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What are the odds that a 90% system goes 12-11 in the first 23 bets? I believe 70% is possible if you pick your spots.
Consult a spread to moneyline conversion chart -- winning 90% of the time would require finding lines that are mispriced by over 12 points. You would be essentially be getting the odds of a -900 money line for even money.
Winning 70% of the time would require the lines to be off by over 6 points. That's like getting -250 to -300 money lines for even money. That's not plausible either.
Human beings can't see the future. I've never seen a line that I thought was off by more than 3 points. In my analysis, the best anyone can do is about 57% on high volume. Anyone claiming otherwise hasn't been doing this very long.
Comment
biggie12
SBR Posting Legend
12-30-05
13817
#50
let's us know when you give up id be surprised at 60% let alone 90%
Comment
biggie12
SBR Posting Legend
12-30-05
13817
#51
Originally posted by TheGotte
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a g a i n s t b o o k m a k e r s . c o m
On Saturday all picks are free!
Oh WOW free picks everyone run
Comment
oe473034
SBR Wise Guy
09-25-15
723
#52
Minnesota Timberwolves (-130)
Comment
oe473034
SBR Wise Guy
09-25-15
723
#53
Denver Nuggets -5.5 (-110)
New York Knicks -5.0 (-110)
Comment
oe473034
SBR Wise Guy
09-25-15
723
#54
Orlando Magic -125
Boston Celtics -14.5 (-110)
Comment
oe473034
SBR Wise Guy
09-25-15
723
#55
Denver Nuggets -140
Comment
oe473034
SBR Wise Guy
09-25-15
723
#56
Oklahoma City Thunder -135
Comment
oe473034
SBR Wise Guy
09-25-15
723
#57
December 16, 2024: L.A. Clippers -7.5 (-110) - WON
January 08, 2025: Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5 (+100) - LOSS
January 08, 2025: L.A. Clippers -135 - LOSS
January 09, 2025: Dallas Mavericks -8.0 (-105) - LOSS
January 09, 2025: Minnesota Timberwolves -6.0 (-105) - WON
January 09, 2025: Miami Heat -5.5 (-115) - LOSS
January 09, 2025: 8:00 pm Memphis Grizzlies -2 (-110) - LOSS
January 09, 2025: 9:00pm Phoenix Suns -6.0 (-115) - WON
January 11, 2025: Minnesota Timberwolves (-130) - LOSS
January 12, 2025: Denver Nuggets -5.5 (-110) - WON
January 12, 2025: New York Knicks -5.0 (-110) - WON
January 12, 2025: Orlando Magic -125 - WON
January 12, 2025: Boston Celtics -14.5 (-110) - LOSS
January 14, 2025: Denver Nuggets -140 - WON
Record: 19-18
Comment
oe473034
SBR Wise Guy
09-25-15
723
#58
Originally posted by oe473034
Oklahoma City Thunder -135
Oklahoma City Thunder -135 - WON Record: 20-18
Comment
oe473034
SBR Wise Guy
09-25-15
723
#59
New York Knicks (-180)
Record: 20-18
Comment
HoleWrecker
SBR Sharp
10-12-24
448
#60
You really thought you were gonna hit at 90%? Are you out of your mind?
Comment
oe473034
SBR Wise Guy
09-25-15
723
#61
Denver Nuggets -135
Comment
oe473034
SBR Wise Guy
09-25-15
723
#62
Cleveland Cavaliers -6.0(-105)
Comment
oe473034
SBR Wise Guy
09-25-15
723
#63
Boston Celtics -9.5 (-110)
Comment
oe473034
SBR Wise Guy
09-25-15
723
#64
Denver Nuggets -12.5 (-105)
Comment
oe473034
SBR Wise Guy
09-25-15
723
#65
Cleveland Cavaliers -2.0 (-115)
Comment
oe473034
SBR Wise Guy
09-25-15
723
#66
Denver Nuggets -7.5 (-110)
Comment
oe473034
SBR Wise Guy
09-25-15
723
#67
Cleveland Cavaliers -8.5 (-115)
Charlotte Hornets -1 (-105)
Comment
oe473034
SBR Wise Guy
09-25-15
723
#68
Oklahoma City Thunder -18.5 (-110)
Utah Jazz +8.5 (-105)