on3's NHL home chase 55-3 in 2010, 94-1 in 2009

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  • xgame
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-21-10
    • 675

    #561
    Ya man. Nice
    Comment
    • jcygts6
      SBR MVP
      • 04-05-09
      • 3316

      #562
      Nice now lets go Kings
      DO WORK + KROW OD
      do work! do work! do work! do work!
      od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
      Comment
      • juice050
        SBR Sharp
        • 11-19-10
        • 367

        #563
        dam nice c bet win. on3 ya system is dope.
        Comment
        • juice050
          SBR Sharp
          • 11-19-10
          • 367

          #564
          kings suck
          Comment
          • knugen
            SBR MVP
            • 12-09-09
            • 2612

            #565
            No play today
            Comment
            • knugen
              SBR MVP
              • 12-09-09
              • 2612

              #566
              Kings C bet today
              Comment
              • PuckIt
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-11-12
                • 9416

                #567
                Kings today (Monday) yeah? Maybe a mini-parlay U5.5 to stir the pot
                Comment
                • on3
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-23-10
                  • 2197

                  #568
                  definitely sobering to only be +10 when we compare to the high water mark of +20 just about 10 days ago. the B line is pretty fat, so we will redistribute a little after today's series closes. BOL.

                  System record 37-1-0
                  Units +10.25
                  1 unit = $20

                  1/23

                  #39 -- ottawa @ LAK -135 (C)

                  Game 1 win = 24-15
                  Game 2 win = 9-6
                  Game 3 win = 4-1

                  Labby Line

                  10-15-20-29

                  30-30-40-84

                  x-x-x-80

                  LAK to win 80
                  Comment
                  • chopperocker
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-16-09
                    • 1784

                    #569
                    im on the Kings with ya fellas. lets cash this ticket!!!
                    Comment
                    • knugen
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-09-09
                      • 2612

                      #570
                      And we cash, its 2 minutes left, but with a 4-1 lead i think i can say that!!

                      Thx On3
                      Comment
                      • oklahoma
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-22-10
                        • 602

                        #571
                        looks like we got a heap of series starting today. is there any allstar break rule?
                        Comment
                        • knugen
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-09-09
                          • 2612

                          #572
                          Tampa bay is tonights play!
                          Comment
                          • dominate.
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 04-02-11
                            • 160

                            #573
                            Excellent Victory! Cashed in big time. Vielen Dank!
                            Comment
                            • on3
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-23-10
                              • 2197

                              #574
                              System record 38-1-0
                              Units +14.25
                              1 unit = $20

                              1/24

                              #40 -- columbus @ TB -175 (A)

                              Game 1 win = 24-15
                              Game 2 win = 9-6
                              Game 3 win = 5-1

                              Labby Line

                              10-15-20-29

                              20-20-20-64

                              10-10-20-20

                              TB to win 39
                              Comment
                              • FreddDS
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 09-29-10
                                • 656

                                #575
                                Feels great winning A bets!
                                Comment
                                • oklahoma
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-22-10
                                  • 602

                                  #576

                                  Lets enjoy the break.
                                  Comment
                                  • knugen
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-09-09
                                    • 2612

                                    #577
                                    If anyone interested!
                                    If we have played all 3 game home series without odds filter we had been 84-5 with 2 B bets pending
                                    Comment
                                    • FreddDS
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 09-29-10
                                      • 656

                                      #578
                                      Originally posted by knugen
                                      If anyone interested!
                                      If we have played all 3 game home series without odds filter we had been 84-5 with 2 B bets pending
                                      Very interesting. I think that's something I'd be willing to bet.
                                      Comment
                                      • darrendice
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 12-31-10
                                        • 121

                                        #579
                                        Ignoring starting odds in the chase.......Previous years have been roughly 10:1 ratio of wins to series loses usual 150 to 15 over the previous 4 seasons. (i'd looked at this myself a few weeks back) Although certain teams seam to do better eg Montreal and Pittsburgh no series losses in 4 years .....Edmonton have 6. This season is better than average as should be roughly 84 - 8. I think with a good labby line should work well but I would be wary about blindly betting on teams at home for a 3 game series.
                                        Columbus for example.... I'd be hard pushed to bet on the series this season although previous years they've only had one series loss in 4 seasons (17-1). So past performance is not necessarily a good indicator as they were one of the better teams for these series.
                                        Comment
                                        • therizz
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 04-03-11
                                          • 35

