Tuesday Leans/PLAys

[sportsguy04]

Monday didnt do so hot.

Honestly, I may call it quits/ take a break Once January 1 hits, just to reevaluate and see. New Years resolution for me. Dont really want to do this anymore. To much stress and takes up alot of time and always on my phone and laptop checking scores.

But untill then....

Tuesday at first glance:

Just leans..

Kent State +8
- The addition of Evans has really given Fisher and Singleterry alot of help adding another weapon on offense. They should keep this within 8.

NIAGARA -2
-probably biggest play of the day. I have been riding them and St. Marys all season so far and they have cashed me
Texas -1.5
- Sort of a coin flip which is why I might not play it.
Missouri -2
- Really like this team this year

Stanford -3 (Also another decent size play)
- Another line that baffles me, so Ill probably lose this one also.

Ill-Chicago -7.5
-Toledo is horrible, Ill-chic has proven they can win on the road. This has blow out written all over it, even with Toledo being at home.

Hofstra -4
BIG Play If Springer is out tommorrow night with an ankle injury. He is Ionas big man and leading scorer.

Only going to play a few and for decent size amount.

[WestsidePete]

Check out this guys gambling problems....pulled this from the San Jose Mercury News looking at the Stanford/Santa Clara matchup

Key Fry's executive arrested in alleged $65 million fraud scheme to pay off Vegas gambling debts
Ausaf Umar 'Omar' Siddiqui, Fry's vice president of merchandising and operations, is facing allegations that he defrauded the San Jose-based company out of $65 million, much of which he used to pay off enormous gambling debts in Las Vegas. Fry's executives didn't know about the illegal kickbacks, the federal complaint states.

[sportsguy04]

Check out this guys gambling problems....pulled this from the San Jose Mercury News looking at the Stanford/Santa Clara matchup

Key Fry's executive arrested in alleged $65 million fraud scheme to pay off Vegas gambling debts
Ausaf Umar 'Omar' Siddiqui, Fry's vice president of merchandising and operations, is facing allegations that he defrauded the San Jose-based company out of $65 million, much of which he used to pay off enormous gambling debts in Las Vegas. Fry's executives didn't know about the illegal kickbacks, the federal complaint states.

Thats sick lol. I would never be like that, I do it for the action and like the fact that I can make a little extra cash. Just a little spending money. But it has me up late hours and glued in front of the computer and tv.

[WestsidePete]

Thats sick lol. I would never be like that, I do it for the action and like the fact that I can make a little extra cash. Just a little spending money. But it has me up late hours and glued in front of the computer and tv.

Same here....man 65 million in the hole...that's crazy... I saw a story about the old owner of the Philadelphia Eagles Leonard Tose...who had a gambling problem in the 70's...had to sell the team for 65 million to pay off 25 million in gambling debts....He blew the rest of the money gambling as well....playing as much as 100k per hand and two hand at a time at the tables....he ended up broke...living in a hotel room for $500 a month...which he couldn't afford...Dick Vermeil...who he hired as coach of the Eagles paid the rent and would visit him.

[sportsguy04]

Same here....man 65 million in the hole...that's crazy... I saw a story about the old owner of the Philadelphia Eagles Leonard Tose...who had a gambling problem in the 70's...had to sell the team for 65 million to pay off 25 million in gambling debts....He blew the rest of the money gambling as well....playing as much as 100k per hand and two hand at a time at the tables....he ended up broke...living in a hotel room for $500 a month...which he couldn't afford...Dick Vermeil...who he hired as coach of the Eagles paid the rent and would visit him.

Yeah but Im just in a terrible cold streak. Would collect money 2 weeks in a row from my local, then the next 3 weeks have to pay that money right back. Been losing money in the long run. NCAAB usually makes me money, just in a cold streak. But this is good, makes me realize how much more spending money I could have and dont want to be that guy that gambles his life away, for I know some people that have. Know a guy that lost his house, car all assets him and his family had to live with his parents for a few years untill he got back on his feet. Now he works at the casino just so he cant play there bcause workers cant come in on their off time and play. I would never be like that, I have a limit, and its just getting old. We will see how it goes the next couple of days.

