Romanov's NHL 2011 Season Thread - Math with a little Intuition

[Romanov]

Been playing the nhl publicly here for the last couple of days. Decided I am going to stick with it. My record so far is 5-4 for a +.273 units. Woot! Should be mostly totals with some sides on the side.

1 unit at risk plays:

Ottawa/NYR Under 5.5 -130
NYR -115


Only other lean I have for the night is Nashville/Anaheim Under 5 but it isn't a strong one. Maybe an ounce of value in that line at +115 but its a no play for me.

NO PLAYS on Phila/TB. I have Phila winning by .01 of a goal and the total is spot on at 5.5.

[mebaran]

to the Rangers

[Romanov]

Looking good midway through the 3rd with the Rangers up 3-1

[Romanov]

Goddam it. A quick goal from Ottawa now its 3-2. NO MOAR!

[Romanov]

Awesome 3-2 Rangers! A good way to start a thread

Ottawa/NYR Under 5.5 -130
NYR -115

+1.64 units on the day

Overall NHL Record 7-4

+1.91 units overall

[Romanov]

Nov. 10th Plays (might have more later)

St Louis/Toronto Over 5.5 +105
Chicago Columbus Under 5.5 -105
Florida -105
NY Islanders/Colorado Under 5.5 +100

[Romanov]

chicago under 5.5 has some kinda shitty line movement but w/e. i have a test to get to in an hour so I might bet out of it afterwards but unless I post here otherwise, it is still a play

[Romanov]

Went 1-3 last night so I am 8-7 overall. I am trying something new. Scrapping the old. Lets see how this goes (new record at 0-0 and everything)

[Romanov]

Today's Alpha Sides are below:

Dallas +136
Edmonton +165
Calgary +145
Vancouver -110

CHANGE IN BETTING SIZE***

All plays are TO WIN 1 unit.

Current record for NHL 2.0 is 0-0 +0 units

[Romanov]

The plays above in post #9 will be called the alpha system plays
The plays below are beta system plays. I am not actually betting the beta plays but it is for tracking purposes. Assume all plays are to win 1 unit. Will not play any teams for both systems >+/- 150

Washington -130
NY Rangers -146
Vancouver -110

[mebaran]

As much as it hurts me to say...I like the Calgary play. Hawks played really hard last night in a scorcher. If I'm not mistaken, the Blackhawks usually have a way above average home ice advantage , but as of this year..I'm not seeing it.

today, Romanov.

[Romanov]

As much as it hurts me to say...I like the Calgary play. Hawks played really hard last night in a scorcher. If I'm not mistaken, the Blackhawks usually have a way above average home ice advantage , but as of this year..I'm not seeing it. today, Romanov.

Calgary is my 2nd favorite play today, behind Vancouver. And yes, I agree with you on chi's home ice. Gonna go check ur thread to see what ur on now...

BOL