Thursday Leans/Plays

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  • sportsguy04
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-21-08
    • 11885

    #1
    Thursday Leans/Plays
    Leans:

    New Mexico St. -5 -- really like them at home here.

    Iowa -1 - minnesota playing an away game?

    Montana -3 --at home, Ive learned home team jus about always covers here in the Big Sky or BigWest conference.

    CAL +1 -- -LETS PLAY IT BIG, havent had a away game in quite some time but this team is forrreal and can score, unlike wash st. who isnt very offensively efficient.

    Stanford +6.5
  • sportsguy04
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-21-08
    • 11885

    #2
    Oh how could I forget to add:

    Florida -5 BIG
    Comment
    • ManBearPig
      SBR MVP
      • 12-04-08
      • 2473

      #3
      As much as I hate to say it I agree with you on NMSU or as us Nev fans like to call them LCCC (Las Cruces Community College) Anyways...they are in a pretty good position to cover here as we have no identity this year and can't play with any consistency at all. By losing to Idaho on Sat I will have to fade them until I see anything that proves me different. Although we have to talent to hang we don't have the cohesiveness or confidence to know that we can compete in a hostel environment in conferenece play. The WAC will be very competetive this year and teams will be doing their damnest to hold down home court. I would be shocked if Nevada covers or even wins outright here.
      Comment
      • BigMoney
        SBR High Roller
        • 10-15-07
        • 149

        #4
        My Early leans

        1)Butler-10 love em at home


        2)N.Mexico st-5 at home as well


        3)CAL-1 Big play as well love em..


        also looking at Utah st-5 and Boise St-5....
        Comment
        • sportsguy04
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-21-08
          • 11885

          #5
          Also lean VCU -3.5 at drexel.
          Comment
          • djpremier36
            SBR MVP
            • 12-11-08
            • 3479

            #6
            Originally posted by BigMoney
            1)Butler-10 love em at home


            2)N.Mexico st-5 at home as well


            3)CAL-1 Big play as well love em..


            also looking at Utah st-5 and Boise St-5....
            Picks look good...I might parlay them
            Comment
            • WestsidePete
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 07-19-07
              • 8049

              #7
              Cal pk....will be my largest play tomorrow
              Stanford +7
              Idaho -6.5 (Hawaii's first road game in a month..second all yr)
              Boise St -5
              South Alabama -5.5
              Comment
              • WestsidePete
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 07-19-07
                • 8049

                #8
                and a 3 team ml parlay
                Portland St
                Butler
                Arizona

                Not sure what it pays but can't see any of these three losing at home tomorrow
                Comment
                • WestsidePete
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 07-19-07
                  • 8049

                  #9
                  This parlay will pay good..don't the payout but must be big

                  Knicks +8.5
                  Fla -3
                  Cal pk
                  Comment
                  • cheesehead004
                    Restricted User
                    • 12-24-08
                    • 715

                    #10
                    I'm like NM St and Cal as well guys. Hope those hit. I'm also on Oregon State +21 against ASU.
                    Comment
                    • SexyMit
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-12-06
                      • 6139

                      #11
                      Cal only a pk? That doesn't sound right.
                      If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                      I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                      Comment
                      • fiveteamer
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-14-08
                        • 10805

                        #12
                        This has to be a sucker bet, 81% of the money is on Cal, the line is at a PK?
                        Comment
                        • mmike032
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 09-11-08
                          • 8905

                          #13
                          are their any injuries ?
                          Comment
                          • fiveteamer
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 04-14-08
                            • 10805

                            #14
                            I wouldn't touch that.


                            TRAP.
                            Comment
                            • Mr Handicapable
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-23-07
                              • 6067

                              #15
                              I live in Indy and follow Butler pretty closely & Wright State gives us trouble! They've covered 4 straight vs Butler (3 SU wins)..they've also won 8 of 9 coming in! I think I'm taking the 10.5 here!!
                              Comment
                              • strictlywinners
                                Restricted User
                                • 07-17-07
                                • 3377

                                #16
                                I hate to say it, but I'm against you guys on almost all your plays today, well atleast one of us will have a good day.
                                Comment
                                • SexyMit
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 10-12-06
                                  • 6139

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by fiveteamer
                                  I wouldn't touch that.


                                  TRAP.
                                  Teamer I was kinda thinking the same thing.... It just doesn't make sense. I will be on Washington St
                                  If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                  I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                  Comment
                                  • WestsidePete
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 07-19-07
                                    • 8049

                                    #18
                                    Cal coming off a six game home stand and Wash St just got rolled by Was...I'm also on Wash St now...
                                    Comment
                                    • skieracer
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 11-09-08
                                      • 215

                                      #19
                                      I LIKE WASH ST ALSO IN THIS GAME
                                      Comment
                                      • Mr Handicapable
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 09-23-07
                                        • 6067

                                        #20
                                        I like Jacksonville State +5 ML +190! They beat Tenn Tech on the road by 16 & they're better than E. Kentucky! E. Ky. has dropped 4 in a row...losing at home to Indiana/Northwest (whoever that is?) and 0-2 ATS in lined home games!

