IIHF Worlds

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  • aznbluff
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-24-08
    • 892

    #1
    IIHF Worlds
    USA -2.5 -130

    and

    USA ML -593

    both have value, even though you are swallowing a ton of chalk obviously. USA ML should be closer to -900 in my opinion.


    Belarus +2.5 looks good for a dog

    Sweden -2.5 -143 also looks good, Norway will likely have <15 shots and will be very hard pressed to score more than 1, they probably score 2 less than 5% of the time.
  • aznbluff
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-24-08
    • 892

    #2
    Add on Sweden ML -750

    Again, obviously chalk, but international hockey is the one thing that you can lay heavy chalk on because favorites can still be heavily undervalued.

    Norway has come a long ways but is still a third tier hockey nation. They cannot score more than 2 goals in this game, more likely 1 or 0 and Sweden will score at least 4.

    I'd trust 7.5 units to win 1 on Sweden much faster/easier than I would Finland at -499 vs Belarus for example.
    Comment
    • D3 Mighty Ducks
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-17-09
      • 11939

      #3
      Sweden -3 @-114 is my play for this afternoon.
      Comment
      • remeedella
        SBR MVP
        • 04-17-12
        • 4089

        #4
        LOL, i cant bet straight, only under over and +-
        Comment
        • D3 Mighty Ducks
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-17-09
          • 11939

          #5
          Sweden really shit the bed this afternoon only beating fukking Norway 3-1 what a joke.
          Comment
          • aznbluff
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-24-08
            • 892

            #6
            Switzerland/Kazakhstan Under 5 -113 looks good tomorrow. Neither team is a favorite to score 3 goals. Switzerland has familiarity of team and should be stronger defensively than any other team in the tournament right now. I see a lot of 3-1 or 3-2 results in this game.

            Latvia/Russia Over 5.5 looks solid. Russia always gives up 1 or 2 to Latvia. First game of the tourny for both, both will be loose in coverage and system play. Don't really see a score that this loses by other than Russia 4-1. At pretty much a pk, Over 5.5 looks good.

            Canada -1
            Just a better team top to bottom. Canada played a decent Slovakian side and struggled out a result but that was their first game together, getting a feel for linemates and the big ice. USA trampled a very weak French side that has no business being on the same ice as some of these other teams. Wouldn't even surprise me if Canada won this in blowout fashion winning by 3+.
            Comment
            • aznbluff
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 07-24-08
              • 892

              #7
              Denmark -2
              and
              Denmark ML -311
              both look good. I kind of like the ML -311 here better, I think it hits > 75% more often than Denmark wins by 3+. Definitely see a lot of 3-1 3-2 4-2 games.

              Like Switzerland -1 +118 the most. I think they are the most underrated team in the tournament, Switzerland is on the verge of becoming a real, legit power nation. I like Belarus too in this tournament, they will likely be undervalued throughout, but Switzerland moreso.
              Comment
              • Fl6j66
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 06-20-10
                • 961

                #8
                Malkin to score will be my biggest airbet since breakfast. I also like Denmark to win 1st period.

                ---
                0 for 2. Air is good.
                Comment
                • bruins35
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-19-11
                  • 4011

                  #9
                  i like swiss -1 they allways have good team should beat belarus no problem
                  Comment
                  • ZorroToy
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 09-26-11
                    • 153

                    #10
                    Gl i was swiss 1th period winner
                    Comment
                    • aznbluff
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 07-24-08
                      • 892

                      #11
                      Russia -2 -116 looks really good tomorrow, best best of the tournament so far I think
                      Comment
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