Miami FL/Southern Miss

[Regul8er]

I really like Miami FL in this spot. The line started up at -7.5, and now its down to -6.5. Any reasoning for this? I figured when it was all said and done the line would have shifted up towards -9.

[ZBOIZ]

I'm on Miami -3.5(first half)

[SitAndStack]

SportsInsights shows 70% of 3250 bets are on Miami yet the line has moved from -6.5 -112 to -6.5 -105 or -6 -110. Looks like reverse line movement

[sportsguy04]

The RLM is overrated. People spend to much time focusing on the RLM.

[dwest718]

It's not overrated in College Football and NFL.

Basketball seems to be another story so far this year.

[EaglesPhan36]

Actually yesterday when the lines came out, I believe Miami was -6 to start, so you shouldn't really worry about the movement if you like 'em.

[sportsguy04]

It's not overrated in College Football and NFL.

Basketball seems to be another story so far this year.

From my standpoint it is. I have never lost on the RLM. It doesnt play the game.

[dwest718]

From my standpoint it is. I have never lost on the RLM. It doesnt play the game.

Well I'm up over 40 units in college football and NFL and 80-90% of my plays are on RLM....

So... I guess we'll agree to disagree.

[SitAndStack]

SportsInsights shows 70% of 3250 bets are on Miami yet the line has moved from -6.5 -112 to -6.5 -105 or -6 -110. Looks like reverse line movement

Should have added 'worth noting if this affects your decision making'. Or something along those lines.

Just looking for anyway to contribute positively to threads. Also, even if RLM is not applicable knowing where the public is may be helpful. My two biggest losses yesterday came on Memphis and Vandy where the public was on the same side as me 84% and 71% respectively.

One of the most successful long term sports bettors I know locally almost refuses to bet on game where the public is over 80% and although he doesn't auto fade rlm games he recommends no play most of the time.

Todays consensus plays of the day look to be St Bonnies and ND.....


BOL all!

[BrandonLaz]

Yea I posted my ND play before I saw how the public ate it up now I do not feel to confident in the pick.

[ZXCVBNM]

I've been against the reverse line movement three times in the last two days, and I've won all of them. RLM is BS.

[dwest718]

I've been against the reverse line movement three times in the last two days, and I've won all of them. RLM is BS.

Like I said... it hasn't been working thus far this season. And Vegas is losing a ton of money because of it.

Good luck later this season though

[TPowell]

RLM only works with sports that have a week long betting cycle (football)

[themajormt]

RLM only works with sports that have a week long betting cycle (football)

TP thats an interesting thought... You have anything to back this up or is this just your observations?

[TPowell]

think about it like this. How much time do bookies have to play around with the spread in games with limited time before the tip off (basketball). The longer the lines are out, the more you'll be able to learn. Thats just my 2 cents