Betting the Overs in Tonight's Games

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  • VegasVic
    SBR Hustler
    • 09-07-08
    • 64

    #1
    Betting the Overs in Tonight's Games
    I’m not one to bet on preseason hockey games normally but after reading this article from Mirtle’s blog it made me reconsider.

    Between this statement by the NHL to enforce obstruction penalties and the normal history of offenses being ahead of the defenses for opening preseason contests I blindly took every total tonight to go over the 5.5. Lots of young players trying to make impressions and I have to think the high scoring games we’ve seen in the first three days of exhibition games will continue for awhile.

    Lastly I placed all my bets at 5dimes early this morning. Now 4 hours later, (12:30 PM pst) I see all vig has moved to the over.

    I have all games at 5.5.The vig at 8:30/12:30
    Boston/NYI even/-135
    Buff/Mont -130/165
    NYR/TB -115/-150
    Cbus/Chi -120/-155
    Dal/St L -120/-120
    Flo/Cal +105/-130
    Edm/Van +105/-130

    Every game except Florida and St Louis has moved at least 35 cents.
  • element1286
    Restricted User
    • 02-25-08
    • 3370

    #2
    Interesting strategy. Good Luck with it.
    Comment
    • Magica10
      SBR High Roller
      • 01-27-08
      • 246

      #3
      Well GL with the NYR / TB over? Have you seen both Ranger Games in the Pre season ? Since i live in NY and havent missed a second of either game, Over?
      Over? here wait , let me say it again lol , Over?

      Juiced at -150? Yowza Mang! That advice youre taking from some guy who says the Overs in pre season are Normally a Play anyway? When was this, since the new rules have only been around since................?

      So where does the Experience of knowing pre season Hockey come into play, when the only thing we know about ANYTHING IN ANY SPORTS PRE SEASON? NOTHING?!

      there will be 25 guys skating, ill bet 7 of which you know, 18 of which none of you have ever seen skate in their backyard, much less on an NHL stage!

      Betting pre season in ANY sport, Is like Flipping that coin in a fountain and hoping that wish you made (Which was probably forgotten in 5 mins anyway lol) Actually could come true, Ahh yes, Pennies from heaven!! LOL

      Then you bust out ALL the overs? Some with more juice than a Tropicana Factory? Yeah ok, so when in your days have you seen Every total stay under, or every total go over on the whole day, with a Min of say 5-6 games ? GOOD LUCK DUDE!!

      Atleast youll know why youre trying to catch up when you get behind betting preseason Anything! Much less a quote from Dr Brilliants Blog LOL
      Last edited by Magica10; 09-23-08, 03:29 PM.
      Buona Fortuna! Ciao!

      Potente Mente Di Lavoro ~ Use Extreme Caution*
      Comment
      • Lippsman
        SBR Sharp
        • 08-29-08
        • 346

        #4
        I'm not a fan of playing preseason games either. It's just too much of a crapshoot. Every year they talk about calling the games tighter and we see every yeah week after week they let more and more go. This was mentioned at the other site I hang out at, early last regular season. It did pay quite well for the first few weeks

        BOL tonight.
        Comment
        • VegasVic
          SBR Hustler
          • 09-07-08
          • 64

          #5
          Originally posted by Magica10
          Well GL with the NYR / TB over? Have you seen both Ranger Games in the Pre season ? Since i live in NY and havent missed a second of either game, Over?
          Over? here wait , let me say it again lol , Over?

          Juiced at -150? Yowza Mang! That advice youre taking from some guy who says the Overs in pre season are Normally a Play anyway? When was this, since the new rules have only been around since................?

          So where does the Experience of knowing pre season Hockey come into play, when the only thing we know about ANYTHING IN ANY SPORTS PRE SEASON? NOTHING?!

          there will be 25 guys skating, ill bet 7 of which you know, 18 of which none of you have ever seen skate in their backyard, much less on an NHL stage!

          Betting pre season in ANY sport, Is like Flipping that coin in a fountain and hoping that wish you made (Which was probably forgotten in 5 mins anyway lol) Actually could come true, Ahh yes, Pennies from heaven!! LOL

          Then you bust out ALL the overs? Some with more juice than a Tropicana Factory? Yeah ok, so when in your days have you seen Every total stay under, or every total go over on the whole day, with a Min of say 5-6 games ? GOOD LUCK DUDE!!

          Atleast youll know why youre trying to catch up when you get behind betting preseason Anything! Much less a quote from Dr Brilliants Blog LOL

          You’re missing the point behind what I’m posting Magica10. Perhaps you missed something in what you read. I’m just throwing out a angle that makes some sense to me and sharing it with the forum. If I am so wrong why do you suppose all but one games vig has moved 35 cents to the over?

          Well GL with the NYR / TB over? Have you seen both Ranger Games in the Pre season ? Since i live in NY and havent missed a second of either game, Over?
          Over? here wait , let me say it again lol , Over?

          It has nothing to do with what teams are playing or who’s playing on them, (I’m aware that most of these games have little more than a split squad).

          Juiced at -150? Yowza Mang! That advice youre taking from some guy who says the Overs in pre season are Normally a Play anyway? When was this, since the new rules have only been around since................?

          Where do you see me laying -150?

