Hydro's NHL Totals

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  • hydrosmak
    SBR MVP
    • 10-13-11
    • 1908
    #1
    Hydro's NHL Totals
    Got a system that I am working on and it hasn't been back tested too far but thought I would track my plays in a thread. Lines will be from 5Dimes. Hopefully I can be half as good as Bob

    Today's Plays:
    ANA/COL U5.5 (-130)
    LA/NAS U5 (-135)
    Tags: None
    • moshi
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 12-18-11
      • 801
      #2
      Ana/Col or Stl/Cal? Maybe both go under anyway.
        Comment
        • hydrosmak
          SBR MVP
          • 10-13-11
          • 1908
          #3
          Yeah sorry, fixed it. Supposed to be Colorado.
            Comment
            • hydrosmak
              SBR MVP
              • 10-13-11
              • 1908
              #4
              With the limited back testing they haven't always been this juiced, just happen to be tonight
                Comment
                • hydrosmak
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-13-11
                  • 1908
                  #5
                  ana/col u5.5 (-130)
                  la/nas u5 (-135)
                  2-0 (+2U)

                  Today's Play:
                  LA/MIN U5 (-135)
                    Comment
                    • hydrosmak
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-13-11
                      • 1908
                      #6
                      Originally posted by hydrosmak
                      Today's Play:
                      LA/MIN U5 (-135)
                      Winner (+3U)
                        Comment
                        • hydrosmak
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-13-11
                          • 1908
                          #7
                          Not seeing any plays for tomorrow.
                            Comment
                            • hydrosmak
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-13-11
                              • 1908
                              #8
                              3-0 (+3U) so far

                              Today's Plays:
                              NYI/PHI O5.5 (-110)
                              BUF/SJ U5.5 (-130)
                                Comment
                                • simon2012
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 12-03-11
                                  • 343
                                  #9
                                  on both these myself
                                    Comment
                                    • hydrosmak
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-13-11
                                      • 1908
                                      #10
                                      Originally posted by simon2012
                                      on both these myself


                                      I will also track some OT bets I am finding trends on as of today when looking at my spreadsheet. Limited back testing as well but yields good results, especially with those nice +odds.

                                      Today's:
                                      FLA/WIN (+275)
                                      STL/VAN (+285)
                                      BUF/SJ (+310)

                                      They would be 1U plays, also seeing some possible 2U OT plays from my back testing.
                                        Comment
                                        • gilbert91016
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-29-09
                                          • 1479
                                          #11
                                          Nice hit
                                            Comment
                                            • byronbb
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-13-08
                                              • 3067
                                              #12
                                              Well done. I really think there is value in NHL Totals, just started looking at them. Good luck.
                                                Comment
                                                • hydrosmak
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-13-11
                                                  • 1908
                                                  #13
                                                  Thanks guy

                                                  OT experiment is a work in progress. Going 1U and 2U might be a little overboard. Probably drop down the units to .5 and 1U.

                                                  Yesterday's Plays:
                                                  NYI/PHI O5.5 (-110)
                                                  BUF/SJ U5.5 (-130)

                                                  5-0 (+5U) so far on Totals!

                                                  OT Plays: 0-3 (-3U)
                                                  FLA/WIN (+275)
                                                  STL/VAN (+285)
                                                  BUF/SJ (+310)

                                                  Will post after work if there are any plays for tonight.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • hydrosmak
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 10-13-11
                                                      • 1908
                                                      #14
                                                      Today's Total Play:
                                                      MIN/DET U5.5 (-147) [would consider U5 +105 for better value]
                                                        Comment
                                                        • hydrosmak
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-13-11
                                                          • 1908
                                                          #15
                                                          Originally posted by hydrosmak
                                                          Today's Total Play:
                                                          MIN/DET U5.5 (-147) [would consider U5 +105 for better value]
                                                          First loss. Blame it on Indian Cowboy mushing it...

