eSnygg: Home Again System (NBA)

[eSnygg]

I'll be sharing and tracking one of my systems here rest of this season. This system have had no losses the last two seasons, and have showed to be very profitable for me. But as per usual, please use caution if you choose to follow.

Find a team that have had a road trip of 3+ games, and returns home for atleast 3 consecutive games. Chase this team buying points against the spread for a maximum of 4 games. Teams with a winning percentage I chase after road trips of only 2 games. These are the main criteria, but some filters are applied. Plays are based on value.

The chase starts one month into the season, and close with one month left. This year we are unbeaten playing ML, but have one loss with buying points. It is still on pace for +20 units before the all star break.

Let me know if you have any questions.

Also check out: Home Again System (NHL)

[eSnygg]

Home Again System 2018/2019
Overall record: 28-1
Profit/Loss: +13.60 units
Ongoing Series: 1 (Timberwolves)

HA Plays
[A] 13-7
[B] 4-3
[C] 1-2
[D] 1-0
Losses: 1

HAx Plays
[A] 4-5
[B] 4-1
[C] 1-0
[D] 0-0
Losses: 0

Chase for 01/29/19:
#31 Bucks @ Pistons (+9.5 hcp) [A/D] 1.5U

Upcoming schedule:
Timberwolves #30 will resume on 01/30/19
Wizards #32 will begin on 01/30/19
Kings #33 will begin on 01/30/19
Warriors #34 will begin on 01/31/19

[eSnygg]

Home Again System 2018/2019
Overall record: 28-1
Profit/Loss: +13.60 units
Ongoing Series: 2 (Timberwolves, Pistons)

HA Plays
[A] 13-8
[B] 4-3
[C] 1-2
[D] 1-0
Losses: 1

HAx Plays
[A] 4-5
[B] 4-1
[C] 1-0
[D] 0-0
Losses: 0

Results for 01/29/19:
#31 Bucks @ Pistons (+9.5 hcp) [A/D] LOSS

Chase for 01/30/19:
#30 Grizzlies @ Timberwolves (ML) [B/C] 5U
#32 Pacers @ Wizards (ML) [A/C] 1U
#33 Hawks @ Kings (ML) [A/D] 2U

[eSnygg]

Sorry, my transition to these forums made me miss three qualified series last couple of days. Will edit them in above. Two won, the third will resume with [B] today. Again sorry. Schedule is now updated rest of season.

Home Again System 2018/2019
Overall record: 31-1
Profit/Loss: +16.49 units
Ongoing Series: 1 (Pistons)

HA Plays
[A] 15-8
[B] 5-3
[C] 1-2
[D] 1-0
Losses: 1

HAx Plays
[A] 4-5
[B] 4-1
[C] 1-0
[D] 0-0
Losses: 0

Results for 01/30/19:
#30 Grizzlies @ Timberwolves (ML) [B/C] WIN
#32 Pacers @ Wizards (ML) [A/C] WIN
#33 Hawks @ Kings (ML) [A/D] WIN

Chase for 01/31/19:
#31 Mavericks @ Pistons (ML) [B/D] 3U
#34 76ers @ Warriors (-7.5 hcp) [A/C] 1.5U - buying 2 points

[jsund]

what are the #'s referring to before the team names? and also the meaning of HAx

[eSnygg]

what are the #'s referring to before the team names? and also the meaning of HAx

It's just the chase number for the season, to order them. We have reached 34 chases thus far.

HAx is the bonus play for teams above .500 in the standings. They only need 2 road games to qualify. Not as many plays obviously but unbeaten this year with 9-0.

[eSnygg]

Home Again System 2018/2019
Overall record: 32-1
Profit/Loss: +17.86 units
Ongoing Series: 1 (Warriors)

HA Plays
[A] 15-9
[B] 6-3
[C] 1-2
[D] 1-0
Losses: 1

HAx Plays
[A] 4-5
[B] 4-1
[C] 1-0
[D] 0-0
Losses: 0

Results for 01/31/19:
#31 Mavericks @ Pistons (ML) [B/D] WIN
#34 76ers @ Warriors (-7.5 hcp) [A/C] LOSS

Chase for 02/01/19:
#35 Hawks @ Jazz (-10.5 hcp) [A/D] HAx 1.5U - buying 1 point

[eSnygg]

Home Again System 2018/2019
Overall record: 33-1
Profit/Loss: +19.03 units
Ongoing Series: 1 (Warriors)

HA Plays
[A] 15-9
[B] 6-3
[C] 1-2
[D] 1-0
Losses: 1

HAx Plays
[A] 5-5
[B] 4-1
[C] 1-0
[D] 0-0
Losses: 0

Results for 02/01/19:
#35 Hawks @ Jazz (-10.5 hcp) [A/D] WIN

Chase for 02/02/19:
#34 Lakers @ Warriors (-8.5 hcp) [B/C] 4U - buying 2 points

[Bdolan33]

*Shows 28-1 record in first post*

*Goes 50/50 in all posted plays*

GTFO here

[eSnygg]

*Shows 28-1 record in first post*

*Goes 50/50 in all posted plays*

GTFO here

Way to welcome people.