          So where does the Experience of knowing pre season Hockey come into play, when the only thing we know about ANYTHING IN ANY SPORTS PRE SEASON? NOTHING?!

          …and this means?

          there will be 25 guys skating, ill bet 7 of which you know, 18 of which none of you have ever seen skate in their backyard, much less on an NHL stage!

          If there’s 18 guys skating that I’ve never seen before then clearly it’s not a NHL stage.


          Then you bust out ALL the overs? Some with more juice than a Tropicana Factory? Yeah ok, so when in your days have you seen Every total stay under, or every total go over on the whole day, with a Min of say 5-6 games ? GOOD LUCK DUDE!!

          I’m not playing a parlay dude. Just looking for 4 winners from 6 wagers.
          Comment
          • Magica10
            SBR High Roller
            • 01-27-08
            • 246

            #6
            Wow um you have 3 plays with Juice of over -150 dude, talk about not paying attention, if you are playin the over in the NYR TB Game? Thats -150 at 5 dimes! So are you playing that Over? Than youre laying -150 !!
            Which is the case with 3 of the plays you have going, OVER -150! ! ! !
            Preseason? Totals? 3 Plays OVER -150 Juice?
            If you dont know what youre betting? then um i cant help you lol and even if you go 4 - 2? if you lose two of them at -150 Juice? AND ALL the Plays ARE OVER -130 too? Ok mang, you do what ya like, 3 - 3? will see you losing today!

            No one said you had a parlay going

            If theres 18 guys you dont know? its because i guarantee you wont be watching ONE game tonight lol

            Hey, GL dude, You think you know what youre doing? have at it!! IF you dont see you have 3 games of over -150 On your Plays that you clearly posted? and supposedly have money on at 5dimes? Um YOOKAYY!! GL again lol
            Last edited by Magica10; 09-23-08, 06:15 PM.
            Buona Fortuna! Ciao!

            Potente Mente Di Lavoro ~ Use Extreme Caution*
            Comment
            • cobra_king
              SBR MVP
              • 08-07-06
              • 2491

              #7
              He didn't play the overs at -150. Reread his post, it's pretty clear.

              The first number he posted is the number he got.

              The second number he posted is the number it went to at the time he posted.
              Comment
              • Magica10
                SBR High Roller
                • 01-27-08
                • 246

                #8
                Right, and the time he recommended them to people as plays? The lines were all juiced, so what good does that do for anyone other than someone who supposedly got his bets in , and all of a sudden The lines jumped for every game? lol

                And then a Quote from some blog boy?
                And it was 7 plays, and um, i think mirtle needs a talkin to lol

                Hey ok, Ill Let You guys do what you do, take care!
                Last edited by Magica10; 09-23-08, 10:44 PM.
                Buona Fortuna! Ciao!

                Potente Mente Di Lavoro ~ Use Extreme Caution*
                Comment
                • avssakic
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-12-07
                  • 1795

                  #9
                  tough night, good thing it's only preseason though. GL in the regular season
                  Comment
                  • VegasVic
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 09-07-08
                    • 64

                    #10
                    Originally posted by avssakic
                    tough night, good thing it's only preseason though. GL in the regular season
                    thank you.
                    Comment
                    • Lippsman
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 08-29-08
                      • 346

                      #11
                      Vegas,

                      While I don't like to play pre-season, I just say it was quite surprising that there were so many 5's hung last night.

                      Have you ever done anything with playing under in the 1st period with OU's of 5 or even better yet 5 U of -120 or more? We discussed it in great detail at the other place I "Cover"

                      Tons of games tonight, it will be interesting to see if the Leafs keep up the good D on the road. Made a small mint last year by Taking the Leafs or Leafs under on the road and fading and or play over on thier home games

                      BOL tonight
                      Comment
                      • VegasVic
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 09-07-08
                        • 64

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Lippsman
                        Vegas,

                        While I don't like to play pre-season, I just say it was quite surprising that there were so many 5's hung last night.

                        Have you ever done anything with playing under in the 1st period with OU's of 5 or even better yet 5 U of -120 or more? We discussed it in great detail at the other place I "Cover"

                        Tons of games tonight, it will be interesting to see if the Leafs keep up the good D on the road. Made a small mint last year by Taking the Leafs or Leafs under on the road and fading and or play over on thier home games

                        BOL tonight
                        Never made the connection Lippsman but it makes some sense, (depending on the juice you need to lay for that 1st period total).

                        Looking at scoring by periods from last year it's clear the first period has the fewest tallies.



                        But was the angle stronger with a game listed at 5 rather than 5.5? And if so why?

                        Did you play these and what was your experience with it?
                        Comment
                        • Lippsman
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 08-29-08
                          • 346

                          #13
                          Actually it did hit higher with 5 than 5.5. Now I did play some at 5.5, but that juice had to be -130 or higher for me to play those.

                          The 5 games were just lower scoring as expected. You can guess the usualy teams that were getting these. But something to note was that early in the season the Devils were playing a wide open style that was killing a few of the 1st period unders. After a few times of getting burned on this I put them on the do not play list. Still I don't know why they got away from that style. As soon as they did the winning percentage started going down.

                          Brodeur really started showing some cracks with that open style. He was going down on the ice faster than Hasek sometimes LOL........well ok, not that much but it was a good bit.
                          Comment
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