70kgman NHL 2011-2012

[70kgman]

Have been working on a totals model that is ready to deploy. Will post plays in here. No guarantee's, but the model hypothetically looks good conceptually and mathematically to me. It is a spin off of sorts to of other successful models I have used in other sports.

ytd: 1-0 (+1.00)

[70kgman]

10/15

New York R / New York I Under 5.5 (-125)

Ottawa / Washington Over 5.5 (-115)

Detroit / Minnesota Under 5.5 (-115)

[70kgman]

1-2 Saturday. Screwed on a last minute empty netter in the New York game. Like this Pitt under even with Johnson as the probable starting goalie.

10/18

Pittsburgh / Minnesota Under 5.5 (-135)

[70kgman]

10/21

Columbus / Detroit Under 5.5 (-115)

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ytd: 2-3 (-1.8 units)

[70kgman]

10/24

Philadelphia / Toronto Over 5.5 (-125)

1P: Philadelphia / Toronto Over 1.5 (-120)

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ytd: 2-4 (-2.95 units)

[70kgman]

10/25

Vancouver / Edmonton Under 5.5 (-140)

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ytd: 4-4 (-0.95 units)

[70kgman]

Going to add one or two more tomorrow.

10/27

LA / Dallas Under 5 (-120)

1P: LA / Dallas Under 1.5 (-145)

Boston (-190)

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ytd: 5-4 (+0.05 units)

[70kgman]

Added the 1P under for the LA/Dal game. Probably will add one ML play later.

[70kgman]

Added Boston ML. Worth laying the juice in this spot imo.

[70kgman]

10/29

TB/Winnipeg Over 5.5 (-130)

1P: TB/Winnipeg Over 1.5 (-120)

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ytd:
1P/Game totals model: 6-5 (-0.10 units)
ML: 0-1 (-1.90 units)