on3's NHL home chase 55-3 in 2010, 94-1 in 2009

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  • on3
    SBR MVP
    • 08-23-10
    • 2197

    #106
    System record 3-0-0
    Units -2.5
    1 unit = $20

    10/20

    #3 -- new york @ TB -150 (B)

    #4 -- toronto @ BOS -170 (B)

    #6 -- nashville @ VAN -170 (B)

    Game 1 win = 3-3
    Game 2 win = 0
    Game 3 win = 0

    Labby Line (minor reshuffle)

    10-x-x-62

    10-25-25-42
    10-10-10-10

    TB to win 52
    VAN to win 50
    BOS to win 62
    Comment
    • lecubs28
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-17-11
      • 638

      #107
      Where are you getting the 62 from for BOS? Shouldn't it be 72 (top line, 10 + 62 = 72)?
      Comment
      • knugen
        SBR MVP
        • 12-09-09
        • 2612

        #108
        Have anyone backtested to chase à team with 3 losses?
        Comment
        • Wallco99
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-01-11
          • 7261

          #109
          Originally posted by knugen
          Have anyone backtested to chase à team with 3 losses?
          Doing it right now, also testing another one that that has produced great results in the past four seasons. I will test a few more seasons and let you know what I found. So far, it looks great. I need a site that has NHL lines before 2005-06 season. Covers.com stops giving lines before that season. Anybody?
          Comment
          • knugen
            SBR MVP
            • 12-09-09
            • 2612

            #110
            That sounds great... Hope u Findus the site so we can start as soon as possible
            Comment
            • knugen
              SBR MVP
              • 12-09-09
              • 2612

              #111
              Do u know Joe long. Time u need, when u have found that site?
              Comment
              • knugen
                SBR MVP
                • 12-09-09
                • 2612

                #112
                Do u know how long. Time u need, when u have found that site?
                Comment
                • jalen__rose
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 10-19-10
                  • 165

                  #113
                  ok I understand the system but how do I know what games qualify eg) islanders on 3 game homestand they play the bruins caps and wings how do I know if I should use the system on the islanders?
                  Comment
                  • Kelloggs
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 06-14-08
                    • 958

                    #114
                    Originally posted by jalen__rose
                    ok I understand the system but how do I know what games qualify eg) islanders on 3 game homestand they play the bruins caps and wings how do I know if I should use the system on the islanders?
                    Read post #1
                    Comment
                    • imotiv8
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-28-09
                      • 906

                      #115
                      On3, do you have the final stats Game 1, Game 2, Game 3 from last year?
                      Comment
                      • on3
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-23-10
                        • 2197

                        #116
                        Originally posted by imotiv8
                        On3, do you have the final stats Game 1, Game 2, Game 3 from last year?
                        i dont have the details for 2009. unfortunately, i was much less meticulous in the past than i am now. for 2010, through 42 games the record was:
                        Game 1 : 28-14, 67%
                        Game 2 : 8-6, 57%
                        Game 3 : 5-1, 83%
                        I dont have the detailed records of the last 12-13 games of the season. I hope this helps.
                        Comment
                        • John Deere
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-19-11
                          • 581

                          #117
                          Originally posted by jalen__rose
                          ok I understand the system but how do I know what games qualify eg) islanders on 3 game homestand they play the bruins caps and wings how do I know if I should use the system on the islanders?

                          If the 1st game is > -140 on the home team (NYI)
                          Comment
                          • imotiv8
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 12-28-09
                            • 906

                            #118
                            Originally posted by on3
                            i dont have the details for 2009. unfortunately, i was much less meticulous in the past than i am now. for 2010, through 42 games the record was: Game 1 : 28-14, 67% Game 2 : 8-6, 57% Game 3 : 5-1, 83% I dont have the detailed records of the last 12-13 games of the season. I hope this helps.
                            thanks!
                            Comment
                            • Wallco99
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-01-11
                              • 7261

                              #119
                              Don't worry, I won't be clogging up this thread with plays. I will be setting up a thread in the next few days, as soon as I have finished my backtest. I have one season to go, results look great so far. There are two parts to the system, a v1 and a v2. The v1 is based on team winning streaks and the v2 is based on team losing streaks. The v1 is a lot stronger than the v2, but combined, they produced some pretty good results. The v1 only had one losing season so far (-18 units). The v2 had one pretty bad year, but overall is still up. I will completely break the two systems down when I set up thread. But for now, I will list the first 4 plays of the season. Tread very lightly or just use these for information purposes until I have finished the test. The first 4 official plays of the season are:

                              10/20/11
                              Chicago (M/L) (A) v1
                              Nashville (+1 1/2) (A) v2
                              Montreal (+1 1/2) (A) v2
                              Tampa Bay (M/L) (A) v2

                              I will have a thread set up before the next plays.
                              Comment
                              • JW Cash
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-31-08
                                • 4453

                                #120
                                great job wallco
                                Comment
                                • oklahoma
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-22-10
                                  • 602

                                  #121
                                  look forward to your thread wallco.

