on3's NHL home chase 55-3 in 2010, 94-1 in 2009

on3 · 10-20-11, 01:18 AM

System record 3-0-0
Units -2.5
1 unit = $20

10/20

#3 -- new york @ TB -150 (B)
#4 -- toronto @ BOS -170 (B)
#6 -- nashville @ VAN -170 (B)

Game 1 win = 3-3
Game 2 win = 0
Game 3 win = 0

Labby Line (minor reshuffle)

10-x-x-62
10-25-25-42
10-10-10-10

TB to win 52
VAN to win 50
BOS to win 62

lecubs28 · 10-20-11, 04:38 AM

Where are you getting the 62 from for BOS? Shouldn't it be 72 (top line, 10 + 62 = 72)?

knugen · 10-20-11, 06:30 AM

Have anyone backtested to chase à team with 3 losses?

Wallco99 · 10-20-11, 06:42 AM

Originally posted by knugen

Have anyone backtested to chase à team with 3 losses?

Doing it right now, also testing another one that that has produced great results in the past four seasons. I will test a few more seasons and let you know what I found. So far, it looks great. I need a site that has NHL lines before 2005-06 season. Covers.com stops giving lines before that season. Anybody?

knugen · 10-20-11, 06:56 AM

That sounds great... Hope u Findus the site so we can start as soon as possible

knugen · 10-20-11, 07:03 AM

Do u know Joe long. Time u need, when u have found that site?

knugen · 10-20-11, 07:04 AM

Do u know how long. Time u need, when u have found that site?

jalen__rose · 10-20-11, 10:12 AM

ok I understand the system but how do I know what games qualify eg) islanders on 3 game homestand they play the bruins caps and wings how do I know if I should use the system on the islanders?

Kelloggs · 10-20-11, 10:17 AM

Originally posted by jalen__rose

ok I understand the system but how do I know what games qualify eg) islanders on 3 game homestand they play the bruins caps and wings how do I know if I should use the system on the islanders?

Read post #1

imotiv8 · 10-20-11, 10:48 AM

On3, do you have the final stats Game 1, Game 2, Game 3 from last year?

on3 · 10-20-11, 11:47 AM

Originally posted by imotiv8

On3, do you have the final stats Game 1, Game 2, Game 3 from last year?

i dont have the details for 2009. unfortunately, i was much less meticulous in the past than i am now. for 2010, through 42 games the record was:
Game 1 : 28-14, 67%
Game 2 : 8-6, 57%
Game 3 : 5-1, 83%
I dont have the detailed records of the last 12-13 games of the season. I hope this helps.

John Deere · 10-20-11, 12:49 PM

Originally posted by jalen__rose

ok I understand the system but how do I know what games qualify eg) islanders on 3 game homestand they play the bruins caps and wings how do I know if I should use the system on the islanders?

If the 1st game is > -140 on the home team (NYI)

imotiv8 · 10-20-11, 01:37 PM

Originally posted by on3

i dont have the details for 2009. unfortunately, i was much less meticulous in the past than i am now. for 2010, through 42 games the record was: Game 1 : 28-14, 67% Game 2 : 8-6, 57% Game 3 : 5-1, 83% I dont have the detailed records of the last 12-13 games of the season. I hope this helps.

thanks!

Wallco99 · 10-20-11, 02:36 PM

Don't worry, I won't be clogging up this thread with plays. I will be setting up a thread in the next few days, as soon as I have finished my backtest. I have one season to go, results look great so far. There are two parts to the system, a v1 and a v2. The v1 is based on team winning streaks and the v2 is based on team losing streaks. The v1 is a lot stronger than the v2, but combined, they produced some pretty good results. The v1 only had one losing season so far (-18 units). The v2 had one pretty bad year, but overall is still up. I will completely break the two systems down when I set up thread. But for now, I will list the first 4 plays of the season. Tread very lightly or just use these for information purposes until I have finished the test. The first 4 official plays of the season are:

10/20/11
Chicago (M/L) (A) v1
Nashville (+1 1/2) (A) v2
Montreal (+1 1/2) (A) v2
Tampa Bay (M/L) (A) v2

I will have a thread set up before the next plays.

JW Cash · 10-20-11, 02:52 PM

great job wallco

oklahoma · 10-20-11, 04:30 PM

look forward to your thread wallco.

bol on our plays, maybe we'll bust out the brooms tonight.

on3 · 10-20-11, 06:55 PM

Originally posted by Wallco99

Don't worry, I won't be clogging up this thread with plays. I will be setting up a thread in the next few days, as soon as I have finished my backtest. I have one season to go, results look great so far. There are two parts to the system, a v1 and a v2. The v1 is based on team winning streaks and the v2 is based on team losing streaks. The v1 is a lot stronger than the v2, but combined, they produced some pretty good results. The v1 only had one losing season so far (-18 units). The v2 had one pretty bad year, but overall is still up. I will completely break the two systems down when I set up thread. But for now, I will list the first 4 plays of the season. Tread very lightly or just use these for information purposes until I have finished the test. The first 4 official plays of the season are:

10/20/11
Chicago (M/L) (A) v1
Nashville (+1 1/2) (A) v2
Montreal (+1 1/2) (A) v2
Tampa Bay (M/L) (A) v2

I will have a thread set up before the next plays.

i look forward to seeing the results.