                                          #580
                                          Guys,
                                          I came up with this system and posted it on another forum. On3 has brought it over here and is doing a great job with it, staying on top of the plays, working the labby lines, etc.... The main idea behind this for me was that the odds makers are smarter than I am and have a good sense of who is going to win a game. If they set a line at -150 they are basically saying that team will win 60% of the time. Looking back at historical data this correlated very well, not only for the first game of the series but selects out teams that also have a high winning percentage in games 2 and 3 as well. This is key for running the multi line labby. I am willing to pay a little higher juice to get these percentages which allows me to cross of my lines more quickly and turn profit. Looking at all the 3 or more game home stands may be a good option as well. The key here is your data likely includes the series chased in this system. The best way to assess it is to exclude the series played here and then figure out what the records would be for each level of the chase (a, b, and c games). If these hit at a good percentage it would definitely be profitable with the labby and there would be lower juice. My suspicions are there would also be a lower win rate for the different levels of the chase and you would be carrying more on your labby lines..... If you are looking for more profits, there are other ways to tweak this system as far as money management. On3 does a great job of minimizing risk by splitting up the numbers on his labby lines to decrease the exposure of his bankroll. You can play this way setting a higher base bet (% of your bankroll) to increase profits or you can be more aggressive with your labby lines and play a smaller percentage by just not splitting the numbers on your lines. You may lose 2 or 3 bets on one line and it will get pretty big, but as soon as a bet hits for that line you will have cleared it out. Good luck. I am glad everyone is benefitting from this in some way. It is always great to see others working on ways to make new systems or improve what we have to optimize our returns.
                                          Comment
                                          • O
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-21-12
                                            • 1980

                                            #581
                                            very cool. I have a question, do you still play a 3 game series if say the B game the home team is (-110) or even possibly as on the fav (+125)? GL to ALL.
                                            Comment
                                            • knugen
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-09-09
                                              • 2612

                                              #582
                                              Yes we do, the only filter is in the first game, B and C doesnt matter
                                              Comment
                                              • knugen
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-09-09
                                                • 2612

                                                #583
                                                we have a bet on Flyers tomorrow
                                                Comment
                                                • Guitar
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 01-30-12
                                                  • 1

                                                  #584
                                                  I'm trying this for the second half of the season with you guys if it's ok?

                                                  Should'n Bruins be a bet aswell?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • FreddDS
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 09-29-10
                                                    • 656

                                                    #585
                                                    Originally posted by Guitar
                                                    I'm trying this for the second half of the season with you guys if it's ok?

                                                    Should'n Bruins be a bet aswell?
                                                    Yup, your right!

                                                    Boston and Philly are tomorrow's plays.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mrgodzilla
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 01-14-12
                                                      • 19

                                                      #586
                                                      I'm going to try this out as well.

                                                      Is it recommended to parlay these or straight bets
                                                      Comment
                                                      • knugen
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-09-09
                                                        • 2612

                                                        #587
                                                        Straight bets
                                                        Comment
                                                        • handicapper03
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 05-13-10
                                                          • 283

                                                          #588
                                                          straight ml or pl?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • on3
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-23-10
                                                            • 2197

                                                            #589
                                                            and we're back. i really want to be at the +40 unit mark by the end of the season. lets make it happen.

                                                            System record 39-1-0
                                                            Units +16.25
                                                            1 unit = $20

                                                            1/31

                                                            #41 -- ottawa @ BOS -185 (A)
                                                            #42 -- winnipeg @ PHI -200 (A) -- i would recommend playing the regulation line for reduced juice

                                                            Game 1 win = 25-15
                                                            Game 2 win = 9-6
                                                            Game 3 win = 5-1

                                                            Labby Line

                                                            x-15-20-x

                                                            20-20-20-64

                                                            10-10-20-20

                                                            BOS to win 35
                                                            PHI to win 40
                                                            Comment
                                                            • knugen
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-09-09
                                                              • 2612

                                                              #590
                                                              What do u mean with regulation line?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • knugen
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-09-09
                                                                • 2612

                                                                #591
                                                                Ahaa, you mean no overtime 
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Win89
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 11-06-11
                                                                  • 157

                                                                  #592
                                                                  Lines are now -200 and -210. Ouch!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • oklahoma
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-22-10
                                                                    • 602

                                                                    #593
                                                                    Originally posted by Win89
                                                                    Lines are now -200 and -210. Ouch!
                                                                    Flyers have dropped to -177 at pinnacle.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • keemosabi
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 12-11-10
                                                                      • 199

                                                                      #594
                                                                      Does anyone know how the system's results would differ if the -0.5 regulation line was played instead of the regular ML?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Win89
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 11-06-11
                                                                        • 157

                                                                        #595
                                                                        Originally posted by oklahoma
                                                                        Flyers have dropped to -177 at pinnacle.
                                                                        Yea they dropped a bit since that post
                                                                        Comment
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