Thurs Dec 4 we go 18-12 +1200 units

[curious]

Counting all the 2H plays we go 18-12 +1200 units. Best play of the day was Citadel ML +310

We had some very close losses on the ML in UCLA, USC, Buffalo.

You can say whatever you want about following my picks but it isn't boring!!

[dr123]

curious you gonna have plays for tommorow man? Im tailing you i need a good day!

[curious]

curious you gonna have plays for tommorow man? Im tailing you i need a good day!

Yes, they will be posted some time after midnight.

[dr123]

I will be on them all... I bet with a local, so how should i measure my plays according to your units? Just a little confused!

[ManBearPig]

You make some intersting picks but after almost calling that Buffalo game earlier I'm a believer...you know yur shi$. I remember you calling it earlier and it almost made me switch...maybe next time I'll listen or at least do a double take.



Good Job so far this month

[MoneySportsGuy]

curious making plays on college basketball is never boring!

[MoneySportsGuy]

lets win some money on Friday!!!!!

[Lout84]

curious do you have a play for the Ok St 2nd half?

[curious]

I will be on them all... I bet with a local, so how should i measure my plays according to your units? Just a little confused!

The units have to be given a $ amount per unit based on the size of your bankroll using the Kelly criterion with a risk of ruin of no more than 2%. It would be better if you use half kelly. Whether you bet with a local or not is irrelevent.

One thing about betting with locals they move the line as bets come in, so if you are betting with the crowd you want to get your bet in as soon as the local opens a line. If you are betting against the crowd you want to wait until just before game time.

Ask someone in the forum on betting strategy how to calculate a unit size for your bankroll based on 1/2 Kelly with a 2% risk of ruin.

If you don't want to mess with the Kelly Criterion then just know that I use a betting range of 10 to 300 units. 300 units should be no more than 7% of your bankroll. So, you can take your bankroll multiply it by 7% then divide that by 300, that is your unit size. If you dont want to be that aggressive then reduce 7% to the risk of ruin you are willing to have. I would recommend being more cautious at first.

[dr123]

Thanks curious, awaiting your plays as its almost midnight Lol... i will be on them all... I need to get back in the green after tonight!

[Chi_archie]

exciting day for sure Curious...... really was pulling for buffalo there...

i'm looking at Navy/Penn tomorrow..... liking Penn, what's your system say?

[MoneySportsGuy]

lets have a strong Friday curious!

[demize21]

[purplehaze3]

keep it comin