Tues, Dec 23 Plays

curious · 12-23-08, 09:53 AM

Changed leans to picks

Well, for better or worse I changed the leans to picks. Help me baby jesus.

Husker36 · 12-23-08, 10:17 AM

IMO...... this young Kansas team..... who has yet to play a road game this year..... will get beat at Arizona. However, nothing is for sure and you may feel that you are getting good value laying 300 to win 420.

I'm also not a big fan of your Cleveland St pick. They SHOULD win..... but I think the better value is Kent St ML. I LOVE Kent St +7.5!!

ANYWAY..... good luck and have a great Christmas!

Crayzee · 12-23-08, 01:45 PM

just want to say that in general i think the small ml favorites are not very good bets overall
take a look at your percent of winners vs losers on those
by small i think i mean all games where the regular spread is less than 10 pts

curious · 12-23-08, 02:26 PM

Originally posted by Crayzee

just want to say that in general i think the small ml favorites are not very good bets overall
take a look at your percent of winners vs losers on those
by small i think i mean all games where the regular spread is less than 10 pts

Okay, I will run the numbers and see. I don't keep records of the spread on the favs, only the moneyline. I'll just make a list of all the plays by moneyline price for favs.

curious · 12-23-08, 02:54 PM

Originally posted by Crayzee

just want to say that in general i think the small ml favorites are not very good bets overall
take a look at your percent of winners vs losers on those
by small i think i mean all games where the regular spread is less than 10 pts

Favs that are -110 to -180 are 12-9
Favs -200 to -595 18-1
Favs -600 >> -Infinity 20-0

Crayzee · 12-23-08, 03:23 PM

like your -200+ numbers
keep up the good work

curious · 12-23-08, 04:38 PM

Added Hofstra ML...

Iona's big man is out with an ankle injury. Jump all over Hofstra.

sportsguy04 · 12-23-08, 04:45 PM

Originally posted by curious

Iona's big man is out with an ankle injury. Jump all over Hofstra.

Got Hofstra -5.5. If i could I would by 1.5 points.

curious · 12-23-08, 04:46 PM

Adding Creighton ML...

Creighton has been tough lately.

Creighton -320 ML 960 to win 300

Husker36 · 12-23-08, 05:15 PM

Ya I like Creighton too.... but that's my hometown team!
I'm thinking that Fresno St is not getting a high enough number because of the beating they took last night. Might be worth looking at Fresno St as well.

curious · 12-23-08, 05:24 PM

Originally posted by Husker36

Ya I like Creighton too.... but that's my hometown team!
I'm thinking that Fresno St is not getting a high enough number because of the beating they took last night. Might be worth looking at Fresno St as well.

I show them with a slight edge, but after the disaster last night I am staying away from them.

curious · 12-23-08, 05:51 PM

Adding Gonzaga and Georgetown ML

If they lose I am wiped out LOL

ebbearsfb1 · 12-23-08, 05:59 PM

curious what site do u use that you get those crazy money lines for zaga and gtown or ne thing more then like -700

curious · 12-23-08, 06:01 PM

Originally posted by ebbearsfb1

curious what site do u use that you get those crazy money lines for zaga and gtown or ne thing more then like -700

Look at SBR Odds.

Ralphie1412 · 12-23-08, 06:08 PM

45,000 units to win 300?

curious · 12-23-08, 06:13 PM

Originally posted by Ralphie1412

45,000 units to win 300?

Unless there is an outbreak of nuclear war, or the entire georgetown team dies of beubonic plague, I don't see how Florida International wins that game.

Ralphie1412 · 12-23-08, 07:25 PM

ya u are probably right, either that or u just flushed your whole good season.

curious · 12-23-08, 08:56 PM

Originally posted by Ralphie1412

ya u are probably right, either that or u just flushed your whole good season.

I guess some of the Gonzaga players have the beubonic plague.

Ralphie1412 · 12-23-08, 09:36 PM

ya u better hope zaga gets theird heads out of their asses

xyzky · 12-23-08, 09:47 PM

I sure hope the Zags pull this one out for you buddy...

curious · 12-23-08, 09:49 PM

Originally posted by xyzky

I sure hope the Zags pull this one out for you buddy...

Looks like my season is over. 37-2 on ML favs and wiped out. LOL

Husker36 · 12-23-08, 09:51 PM

It's not over!!

curious · 12-23-08, 09:52 PM

Going to go kill myself now...

Lost my entire season on Gonzaga...going to go killl myself now.

Bye everyone.

Ralphie1412 · 12-23-08, 09:59 PM

wow i honestly feel bad for u but everyone warned you.

mmike032 · 12-23-08, 10:01 PM

Damn

chalk it up to a hard lesson learned

TPowell · 12-23-08, 10:02 PM

so how much did u win on the 37 wins? Unless they were all like Gonzaga u shouldnt be too far in the hole curious.

curious · 12-23-08, 10:02 PM

Originally posted by Ralphie1412

wow i honestly feel bad for u but everyone warned you.

It was my mistake. The Gonzaga ML was actually too high a price. I did what I have always told myself not to do, I let a team's name bias me. If I had gone strictly by the numbers, the play was Portland St + the points. Oh well. Win some and lose some.

curious · 12-23-08, 10:03 PM

Originally posted by TPowell

so how much did u win on the 37 wins? Unless they were all like Gonzaga u shouldnt be too far in the hole curious.

I think I am actually ahead about $1,000 after this disaster.

TPowell · 12-23-08, 10:04 PM

exactly, if you won an estimated $400 on all of the 37 games you won, that would have netted you around 18.5.

SIL · 12-23-08, 10:08 PM

Hey Curious,

I'm new here, but i've been following your plays for a while now....just wanted to say hang in there and keep up the good work....I'm sure you'll be bounce back!

SLI

curious · 12-23-08, 10:19 PM

Still up $2200 with 6 games still pending...

....do I try to make up for the Gonzaga debacle or do I come back when it is baseball season? I ****ing KILL the books in baseball.

I will let the forum decide.

ebbearsfb1 · 12-23-08, 10:31 PM

i'd say u help the forum out alot maybe, don't bet as much till ur up again. stay around

Masterbettor · 12-23-08, 11:19 PM

Bad luck, Portland st are a live team, shouldn't have risked so much, good luck whatever you decide.

sportsguy04 · 12-24-08, 12:17 AM

Up to you Curious but it looked as if you were beating the books lately in CBB also. Id say come back Saturday and hit it off right. Dont worry about that 1 ML game. Bounce back. Eh just as I thought things were going down hill quick, I make quit a bit of money today. But also going to be glad to take few days off for xmas and then come back Saturday.

Conference Starts Saturday!