Loyala Chicago +7
							
						
					Strictly's Season Long NCAAB Thread
				
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	strictlywinnersRestricted User- 07-17-07
- 3377
 
 #1Strictly's Season Long NCAAB ThreadTags: None
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	TPowellSBR Posting Legend- 02-21-08
- 18842
 
 #2any insight on this game? I've got Georgia (-6.5)Comment
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	strictlywinnersRestricted User- 07-17-07
- 3377
 
 #3Well I really like the Blount kid that dropped 41, in the opener which they lost. I don't think Georgia will be able to stop him and it will create matchup problems.Comment
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	strictlywinnersRestricted User- 07-17-07
- 3377
 
 #4Chatanooga +13.5
 Cornell +4Comment
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	TPowellSBR Posting Legend- 02-21-08
- 18842
 
 #5yeah I saw where he put up 40+ but they still lost to a D2 team? Did they have somebody hurt or suspended?Comment
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	strictlywinnersRestricted User- 07-17-07
- 3377
 
 #6Yea I don't know, I actually really like this game for something that you pointed out. How is a team that lost to D2 team only 6.5 point underdogs on the road. That means on neutral court they would only be +3. Give me a break, I feel like the oddsmakers know something we don't know on this one.Comment
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	TPowellSBR Posting Legend- 02-21-08
- 18842
 
 #7yeah but I dont think average bettors would see that. Plus I dont think most people could back Georgia minus any amount of points over 10.Comment
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	strictlywinnersRestricted User- 07-17-07
- 3377
 
 #8Really, an SEC school playing a mid-major that just lost to a D2 school. I feel the average bettor would jump on this line at almost any price. I monitor about 4 local books and the action of their players, right now 92% of the money is on Georgia. There is only 2 bets out of 97 on Loyala Chicago. I'm not saying that I am right and you are wrong, cause I have been awful these last 2 weeks but Loyala is my play.Originally posted by TPowellyeah but I dont think average bettors would see that. Plus I dont think most people could back Georgia minus any amount of points over 10.Comment
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	TPowellSBR Posting Legend- 02-21-08
- 18842
 
 #9damn dude you've got me scared now, but I've gotta see it play out. Georgia is pretty bad though, you have to factor in how bad they were last year and they lost their 2 leading scorers, idk though Comment Comment
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	strictlywinnersRestricted User- 07-17-07
- 3377
 
 #10You are absoutely right about that Gaines was awesome and held that team together. Don't be scared I have been terrible as of late, but I have to stick to what has won me money over the long hall.
 Adding
 Miami Ohio +12.5Comment
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	mmike032SBR Hall of Famer- 09-11-08
- 8905
 
 #11Ga covers here. if they're playing a team that lost to a D2 teamOriginally posted by TPowelldamn dude you've got me scared now, but I've gotta see it play out. Georgia is pretty bad though, you have to factor in how bad they were last year and they lost their 2 leading scorers, idk though   
 that would be the eqivalant of their scrimmage game agaisnt Albany State ( my hometown black college) a couple weeks ago. GA won by about 30.
 seriously though I have no idea who they're playing. But I'd put my money on GA to cover 7 points agaisnt any team that lost to a D2 school first.Comment
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	uxlerSBR High Roller- 11-17-08
- 208
 
 #12Scary line for sure, I bought GA down to -3. Just too hard to pass up and Im sure that wht the oddsmakers intended.Comment
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	strictlywinnersRestricted User- 07-17-07
- 3377
 
 #13Mass +15.5
 
 1-3 right now, don't know why I didn't just take my best play loyala chicago, I'm an idiotComment
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	TPowellSBR Posting Legend- 02-21-08
- 18842
 
 #14strictly, thats the shadiest shit I've ever seen in my life (Georgia game). Nice call and I think everybody would win more games if we bet the opposite on these "cant miss" lines like Georgia -7Comment
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	strictlywinnersRestricted User- 07-17-07
- 3377
 
 #15Hahaha well I got smoked again today, I really hope people are fading me to the bank.
 YTD
 1-4
 ON all plays today I was 1-7, I don't understand how my stystem has gone so bad and stayed so bad for so long. I took St. Mary's late but did not post as a play so it won't count for this thread. I just hope it hits cause I forgot what it feels like to pick a winnerComment
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	robbiemesserSBR Hustler- 04-14-08
- 93
 