                                                          5-1 (+3.53U)

                                                          Not seeing any plays for tomorrow.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • hydrosmak
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-13-11
                                                              • 1908
                                                              #16
                                                              OT plays:
                                                              TOR/MTL (+285) .5U
                                                              NAS/FLA (+270) .5U
                                                              PIT/COL (+290) 1U
                                                                Comment
                                                                • hydrosmak
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-13-11
                                                                  • 1908
                                                                  #17
                                                                  Originally posted by hydrosmak
                                                                  OT plays:
                                                                  TOR/MTL (+285) .5U
                                                                  NAS/FLA (+270) .5U
                                                                  PIT/COL (+290) 1U
                                                                  OT experiment isn't going so hot...
                                                                  0-6 (-5U)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • hydrosmak
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-13-11
                                                                      • 1908
                                                                      #18
                                                                      Finally some plays for today!

                                                                      CAR/WAS O5.5 (+120)
                                                                      LA/NASH U5 (-130)
                                                                      MON/CAL U5 (+100)
                                                                      MIN/COL U5 (+100)
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        • hydrosmak
                                                                          SBR MVP
                                                                          • 10-13-11
                                                                          • 1908
                                                                          #19
                                                                          Originally posted by hydrosmak
                                                                          Finally some plays for today!

                                                                          CAR/WAS O5.5 (+120)
                                                                          LA/NASH U5 (-130)
                                                                          MON/CAL U5 (+100)
                                                                          MIN/COL U5 (+100)
                                                                          Quite the night for overs...

                                                                          6-4 (+1.43U)
                                                                            Comment
                                                                            • hydrosmak
                                                                              SBR MVP
                                                                              • 10-13-11
                                                                              • 1908
                                                                              #20
                                                                              Tonights Plays:

                                                                              NYI/NJ O5 (-115)
                                                                              FLA/PHI O5.5 (-105)
                                                                              ANA/STL U5 (-108)
                                                                              MIN/PHX U5 (-110)
                                                                                Comment
                                                                                • hydrosmak
                                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                                  • 10-13-11
                                                                                  • 1908
                                                                                  #21
                                                                                  Originally posted by hydrosmak
                                                                                  Tonights Plays:

                                                                                  NYI/NJ O5 (-115)
                                                                                  FLA/PHI O5.5 (-105)
                                                                                  ANA/STL U5 (-108)
                                                                                  MIN/PHX U5 (-110)
                                                                                  2-1-1 night, I will take it!

                                                                                  8-5-1 (+2.38U)
                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                    • hydrosmak
                                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                                      • 10-13-11
                                                                                      • 1908
                                                                                      #22
                                                                                      Today's Play:
                                                                                      CAR/TB O5.5 (-110)
                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                        • hydrosmak
                                                                                          SBR MVP
                                                                                          • 10-13-11
                                                                                          • 1908
                                                                                          #23
                                                                                          Originally posted by hydrosmak
                                                                                          Today's Play:
                                                                                          CAR/TB O5.5 (-110)
                                                                                          WINNER!

                                                                                          9-5-1 (+3.38U)

                                                                                          Tomorrow's Plays:
                                                                                          BOS/PIT Over 5.5 (+100)
                                                                                          TOR/WASH Over 5.5 (-110)
                                                                                            Comment
                                                                                            • hydrosmak
                                                                                              SBR MVP
                                                                                              • 10-13-11
                                                                                              • 1908
                                                                                              #24
                                                                                              Originally posted by hydrosmak
                                                                                              Tomorrow's Plays:
                                                                                              BOS/PIT Over 5.5 (+100)
                                                                                              TOR/WASH Over 5.5 (-110)
                                                                                              1-1 on the day...

                                                                                              10-6-1 (+3.28U)

                                                                                              Tomorrow's Play:
                                                                                              ANA/COL U5 (+115)
                                                                                                Comment
                                                                                                • hydrosmak
                                                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                                                  • 10-13-11
                                                                                                  • 1908
                                                                                                  #25
                                                                                                  Originally posted by hydrosmak
                                                                                                  Tomorrow's Play:
                                                                                                  ANA/COL U5 (+115)
                                                                                                  Push...

