NHL System Tries (need input)

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  • a4u2fear
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-29-10
    • 8147

    #1
    NHL System Tries (need input)
    Guys,

    I've amassed all NHL games from last year with each team's pts/GF/GA/win or lose streak/team on B2B going into each game and I have all the over/under and dog/fav lines.

    It might not surprise you, but most of the strategies I've tried have come very close to the odds books offer; such as the % of teams winning by 1.5 goals was very close to odds of +200-+230. \

    I'm looking for ideas to try out if anyone has any. I've been interested in +1.5 goal scenarios if anyone has any?

    I've tried the scenario, if both teams are on a B2B game, what are the odds the under hits, over hits, dog wins, fav wins, away wins, home wins etc.

    Let me know.
  • High3rEl3m3nt
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-28-10
    • 8022

    #2
    +1.5 on one day's rest against an opponent on b2b games, or on 3 days rest or more. Would be interesting.
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    • nrok2118
      SBR MVP
      • 02-10-12
      • 1182

      #3
      how bout something like playing home dogs facing a team on no rest? In terms of units won/lost, playing to WIN 1 UNIT.

      Edit: Thats probably a pretty tight scenario to begin with but if not, try breaking it down to division or conference matchups (home dog likely to play harder)
      Comment
      • nrok2118
        SBR MVP
        • 02-10-12
        • 1182

        #4
        Money used to be in Sharp (dogs) betting, and I think it still is if you can find the right opportunities.
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        • a4u2fear
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-29-10
          • 8147

          #5
          Thanks for initial input, will see what I can do, please reference this previous thread for simpler strategies

          Comment
          • High3rEl3m3nt
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-28-10
            • 8022

            #6
            I remember seeing that thread and it was interesting to check some of the trends. Would be nice to zero in on some more finite situations..so that you wouldn't have to bet every single game and lot's of them to turn a profit. Would require multiple seasons of data to get large enough samples though.
            Comment
            • a4u2fear
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-29-10
              • 8147

              #7
              Originally posted by nrok2118
              how bout something like playing home dogs facing a team on no rest? In terms of units won/lost, playing to WIN 1 UNIT.

              Edit: Thats probably a pretty tight scenario to begin with but if not, try breaking it down to division or conference matchups (home dog likely to play harder)
              I added in the requirement that the home dog was not on B2B.

              This situation happened 33 times last year, and betting 1 unit on the the dog ended up -3.94 units.
              Comment
              • a4u2fear
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-29-10
                • 8147

                #8
                Originally posted by High3rEl3m3nt
                +1.5 on one day's rest against an opponent on b2b games, or on 3 days rest or more. Would be interesting.
                I only have whether a team is on B2B or not so please adjust your request as well as making it more specific - like do you want to see the dog/fav or home/away team
                Comment
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