units like yesterday. Wish me luck! Amen to the Gambling Gods!

[fiveteamer]

bet tracker says 94% of the money is on Western Kentucky, can that be right???

[strictlywinners]

If anything slight lean towards Iowa, again another leave alone game for me, could go either way, I just don't have any angles or reads on it.

[strictlywinners]

bet tracker says 94% of the money is on Western Kentucky, can that be right???

Don't trust bettracker and Vegas insider, they are all scams, a signifgant majority of the money is definitely on Western Kentucky, no way 94% though, I love FIU, like I said, every bettor is in love with Western Kentucky because of what they did in tourney last year. This year they are playing as a favorite and not a dog and that is a different story.

[strictlywinners]

Iowa vs. Minnesota Under 122
Both teams have had tons of time to prepare for this game, if you look at all these teams wins, they come when they hold teams under 60 points, well if they are both trying to limit each others possessions and they are both playing good hard Defense this game has under written all over it. They will both have to shoot over 50% for this game to go over.

[strictlywinners]

Stanford vs. Washington Under 150
Stanford learned in their last game against Arizona that defense is what wins games, Washington tries to play at an uptempo pace but they are coming off playing Washington State who they handled in a pretty slow grind it out game. It is hard for a team to win one way then come back and go back to their regular style without some complications. Washington will look to run tonight but I see them turning the ball over on some fast breaks and making some bad decisions shot wise. This game of course could go either way because if Washington is making shots it will force Stanford to play faster. Regardless I like the under.

[strictlywinners]

2-5 last night tough night, I dropped 12k, still up on the week, hopefully a day like yesterday means the winners are coming today. DId I mention I hate those pussies at Oklahoma.

[cruzanbeast]

Do you like anyone tonight?

[strictlywinners]

Nah man, NBA tonight for me, tons of games on the board, no reason to touch these wack as conferences. Its like watching a highschool game.

[homerbush]

Nah man, NBA tonight for me, tons of games on the board, no reason to touch these wack as conferences. Its like watching a highschool game.

really? You are going about it all wrong if you play college tonight you are betting on teams that mostly only alumni and fans are betting on. A lot easier to gain an edge than betting on the NBA or the top conferences of college where the lines are more accurate.