I have all the system series in a spread, all locked before gametime. It has went +19.03 units so far, with Trail Blazers as the only loss. I have no problem showing that. I am not here to fool people, neither force people to follow.

[eSnygg]

Home Again System 2018/2019
Overall record: 34-1
Profit/Loss: +20.01 units
Ongoing Series: 0

HA Plays
[A] 15-9
[B] 7-3
[C] 1-2
[D] 1-0
Losses: 1

HAx Plays
[A] 5-5
[B] 4-1
[C] 1-0
[D] 0-0
Losses: 0

Results for 02/02/19:
#34 Lakers @ Warriors (-8.5 hcp) [B/C] WIN

Chase for 02/05/19:
#36 Raptors @ 76ers (ML) [A/D] 2U

[eSnygg]

Home Again System 2018/2019
Overall record: 34-1
Profit/Loss: +20.01 units
Ongoing Series: 1 (76ers)

HA Plays
[A] 15-10
[B] 7-3
[C] 1-2
[D] 1-0
Losses: 1

HAx Plays
[A] 5-5
[B] 4-1
[C] 1-0
[D] 0-0
Losses: 0


Chase for 02/05/19:
#36 Raptors @ 76ers (ML) [A/D] LOSS

Chase for 02/06/19:
#37 Hornets @ Mavericks (ML) [A/C] 2.5U

[eSnygg]

Home Again System 2018/2019
Overall record: 35-1
Profit/Loss: +21.06 units
Ongoing Series: 1 (76ers)

HA Plays
[A] 16-10
[B] 7-3
[C] 1-2
[D] 1-0
Losses: 1

HAx Plays
[A] 5-5
[B] 4-1
[C] 1-0
[D] 0-0
Losses: 0


Results for 02/06/19:
#37 Hornets @ Mavericks (ML) [A/C] WIN

Chase for 02/07/19:
#38 Raptors @ Hawks (+10.5 hcp) [A/D] 2U - buying 3 points

[eSnygg]

Home Again System 2018/2019
Overall record: 35-1
Profit/Loss: +21.06 units
Ongoing Series: 2 (76ers, Hawks)

HA Plays
[A] 16-11
[B] 7-3
[C] 1-2
[D] 1-0
Losses: 1

HAx Plays
[A] 5-5
[B] 4-1
[C] 1-0
[D] 0-0
Losses: 0


Results for 02/07/19:
#38 Raptors @ Hawks (+10.5 hcp) [A/D] LOSS

Chase for 02/08/19:
#36 Nuggets @ 76ers (ML) [B/D] 5.5U

[eSnygg]

Home Again System 2018/2019
Overall record: 36-1
Profit/Loss: +22.20 units
Ongoing Series: 1 (Hawks)

HA Plays
[A] 16-11
[B] 8-3
[C] 1-2
[D] 1-0
Losses: 1

HAx Plays
[A] 5-5
[B] 4-1
[C] 1-0
[D] 0-0
Losses: 0


Results for 02/08/19:
#36 Nuggets @ 76ers (ML) [B/D] WIN

Chase for 02/09/19:
#38 Hornets @ Hawks (ML) [B/D] 2.5U

[eSnygg]

Home Again System 2018/2019
Overall record: 36-1
Profit/Loss: +22.20 units
Ongoing Series: 1 (Hawks)

HA Plays
[A] 16-11
[B] 8-4
[C] 1-2
[D] 1-0
Losses: 1

HAx Plays
[A] 5-5
[B] 4-1
[C] 1-0
[D] 0-0
Losses: 0


Results for 02/09/19:
#38 Hornets @ Hawks (ML) [B/D] LOSS

Chase for 02/10/19:
#38 Magic @ Hawks (ML) [C/D] 6.5U

[eSnygg]

Home Again System 2018/2019
Overall record: 36-1
Profit/Loss: +22.20 units
Ongoing Series: 1 (Hawks)

HA Plays
[A] 16-11
[B] 8-4
[C] 1-3
[D] 1-0
Losses: 1

HAx Plays
[A] 5-5
[B] 4-1
[C] 1-0
[D] 0-0
Losses: 0


Results for 02/10/19:
#38 Hornets @ Hawks (ML) [C/D] LOSS

Chase for 02/11/19:
#39 Nets @ Raptors (-5.5) [A/D] 2.5U - buying 3 points

[JassieJames]

