Teams down 0-3 are 18-12 ats if given +1.5 goals

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Inkwell77
    SBR MVP
    • 02-03-11
    • 3227

    #1
    Teams down 0-3 are 18-12 ats if given +1.5 goals
    Since the lockout in 04-05 teams in playoff series in the 0-3 situation have lost by 2 goals and been swept 12 times (including this season).

    18 other times when down 0-3 they have either won they game or lost by only 1 goal (including this season).


    Also, teams down in a series playing in an elimination type of game (be it down 3-0, 3-1, or 3-2) if given +1.5 goals would be 40-18 ats since the 2008-2009 season (not including this season).

    Given that -150 juice is the breakeven mark for a 60% win rate, it would seem that if you can get maybe a little value here with any number better than -150, right? Hopefully this is correct.

    Phoenix +1.5 goals -145! Lets go!!
  • a4u2fear
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-29-10
    • 8147

    #2
    If you are correct, 40/58 = 69%, -145 is break even at 145/245 = 59%, so you have a 10% edge if you assessed it correctly
    Comment
    • a4u2fear
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 01-29-10
      • 8147

      #3
      I'm already on PHX +1.5, glad to see this.
      Comment
      • Inkwell77
        SBR MVP
        • 02-03-11
        • 3227

        #4
        Boom!

        Don't let 4 goals get by in the 3rd!
        Comment
        • a4u2fear
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-29-10
          • 8147

          #5
          Winner!
          Comment
          SBR Contests
          Collapse
          Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
          Collapse
          Working...