[WestsidePete]

Yeah but Im just in a terrible cold streak. Would collect money 2 weeks in a row from my local, then the next 3 weeks have to pay that money right back. Been losing money in the long run. NCAAB usually makes me money, just in a cold streak. But this is good, makes me realize how much more spending money I could have and dont want to be that guy that gambles his life away, for I know some people that have. Know a guy that lost his house, car all assets him and his family had to live with his parents for a few years untill he got back on his feet. Now he works at the casino just so he cant play there bcause workers cant come in on their off time and play. I would never be like that, I have a limit, and its just getting old. We will see how it goes the next couple of days.

I hear ya...I'm more tired doing this then working at my job...

[sportsguy04]

I hear ya...I'm more tired doing this then working at my job...

Thats another problem I have. I need to get a job. I had to quit my job to go back to school but now i can work again and looking for a job. So that kind of hurts the funds.

[sportsguy04]

Well im out. Ill check back in the late AM to lock in my games and probably see some lines move the wrong way on me.

[WestsidePete]

Well im out. Ill check back in the late AM to lock in my games and probably see some lines move the wrong way on me.

later...tomorrow will be a good one

[WestsidePete]

3 team ml parlay pays +108
Ill Chi
Dayton
St Mary's

[Msquad]

Dont take Standford!

[curious]

Dont take Standford!

Why not?

[sportsguy04]

it appears that the toledo/ill Chicago line has dropped 2 full points from last night. Its is now at 5.5, going to wait and see how low it goes before I lock that in. kent st. line has also dropped down 2 points which I liked it at 8, not sure about 6.

Hofstra has also gone up 1.5 points. Now at 5.5


Missouri has gone up to 3.5

Texas/ Wisconsin is now a PK game.

Stanford is now 4.5

[MrMonkey]

Don't force anything!

Always like your insight, but maybe waiting till conference play would be a good idea? Seems like it is easier to get a handle on things then? Alot of team experimenting going on now!

Take a few days off and enjoy the holidays!!! Good luck my friend

MrMonkey

[sportsguy04]

Official

Tuesday Official Plays:

So Far.. WIll add few more...

GO BIG OR GO HOME TODAY

7PM Hofstra -5.5 3*
7pm Ill-Chicago - 5.5 5*
7PM Niagara -2.5 1*
7PM Kent ST +6 3*
730 Missouri -3.5 3*
930 Texas PK 4*
1030 Arizona -2.5 3*

1130 Stanford ---waiting on line movement.
Again, based on how I do on the 7pm games, Ill add units to the late games.

Also waiting to see if Stanford can go back down to 4 or 3.5. Its at 4.5 right now. If I see it hits 5, ill play for small.

[Rixsaw]

The question is how did he get multi-million credit from Vegas? I know that for the common folks, if you owe any casino for more than 3 months, they turn the case over the the AG office. The AG office will tag on it's fees and send you a bill. After a year ( I think), they will send out an arrest warrant. I'm surprise that for that kind of money, they haven't arrested him before the fraud investigation.

[Rixsaw]

Good luck sportsguy.

[sportsguy04]

Good luck sportsguy.

Thanks, Im feeling good about todays card. This is going to be whether or not I take a break or not. Win, keep going, lose--break time. GL today.

[schaapattack]

Sportsguy...so is this assuming 100.00 per unit? Im not a big gambler..only have 1500.00 bankroll right now..not sure how much to bet on each of your selections. Thankyou.

[sportsguy04]

Sportsguy...so is this assuming 100.00 per unit? Im not a big gambler..only have 1500.00 bankroll right now..not sure how much to bet on each of your selections. Thankyou.

Check PM.

[curious]

Sportsguy...so is this assuming 100.00 per unit? Im not a big gambler..only have 1500.00 bankroll right now..not sure how much to bet on each of your selections. Thankyou.

With a 1500 bankroll, assuming you are playing plays with a > 54% chance of winning, none of your plays should be > $45 (3% of bankroll). Your unit size should be 10$

[sportsguy04]

Always like your insight, but maybe waiting till conference play would be a good idea? Seems like it is easier to get a handle on things then? Alot of team experimenting going on now!