 #16dont worry about it strictly...you'll get back in no time..just dont lose your confidence. 2 weeks ago you were unstoppable!
 
 what do you think of davidson +5 and cuse -16 tonight? also any thoughts about the unc-ky matchup?
 
 i get that feeling tonight is a going to be a good night of basketball Comment Comment
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	jtuckSBR MVP- 02-18-08
- 2051
 
 #17Lines are very weak right now, focus on teams in your area that you are familiar with and it should be profitable. GL the rest of the yearComment
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	themajormtSBR MVP- 07-30-08
- 3964
 
 #18I thought I would butt in on the Cuse question... Cuse historically struggles with small schools early in the season. This is off the top of my head but I think Siena and Robert something played them very close early on last year. Richmond looks like a decent team, and 16 is a lot of points I think this early for Cuse to cover. It is just my opinion, but yes I would take Cuse if you had to take this game but think there are many better ones to look at...Originally posted by robbiemesserdont worry about it strictly...you'll get back in no time..just dont lose your confidence. 2 weeks ago you were unstoppable!
 
 what do you think of davidson +5 and cuse -16 tonight? also any thoughts about the unc-ky matchup?
 
 i get that feeling tonight is a going to be a good night of basketball 
 
 Mainly Texas and Buffalo... gl Comment Comment
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	WilforthRestricted User- 05-10-08
- 16309
 
 #19I think you should tinker with your system and emphasize more on current form. Also try to avoid playing teams that did something special in their previous game. For instance, after beating the Lakers, look at the performance the Pistons put up at Suns. You see that so often in many sports. I try to avoid playing teams that did something "extraordinary" in their last game.Originally posted by strictlywinnersHahaha well I got smoked again today, I really hope people are fading me to the bank.
 YTD
 1-4
 ON all plays today I was 1-7, I don't understand how my stystem has gone so bad and stayed so bad for so long. I took St. Mary's late but did not post as a play so it won't count for this thread. I just hope it hits cause I forgot what it feels like to pick a winner
 If you follow soccer, you'd have seem how Arsenal collapsed against Aston Villa in the EPL after beating Manchester United in their previous game. In the same way, Aston Villa is very likely to lose their home game this weekend against Man Utd by a staggering margin.Comment
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	strictlywinnersRestricted User- 07-17-07
- 3377
 
 #20True thanks for advice, I have to stick with my model though and just bank on the assumption that it is coming back. Cause I know as soon as I start tinkering and elimnating things that when it will swing back. I do appreciate everyone's insight though. This is just a rough patch, I am just very surprised that the lines have all been so weak for so long.Comment
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	regularguySBR Wise Guy- 09-12-07
- 781
 
 #21This is the only way I have found to win during the first month of college hoops. I'm focusing on two conferences right now.Originally posted by jtuckLines are very weak right now, focus on teams in your area that you are familiar with and it should be profitable. GL the rest of the yearComment
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	themajormtSBR MVP- 07-30-08
- 3964
 
 #22I completely agree... If you focus on a set of teams and follow their style of play, how they do on the road vs at home and injuries, you can make very educated reads on the lines and hopefully it works out....Originally posted by regularguyThis is the only way I have found to win during the first month of college hoops. I'm focusing on two conferences right now. Comment Comment
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	strictlywinnersRestricted User- 07-17-07
- 3377
 
 #23North Carolina -18Comment
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	strictlywinnersRestricted User- 07-17-07
- 3377
 
 #24a little late on this one but it is play
 Sandiego state +2.5Comment
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	strictlywinnersRestricted User- 07-17-07
- 3377
 
 #2511-18-08
 1-1
 Ytd
 2-5Comment
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	strictlywinnersRestricted User- 07-17-07
- 3377
 
 #26St Joes +9.5Comment
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	j0esillySBR Sharp- 09-03-08
- 353
 
 #27any reason to doubt that texas won't win this game by double digits? the line to me is a little fishy but I was curious why you were on St. Joe's?Originally posted by strictlywinnersSt Joes +9.5Comment
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	strictlywinnersRestricted User- 07-17-07
- 3377
 
 #28Northwestern +4.5Comment
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