Sawyer's Iron Dogs 10/26

dontbuythehook · 10-26-11, 12:30 PM

Avs get buried tonight, like habs tho gl

btd · 10-26-11, 12:52 PM

Congrats on last nite's plays, should have tailed.

secueritae · 10-26-11, 01:05 PM

Pacioretty is out indefinitely, so I can see MTL having trouble scoring against flyers tonight. Would have taken them though if Max wasn't injured

815Sox · 10-26-11, 01:39 PM

I like the Avs and picked them up last night, not so sure about that Canadians.

MrGerrard · 10-26-11, 01:44 PM

Hi Sawyer!

What kind of unit size do you play on your dogs? Say you have a unit size of 1-5. Would you play them as a 3u?

Keep up the great work

Sawyer · 10-26-11, 02:00 PM

Originally posted by MrGerrard

Hi Sawyer!

What kind of unit size do you play on your dogs? Say you have a unit size of 1-5. Would you play them as a 3u?

Keep up the great work

All plays have same value. All plays are for 1 unit. (or 10/10 if you use European Style Stake System)

This way I can eveluate my performance better. Made x46 Units (x=your regular stake) last season (+460 Units according to 10/10 Stake system) and x7 units so far this year..(How much you bet? If you're betting 200$ each game, it's +1400$)

I'm a strong believer in flat staking so I suggest the same. Putting 1 unit on one play, 5 unit on another pick..it's a very dangerous thing.

Don't ask my opinion because we can't know which pick will win and which pick won't win

For example, yesterday I was expecting Ducks&Oilers to win and Sens to lose..but Sens won, Ducks lost. You can never know which play will win and which play won't win.

But if you insist,

I'm feeling more confident/strong about Colorado. Not very hopeful about Canadiens but still..all plays are same value, same stake. I don't use a stake system like *20 Dime Play, *99 Units Pick, *10000000 Lock Of Millennium Ultra Lock Banker Super Game of my Career bs etc..

Good luck today!

Cicima6709 · 10-26-11, 02:03 PM

Darn, was hoping that the Avs were a *10000000 Lock Of Millennium Ultra Lock Banker Game of your Career.

You havent lost one of those yet!

You got a good line on the Habs. I wanted to play them today as a home dog, but thought that with everyone on PHI, the line would sky rocket and i could get a +140 or +145. Unfortunately, the line has done the opposite. Im hoping it climbs back up to +130 before i take them. Good luck today.

Kaizen · 10-26-11, 02:05 PM

GL buddy keep it up

MrGerrard · 10-26-11, 02:21 PM

Thx for the quick answer. I think its great that you do your thing and dont put out thoseridiculous locks! That shit makes me laugh.
BOL

Sawyer · 10-27-11, 12:37 AM

Colorado Avalanche +105 Lost
Montreal Canadiens +131 Winner

DennisGreen · 10-27-11, 12:59 AM

Great work on your Iron Dogs this year Sawyer

Exxpresso · 10-27-11, 01:13 AM

Hey Sawyer, do you like the Canadians again today ? I think they have good value at + 177.

Sawyer · 10-27-11, 08:30 AM

Odds for Montreal very tempting, definetely..but Boston is a bad matchup for them. This game is no bet for me but if I had to pick a side, definetely I would go with Canadiens +177.

guil0000 · 10-27-11, 08:41 AM

Continued success Sawyer. I am in the exact same believe system as you are... flat betting and mostly dogs and I throw in a few totals here and there. Winnipeg and Toronto tonight?

odog11 · 10-27-11, 10:18 AM

Good work Sawyer, Dogs are barking. Last night I played all three dogs to win in regulation, St Lous +220 and Montreal +200.

Going to stick with the dogs in regulation strategy and also some ML mixed in when seems appropriate. Have you thought of mixing in some regulation plays to your Iron Dog system? The Montreal play last night in particular seemed too good to pass up.

Sawyer · 10-27-11, 10:46 AM

Originally posted by guil0000

Continued success Sawyer. I am in the exact same believe system as you are... flat betting and mostly dogs and I throw in a few totals here and there. Winnipeg and Toronto tonight?

You read my mind pal

Originally posted by odog11

Good work Sawyer, Dogs are barking. Last night I played all three dogs to win in regulation, St Lous +220 and Montreal +200.

Going to stick with the dogs in regulation strategy and also some ML mixed in when seems appropriate. Have you thought of mixing in some regulation plays to your Iron Dog system? The Montreal play last night in particular seemed too good to pass up.

Wow, great value on both plays, Congrats

Actually, I was thinking about going thru my past plays and make a comparison between ML and Regulation. May be a good idea because I always lose if game goes overtime

There's two things I hate in NHL,

1) OT
2) SO

Cicima6709 · 10-27-11, 10:53 AM

In theory, OT/SO is pretty close to 50/50 (ofcourse some teams are better built for a shootout then others, but its still pretty close to 50/50)...

But if you are going into a SO/OT with a dog (+ any number really), you are already getting great value by having + $$$ on a truly 50/50 bet. So should love going to OT with dogs.