Take a few days off and enjoy the holidays!!! Good luck my friend

MrMonkey

i agree mr. monkey. Conference play is where its at. Ive set up a plan, that if I lose big today, I shall pay the man, and then switch over to online account, which seems more managable because I will be able to build my account playing ML's and halfs and being able to hedge games.

[curious]

i agree mr. monkey. Conference play is where its at. Ive set up a plan, that if I lose big today, I shall pay the man, and then switch over to online account, which seems more managable because I will be able to build my account playing ML's and halfs and being able to hedge games.

Dude, just follow my favs on the ML > -200. You'll be back in business in no time.

[sportsguy04]

Dude, just follow my favs on the ML > -200. You'll be back in business in no time.

My local doesnt do ML. No online book. Im getting an online book once the hollidays are over. That way I can build my account up with some ML plays and can plays halfs and need be hedge games.

[curious]

My local doesnt do ML. No online book. Im getting an online book once the hollidays are over. That way I can build my account up with some ML plays and can plays halfs and need be hedge games.

Hofstra is a solid play today. Stanford also

[ringemup]

Like Texas pk as the play 2nite. texas has the athleticism to give wisconsin some problems vs their zone defense with balanced interior n outside scoring. kohl center is a tuff place 2 come out with a win considering 3/4 of the fouls go against the road team most o the time. however, with the holidays round the corner look for texas to be the more focused team on the road as wisconsin does not possess the offensive capability to match Texas bucket for bucket. Hammer the longhorns hard in this one. GL

[sportsguy04]

Like Texas pk as the play 2nite. texas has the athleticism to give wisconsin some problems vs their zone defense with balanced interior n outside scoring. kohl center is a tuff place 2 come out with a win considering 3/4 of the fouls go against the road team most o the time. however, with the holidays round the corner look for texas to be the more focused team on the road as wisconsin does not possess the offensive capability to match Texas bucket for bucket. Hammer the longhorns hard in this one. GL

Yup I agree ringemup, Depending on how I do in my 7pm games determins how much I put on Texas at a PK. Hopefully I go atleast 3-1 in the 7pm games so I can lay the wood on texas. Ive been saying all year that texas is has the capability to be a top 5 team this year.

[WestsidePete]

Just put 10 units on Hofstra ML -240...going for it tonite fukk it..I'm feeling it....

[ringemup]

Niagara looks solid too, small number to lay on road i expect them to continue to rise as they r a sleeper team from the MAAC on my list as dangerous teams to play against all season.

[sportsguy04]

Just put 10 units on Hofstra ML -240...going for it tonite fukk it..I'm feeling it....

That cashes for sure my friend. Wish I could play ML's.

[sportsguy04]

Niagara looks solid too, small number to lay on road i expect them to continue to rise as they r a sleeper team from the MAAC on my list as dangerous teams to play against all season.

I have been riding them all year with a 8-1 ATS. But, St. Bonis at home aint no joke either, but they should cover -2.5

[sportsguy04]

UPDATED CARD, Mainly units on each game. Lines are also going in my favor. Hofstra up to 6, Ill-chic 6 now, Kent st, going to 6.5 though.

GO BIG OR GO HOME TODAY

7PM Hofstra -5.5 2*
7pm Ill-Chicago - 5.5 2*
7PM Niagara -2.5 2*
7PM Kent ST +6 2*
730 Missouri -3.5 3*
930 Texas PK 4* --- Depends on how I do in 7pms.
1030 Arizona -2.5 3* -- Also depends

1130 Stanford ---waiting on line movement.
Again, based on how I do on the 7pm games, Ill add units to the late games.

Also waiting to see if Stanford can go back down to 4 or 3.5. Its at 4.5 right now. If I see it hits 5, ill play for small.

[sportsguy04]

Niagara up 16 in 1st half. They are money for me this year.

Ill-Chicago looking good up 14 in 1st.

Kent st. down 15 at half. Hope to see a better performance in 2d half.

Missouri down 11 early.

Hofstra down 3 at half.

[sportsguy04]

Illinois shooting lights out. Missouri down 19.

Need Niagara, Ill-CHI to keep their big leads.

Also need Hofstra to take over 2nd half, game tied up with 17 mins left.

[unde0087]

Missouri is an absolute joke