                                                                                                  10-6-2 (+3.28U)
                                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                                    • hydrosmak
                                                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                                                      • 10-13-11
                                                                                                      • 1908
                                                                                                      #26
                                                                                                      Today's Play:
                                                                                                      TOR/FLA O5.5 (+115) [alt line at 5D]
                                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                                        • odog11
                                                                                                          SBR MVP
                                                                                                          • 02-14-11
                                                                                                          • 3874
                                                                                                          #27
                                                                                                          Originally posted by hydrosmak
                                                                                                          Today's Play:
                                                                                                          TOR/FLA O5.5 (+115) [alt line at 5D]
                                                                                                          Interesting, kind of a head scratcher for me. Do you do a projection for each team? I can't see Toronto netting 4 tonight.
                                                                                                            Comment
                                                                                                            • hydrosmak
                                                                                                              SBR MVP
                                                                                                              • 10-13-11
                                                                                                              • 1908
                                                                                                              #28
                                                                                                              Originally posted by odog11
                                                                                                              Interesting, kind of a head scratcher for me. Do you do a projection for each team? I can't see Toronto netting 4 tonight.
                                                                                                              These are all based on statistical trends. Looking at my spread sheet this game should have really been a 5.5 line. So I am really not all that confident in this play but just going with it seeing as it fit my criteria of a over 5.5. Jumped it up to 5.5 so at the very least it won't be so juicy.
                                                                                                                Comment
                                                                                                                • hydrosmak
                                                                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                                                                  • 10-13-11
                                                                                                                  • 1908
                                                                                                                  #29
                                                                                                                  Originally posted by hydrosmak
                                                                                                                  Today's Play:
                                                                                                                  TOR/FLA O5.5 (+115) [alt line at 5D]
                                                                                                                  Booyah!

                                                                                                                  11-6-2 (+4.43U)
                                                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                                                    • nrok2118
                                                                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                                                                      • 02-10-12
                                                                                                                      • 1182
                                                                                                                      #30
                                                                                                                      Very nice! I started a post but wondering what you think of the PHX/VAN total? Its set at 5 instead of 5.5 but because of that (i guess) its heavy juice on the over, but recent trends point under. Whats your take on it?
                                                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                                                        • hydrosmak
                                                                                                                          SBR MVP
                                                                                                                          • 10-13-11
                                                                                                                          • 1908
                                                                                                                          #31
                                                                                                                          Originally posted by nrok2118
                                                                                                                          Very nice! I started a post but wondering what you think of the PHX/VAN total? Its set at 5 instead of 5.5 but because of that (i guess) its heavy juice on the over, but recent trends point under. Whats your take on it?
                                                                                                                          I have that one in between 5 and 5.5 so it is probably pretty close to where it should be at 5 and juiced higher. That is a toss up game from what I look at.
                                                                                                                            Comment
                                                                                                                            • hydrosmak
                                                                                                                              SBR MVP
                                                                                                                              • 10-13-11
                                                                                                                              • 1908
                                                                                                                              #32
                                                                                                                              No plays today. Lean to Dallas/Winnipeg under though.
                                                                                                                                Comment
                                                                                                                                • hydrosmak
                                                                                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                  • 10-13-11
                                                                                                                                  • 1908
                                                                                                                                  #33
                                                                                                                                  Today's Play:
                                                                                                                                  TOR/TB O5.5 (-133)
                                                                                                                                    Comment
                                                                                                                                    • hydrosmak
                                                                                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                      • 10-13-11
                                                                                                                                      • 1908
                                                                                                                                      #34
                                                                                                                                      Originally posted by hydrosmak
                                                                                                                                      today's play:
                                                                                                                                      tor/tb o5.5 (-133)
                                                                                                                                      11-7-2 (+3.1u)
                                                                                                                                        Comment
                                                                                                                                        • hydrosmak
                                                                                                                                          SBR MVP
                                                                                                                                          • 10-13-11
                                                                                                                                          • 1908
                                                                                                                                          #35
                                                                                                                                          Today's Play:
                                                                                                                                          TOR/OTT O5.5 (-105)

                                                                                                                                          Lean - BOS/PHI U5.5
                                                                                                                                            Comment
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