                                  bol on our plays, maybe we'll bust out the brooms tonight.
                                  Comment
                                  • on3
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-23-10
                                    • 2197

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by Wallco99
                                    Don't worry, I won't be clogging up this thread with plays. I will be setting up a thread in the next few days, as soon as I have finished my backtest. I have one season to go, results look great so far. There are two parts to the system, a v1 and a v2. The v1 is based on team winning streaks and the v2 is based on team losing streaks. The v1 is a lot stronger than the v2, but combined, they produced some pretty good results. The v1 only had one losing season so far (-18 units). The v2 had one pretty bad year, but overall is still up. I will completely break the two systems down when I set up thread. But for now, I will list the first 4 plays of the season. Tread very lightly or just use these for information purposes until I have finished the test. The first 4 official plays of the season are:

                                    10/20/11
                                    Chicago (M/L) (A) v1
                                    Nashville (+1 1/2) (A) v2
                                    Montreal (+1 1/2) (A) v2
                                    Tampa Bay (M/L) (A) v2

                                    I will have a thread set up before the next plays.
                                    i look forward to seeing the results.
                                    Comment
                                    • John Deere
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 10-19-11
                                      • 581

                                      #123
                                      We will ship all 3 tonight !
                                      Comment
                                      • lecubs28
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 10-17-11
                                        • 638

                                        #124
                                        3/3 what a day!
                                        Comment
                                        • knugen
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-09-09
                                          • 2612

                                          #125
                                          Yeah, really good night.. 3-0 thx on3
                                          Comment
                                          • oklahoma
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-22-10
                                            • 602

                                            #126
                                            Comment
                                            • on3
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-23-10
                                              • 2197

                                              #127
                                              3-0
                                              anytime you got the oklahoma happy dance, you know its a good night. hopefully some you got greedy and laid some parlay action.

                                              System record 6-0-0
                                              Units +5.5
                                              1 unit = $20

                                              10/21

                                              no plays

                                              Game 1 win = 3-3
                                              Game 2 win = 3-0
                                              Game 3 win = 0

                                              Labby Line (new units)

                                              10-10-10-10

                                              10-10-10-10
                                              10-10-10-10
                                              Comment
                                              • Jets4Cup
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 10-21-11
                                                • 8

                                                #128
                                                Joined the forums so I can lurk this topic.

                                                Got into the game late, but off to a 3-0 start. Will be riding this thread all season!
                                                Comment
                                                • Turfgrass
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 10-13-11
                                                  • 50

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by Jets4Cup
                                                  Joined the forums so I can lurk this topic.

                                                  Got into the game late, but off to a 3-0 start. Will be riding this thread all season!
                                                  Me too...

                                                  Awesome so far...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • John Deere
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 10-19-11
                                                    • 581

                                                    #130
                                                    Had a question ! With a 200$ br, which labby should I use ?

                                                    5-5-5-5 ??
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TheCommish
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-23-09
                                                      • 1013

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by John Deere
                                                      Had a question ! With a 200$ br, which labby should I use ?

                                                      5-5-5-5 ??
                                                      Up to you, but that might even be tight. I'm using $100 units (so 50-50-50-50 to start) and I had to lay about $1000 total between the three games last night. With your units, that would have been about half your total bankroll.

                                                      In a nutshell, you might be OK if we don't have multple game 3's on the same day early on.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • John Deere
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 10-19-11
                                                        • 581

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by TheCommish
                                                        Up to you, but that might even be tight. I'm using $100 units (so 50-50-50-50 to start) and I had to lay about $1000 total between the three games last night. With your units, that would have been about half your total bankroll.

                                                        In a nutshell, you might be OK if we don't have multple game 3's on the same day early on.
                                                        Ok good, Thanks
                                                        Do you know whats the best ratio ?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Wallco99
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-01-11
                                                          • 7261

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by John Deere
                                                          Ok good, Thanks
                                                          Do you know whats the best ratio ?
                                                          Usually 1% starting bet on most chase systems. But hockey losses can get very expensive as compared to the other sports, so less on these. Honestly, with a $200 bankroll, you are no more than 1-1-1-1, probably even less: .50-.50-.50-.50
                                                          Comment
                                                          • John Deere
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 10-19-11
                                                            • 581

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by Wallco99
                                                            Usually 1% starting bet on most chase systems. But hockey losses can get very expensive as compared to the other sports, so less on these. Honestly, with a $200 bankroll, you are no more than 1-1-1-1, probably even less: .50-.50-.50-.50
                                                            I think ill play a little bit over my BR management.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • knugen
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-09-09
                                                              • 2612

                                                              #135
                                                              U should start with à bigger br, 200 is à really small oone.. And if u play Moore than 1 % u will regret that really soon, vajar your bet Will groove really fast in hockey, cause of the high juice.. Been there, done that
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EasyPicks
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-21-11
                                                                • 3804

                                                                #136
                                                                nice system!

                                                                will keep an eye on it!

                                                                good work from on3!
                                                                thx
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TheCommish
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-23-09
                                                                  • 1013

                                                                  #137
                                                                  I compiled a list, by day, of each starting 3+ game homestand from today until the end of the season.



                                                                  (If viewing in IE8, turn on compatibility view) -- Sorry, just something I've started working on.

                                                                  Looks like there are 154 more 3+ game homestands. Of course, we'll have to filter out based on starting odds for each.

                                                                  Cheers
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • on3
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-23-10
                                                                    • 2197

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by TheCommish
                                                                    I compiled a list, by day, of each starting 3+ game homestand from today until the end of the season.



                                                                    (If viewing in IE8, turn on compatibility view) -- Sorry, just something I've started working on.

                                                                    Looks like there are 154 more 3+ game homestands. Of course, we'll have to filter out based on starting odds for each.

                                                                    Cheers
                                                                    You sir, just saved me an hour of time this weekend. Much thanks.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TheCommish
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-23-09
                                                                      • 1013

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Originally posted by on3
                                                                      You sir, just saved me an hour of time this weekend. Much thanks.
                                                                      No problem. It's the least I could do
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • knugen
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-09-09
                                                                        • 2612

                                                                        #140
                                                                        wallco, are u finished with the backtest of a team with 3 losses chase? what was the result?
                                                                        Comment
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