Where do you get an original line of -8.5? Line opened at -11 and currently -10

[Shutup]

Even if he did what benefit is it to people here where the line is 10. You get 7 then

[eSnygg]

Home Again System 2018/2019
Overall record: 36-1
Profit/Loss: +22.20 units
Ongoing Series: 2 (Hawks, Raptors)

HA Plays
[A] 16-12
[B] 8-4
[C] 1-3
[D] 1-0
Losses: 1

HAx Plays
[A] 5-5
[B] 4-1
[C] 1-0
[D] 0-0
Losses: 0


Results for 02/11/19:
#39 Nets @ Raptors (-5.5) [A/D] LOSS

Chase for 02/12/19:
#38 Lakers @ Hawks (+8.5) [D/D] 20U - buying 3 points

[eSnygg]

Where do you get an original line of -8.5? Line opened at -11 and currently -10

Even if he did what benefit is it to people here where the line is 10. You get 7 then

Yes, that is why I put the "buy 3 points" and not just the line, to help you guys. The points guide is official. This time it lost either way. We will continue with Raptors tomorrow.

[eSnygg]

Home Again System 2018/2019
Overall record: 37-1
Profit/Loss: +23.20 units
Ongoing Series: 1 (Raptors)

HA Plays
[A] 16-12
[B] 8-4
[C] 1-3
[D] 2-0
Losses: 1

HAx Plays
[A] 5-5
[B] 4-1
[C] 1-0
[D] 0-0
Losses: 0


Results for 02/12/19:
#38 Lakers @ Hawks (+8.5) [D/D] WIN

Chase for 02/13/19:
#39 Wizards @ Raptors (-10.5) [B/D] 3.5U - ATS

[spicybulldog15]

Hey eSnygg!

Thank you so much for sharing your awesome system

Quick question - do you have to buy the point(s) for each qualified play? If so, what is the reasoning for that?

Also, when do you lock the lines? Is it always by Closing Line?

Appreciate you in advance sir!

[eSnygg]

Hey eSnygg!

Thank you so much for sharing your awesome system

Quick question - do you have to buy the point(s) for each qualified play? If so, what is the reasoning for that?

Also, when do you lock the lines? Is it always by Closing Line?

Appreciate you in advance sir!

When I post I have locked the line for the official system play. Usually it is closer to gametime than today tho. You could play the -9.5 to be safe now.

The system should make profit even ATS, but I buy points when I see value. The standard play that I always look at first is buying 1 point.

//
Considering that all-star is coming up and that Raptors won outright yesterday, this could be a tricky chase. We'll see. Stay away from this one if you guys want.

[eSnygg]

Home Again System 2018/2019
Overall record: 38-1
Profit/Loss: +24.20 units
Ongoing Series: 1 (Raptors)


HA Plays
[A] 17-12
[B] 8-5
[C] 1-4
[D] 2-0
Losses: 1


HAx Plays
[A] 5-5
[B] 4-1
[C] 1-0
[D] 0-0
Losses: 0


Chase for 02/22/19:
#39 Spurs @ Raptors (-4.5) [C/D] 11.5U
#40 Wizards @ Hornets (ML) [A/D] 2U

[eSnygg]

Home Again System 2018/2019
Overall record: 38-1
Profit/Loss: +24.20 units
Ongoing Series: 1 (Raptors)


HA Plays
[A] 17-12
[B] 8-5
[C] 1-4
[D] 2-0
Losses: 1


HAx Plays
[A] 5-5
[B] 4-1
[C] 1-0
[D] 0-0
Losses: 0


Results for 02/22/19:
#39 Spurs @ Raptors (-4.5) [C/D] LOSS
#40 Wizards @ Hornets (ML) [A/D] WON


Chase for 02/24/19:
#39 Magic @ Raptors (-7.5) [D/D] 19.5U - ATS

[Deenoz]

so if Raptors dont cover today you will be down to 4.7 units? from 24.20?
am i reading this correctly?

[cryptocap]

Wonder if he knew kawhi was out?>

[msetai]

thats a big swing

[Rutek44]

You'd better abandon this system.

[eSnygg]

Sorry, hectic period for me. It is not abandoned. Raptors was obviously a loss but had, at the same time, its reasons. Before the all star-break I even recommended opting out to be safe, due to the break. We would have also won if we bought a point on the [B] game. It was a tricky chase.

I will give you some notes in the upcoming days + updated numbers. Celtics, Kings and Spurs are plays today. I do have faith, and will modify and learn from this. That is why I keep stats. It obviously isn't good going into [C/D] bets with that high of stakes. I will look into a modified system with less risk. 38-2 is a fine number, we just need to minimize the risk. Thanks for following.