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The Money Maker$ Thread

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662
    #1
    The Money Maker$ Thread
    I wanted to start a thread like this in at least one sport. What it should be - teams as the season progresses that you are able to win with in certain situations ...

    Examples:

    *Winning X amount of Times with North Carolina as a favorite of -20 to -25 points at home.

    *Cashing UNDERs with a certain team, especially ones that go under the radar.

    *Cashing OVERs with a certain team, especially ones that go under the radar.

    I think this can be a beneficial thread. I relate it to college football where I made a good amount of cash off Middle Tennessee State UNDERs this season. Think they went under in 7 of 10 so far, but they're a Sun Belt team that alot of folks probably don't pay attention to. Same with Utah and OVERS. Utah is a more widely recognized team because of their BCS buster status, but the OVER is 8-2 in their games, which some might not know. In any case, that's what I hope we can do in this thread for college hoops! So post any tidbits you think will be helpful to others here. Obviously you may want a bigger sample size before posting, but lend your expertise when you think it matters.
    Tags: None
    • bostonbruins
      SBR MVP
      • 04-02-08
      • 3272
      #2
      I guess it's hard to explain exactly but there seems to be a trend with certain NCAA games having inflated O/U and the public always hammers the over.

      UNC/Kentucky last night is one example, the O/U was 160 and the public was 90% on the over. The game stayed under by 25.

      Memphis/Umass from 2 night ago is another one, O/U was 158 and the puiblic was 90% on the over. The game stayed under by 20.

      My last example and maybe the best was Memphis/Kansas last year. I don't recall the O/U exactly but I know the public was heavy on the over, the game went to O/T and still stayed under.

      It seems like the public sees names like UNC, Duke, etc. and automatically plays the over. The books know this and the lines come out 10-20 points higher than they should because they know people will still blind pick the Over. I'll be keeping a closer watch this year and hopefully be cashing big when these situations come around.
        Comment
        • themajormt
          SBR MVP
          • 07-30-08
          • 3964
          #3
          UNCW and OVER this year for college BBALL... If there first 2 games is any indicator of the rest of the season this is definitely something to watch...

          Nice thread! I like the idea...
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662
              #4
              Alright. Had a month now to dissect. Figure it's time to add some. As always, you do need to do research and not blindly play these:

              *Houston UNDERs. Books have over-valued the Cougars ability to score and I think under-valued their defense so far. 3/4 games hit UNDER.

              *UC-Irvine OVERs. 4-0 on the season in this category. Books seem to keep their totals lower because the Anteaters offense is bad, just 62 ppg. But their D is worse, giving up 83 ppg.

              *TCU UNDERs. 4/5 so far this season. TCU isn't scoring alot, 65 ppg, but their D has been stout - 62 ppg against. If you can find offensively challenged opponents or an opponent with a solid D of their own, this has been a decent wager so far.
                Comment
                • tin8shusd
                  Restricted User
                  • 01-16-07
                  • 315
                  #5
                  i know this is the college bball forum, but for what it's worth i've noticed one of these trends in the nba this year that has made me some good money.

                  *toronto raptors over @ home

                  although their last two at home have gone under the total, much to my chigrin, the over was 5-0 before then, so this is a trend to definitely keep an eye on in my opinion.
                    Comment
                    • MoneySportsGuy
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-09-07
                      • 4891
                      #6
                      Is TCU playing tonight?
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662
                          #7
                          Nope. Irvine & Houston are, but the totals for those two tonight are too middled for an obvious play either way.
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662
                              #8
                              Trends continued on Houston UNDERs tonight even with a lower total in the high 130s at game time. UC-Irvine OVER trend ... did not hit for the majority, although I did see that line drop as low as 135.5 on Carib which would have hit on the 136. Original 140 though, did not.
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662
                                  #9
                                  Originally posted by themajormt
                                  UNCW and OVER this year for college BBALL
                                  Trend continued easily last night. Total was 158 I think and I believe the final score had it into the high 170s. Also, the TCU UNDER trend continued with ease last night.
                                    Comment
                                    • themajormt
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-30-08
                                      • 3964
                                      #10
                                      The worst part about that is I waited until the total came out and I said I think the trend continues and then second guessed myself and laid off. I think they were on pace for 100 points in the first half??
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662
                                          #11
                                          *UMASS 0-5 ATS
                                          *Fordham 0-6 ATS
                                          *Utah 5-0 ATS
                                          *Arkansas St. 5-0 ATS
                                          *Gonzaga UNDERs Hit in 4/5 games (4/4 where lines available)
                                          *Long Beach State 5/5 on OVERs
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662
                                              #12
                                              Originally posted by themajormt
                                              The worst part about that is I waited until the total came out and I said I think the trend continues and then second guessed myself and laid off. I think they were on pace for 100 points in the first half??
                                              Yeah it was actually a 99-85 final, so 184. 100 points at half time. East Carolina might be an add to the OVERs category as well.
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662
                                                  #13
                                                  Updates.

                                                  BEST ATS RECORDS
                                                  1. Arkansas St. 6-0
                                                  2. Niagara 7-1
                                                  3. Buffalo 4-0
                                                  4. Bowling Green 5-1
                                                  5. Jacksonville St. 4-0
                                                  6. Wichita St. 4-0
                                                  7. Northwestern 4-0-1
                                                  8. Iowa 5-1
                                                  9. Michigan 5-1-1
                                                  10. Delaware 5-1

                                                  View More: covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/ncb/statistics/2008-2009/ats.html
                                                    Comment
                                                    • sportsguy04
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-21-08
                                                      • 11885
                                                      #14
                                                      Thanks for updating.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MoneySportsGuy
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-09-07
                                                          • 4891
                                                          #15
                                                          Good updates EaglesPhan lets cash in tonight!
                                                            Comment
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