                                        Jx State +5 for 2 units
                                        Jx State ML +190 for 1 unit
                                        Comment
                                        • Mr Handicapable
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-23-07
                                          • 6067

                                          #21
                                          NM State down to 4.5? I just cashed a nice dog ML on them vs San Jose...they've only lost 1 at home and Nevada is struggling? Can't see why the line is dropping
                                          Comment
                                          • skieracer
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 11-09-08
                                            • 215

                                            #22
                                            whats your solid picks for today sports guy
                                            Comment
                                            • sportsguy04
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-21-08
                                              • 11885

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by skieracer
                                              whats your solid picks for today sports guy
                                              Leaning VCU -4 and NMSU -4.5. Also Like Strictlys pick of Wright St. +10. ALso Montana -3.5 at home, NAU is horrible on the road.

                                              I like Cal +1 and that Over 121. But we shall see. You know me, I dont lock my game in untill hour or so before game starts.
                                              Comment
                                              • skieracer
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-09-08
                                                • 215

                                                #24
                                                lots of guys going to other way on that cali game im liking new mexico and wright state, whats your thought on utah-7.5 and montana thinking about hitting that one big
                                                Comment
                                                • sportsguy04
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-21-08
                                                  • 11885

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by skieracer
                                                  lots of guys going to other way on that cali game im liking new mexico and wright state, whats your thought on utah-7.5 and montana thinking about hitting that one big
                                                  Yup I see Im alone on CALI. May play it small because something is obviously up with that line. CAL playing out of their minds and Wash St. really struggling. OVER 121 could be worth a shot at not sure.

                                                  But I really like New Mexico St at home -4.5 and Montana. NAU is coming off that what triple OT? Now they hit the road vs. a good home team. Ill take Montana in this spot by 10.

                                                  Strong leans: NMSU, Montana. Smaller play on Wright St and CAL.

                                                  Still looking at VCU.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • WestsidePete
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 07-19-07
                                                    • 8049

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by skieracer
                                                    lots of guys going to other way on that cali game im liking new mexico and wright state, whats your thought on utah-7.5 and montana thinking about hitting that one big

                                                    I've seen L Tech play a couple of games they are not horrible and Utah St giving up 7 pts on the road will be tough to cover IMO...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • rawkstarr
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 10-14-08
                                                      • 387

                                                      #27
                                                      I'm liking Minnesota +1.5, Oregon +11.5 and St Louis +15.5. Any thoughts??
                                                      Comment
                                                      • skieracer
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 11-09-08
                                                        • 215

                                                        #28
                                                        think im going to tke wright state+11 utah-7.5 newmexcio-5.5 south alabama-6 and maybe iowa-1 im not going to touch that cal game to close for me oh ya i also like montana -3 think ill parley utah, south alabama, and montana for 3 units what u think
                                                        Comment
                                                        • skieracer
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 11-09-08
                                                          • 215

                                                          #29
                                                          Thanks for the info westside pete i guess i will take them out of my parley and play them small, might take boise st -3 instead
                                                          Comment
                                                          • sportsguy04
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 10-21-08
                                                            • 11885

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by WestsidePete
                                                            I've seen L Tech play a couple of games they are not horrible and Utah St giving up 7 pts on the road will be tough to cover IMO...
                                                            Agreed. I would lean Ltech there.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • WestsidePete
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 07-19-07
                                                              • 8049

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by skieracer
                                                              think im going to tke wright state+11 utah-7.5 newmexcio-5.5 south alabama-6 and maybe iowa-1 im not going to touch that cal game to close for me oh ya i also like montana -3 think ill parley utah, south alabama, and montana for 3 units what u think
                                                              L Tech also just finished a 3 game road trip where they covered all three ATS but lost 2 of 3 straight up...now coming back home be careful taking Utah St here...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • WestsidePete
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 07-19-07
                                                                • 8049

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by skieracer
                                                                Thanks for the info westside pete i guess i will take them out of my parley and play them small, might take boise st -3 instead

                                                                Yes...I saw them beat Hawaii on the road...good passing team with a low spread here as well...I'm also on them tonite
                                                                Comment
                                                                • sportsguy04
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-21-08
                                                                  • 11885

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by rawkstarr
                                                                  I'm liking Minnesota +1.5, Oregon +11.5 and St Louis +15.5. Any thoughts??
                                                                  I actually think Iowa covers at home. But I saw someone say Iowas leading scorer has mono? Havent been following Iowa much this year so not too sure. But minny hasnt played a road game in a long time. Ranked team on the road in conference and getting points? i like Iowa here. Not sure on the other 2.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • WestsidePete
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 07-19-07
                                                                    • 8049

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I'm on the under 123 in the Minn/Iowa game...don't think both teams can reach 60 in the game...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • sportsguy04
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-21-08
                                                                      • 11885

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Also like UC-Davis -4 at home vs. Riverside.
                                                                      Comment
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