John Deere · 10-20-11, 07:30 PM

We will ship all 3 tonight !

lecubs28 · 10-20-11, 11:16 PM

3/3 what a day!

knugen · 10-20-11, 11:16 PM

Yeah, really good night.. 3-0 thx on3

oklahoma · 10-20-11, 11:37 PM

on3 · 10-21-11, 12:54 AM

3-0
anytime you got the oklahoma happy dance, you know its a good night. hopefully some you got greedy and laid some parlay action.

System record 6-0-0
Units +5.5
1 unit = $20

10/21

no plays

Game 1 win = 3-3
Game 2 win = 3-0
Game 3 win = 0

Labby Line (new units)

10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10

Jets4Cup · 10-21-11, 01:57 AM

Joined the forums so I can lurk this topic.

Got into the game late, but off to a 3-0 start. Will be riding this thread all season!

Turfgrass · 10-21-11, 03:19 AM

Originally posted by Jets4Cup

Joined the forums so I can lurk this topic.

Got into the game late, but off to a 3-0 start. Will be riding this thread all season!

Me too...

Awesome so far...

John Deere · 10-21-11, 05:14 AM

Had a question ! With a 200$ br, which labby should I use ?

5-5-5-5 ??

TheCommish · 10-21-11, 06:10 AM

Originally posted by John Deere

Had a question ! With a 200$ br, which labby should I use ?

5-5-5-5 ??

Up to you, but that might even be tight. I'm using $100 units (so 50-50-50-50 to start) and I had to lay about $1000 total between the three games last night. With your units, that would have been about half your total bankroll.

In a nutshell, you might be OK if we don't have multple game 3's on the same day early on.

John Deere · 10-21-11, 07:34 AM

Originally posted by TheCommish

Up to you, but that might even be tight. I'm using $100 units (so 50-50-50-50 to start) and I had to lay about $1000 total between the three games last night. With your units, that would have been about half your total bankroll.

In a nutshell, you might be OK if we don't have multple game 3's on the same day early on.

Ok good, Thanks

Do you know whats the best ratio ?

Wallco99 · 10-21-11, 07:52 AM

Originally posted by John Deere

Ok good, Thanks

Do you know whats the best ratio ?

Usually 1% starting bet on most chase systems. But hockey losses can get very expensive as compared to the other sports, so less on these. Honestly, with a $200 bankroll, you are no more than 1-1-1-1, probably even less: .50-.50-.50-.50

John Deere · 10-21-11, 09:41 AM

Originally posted by Wallco99

Usually 1% starting bet on most chase systems. But hockey losses can get very expensive as compared to the other sports, so less on these. Honestly, with a $200 bankroll, you are no more than 1-1-1-1, probably even less: .50-.50-.50-.50

I think ill play a little bit over my BR management.

knugen · 10-21-11, 10:05 AM

U should start with à bigger br, 200 is à really small oone.. And if u play Moore than 1 % u will regret that really soon, vajar your bet Will groove really fast in hockey, cause of the high juice.. Been there, done that

EasyPicks · 10-21-11, 10:08 AM

nice system!

will keep an eye on it!

good work from on3!
thx

TheCommish · 10-21-11, 10:58 AM

I compiled a list, by day, of each starting 3+ game homestand from today until the end of the season.

http://www.eatdrinksleepsports.net/NHL/nhl-3-game-homestands-by-starting-date.html

(If viewing in IE8, turn on compatibility view) -- Sorry, just something I've started working on.

Looks like there are 154 more 3+ game homestands. Of course, we'll have to filter out based on starting odds for each.

Cheers

on3 · 10-21-11, 11:22 AM

Originally posted by TheCommish

I compiled a list, by day, of each starting 3+ game homestand from today until the end of the season.

http://www.eatdrinksleepsports.net/NHL/nhl-3-game-homestands-by-starting-date.html

(If viewing in IE8, turn on compatibility view) -- Sorry, just something I've started working on.

Looks like there are 154 more 3+ game homestands. Of course, we'll have to filter out based on starting odds for each.

Cheers

You sir, just saved me an hour of time this weekend. Much thanks.

TheCommish · 10-21-11, 11:25 AM

Originally posted by on3

You sir, just saved me an hour of time this weekend. Much thanks.

No problem. It's the least I could do

knugen · 10-21-11, 11:44 AM

wallco, are u finished with the backtest of a team with 3 losses chase? what was the result?