A4U2FEAR's regular season picks

a4u2fear · 10-04-11, 09:05 AM

Will be looking at Buffalo on Friday, Anahiem usually a very slow starting team; also the under as Buffalo will be sporting a new defense and Miller will be looking to reestablish his dominant goaltending.

ColdBeerHere · 10-04-11, 09:45 AM

it will be interesting to see what the line is at a neutral location...i'll probably be wagering buffalo myself

a4u2fear · 10-04-11, 05:07 PM

Assuming (and hoping) Pittsburgh and Philadelphia open as dogs on Thursday. Will take both. Assuming the line in the Toronto game will be Toronto or almost even. Will probably take Toronto.

Deol · 10-04-11, 11:44 PM

What book(s) do you use for the NHL?

a4u2fear · 10-05-11, 06:28 AM

BetDSI, Legends, and 5dimes

a4u2fear · 10-05-11, 09:38 AM

Pit +135 vs Van 1*
Phi +115 vs Bos 2*
Tor -115 vs Mon 1*

keel44 · 10-05-11, 06:34 PM

Risk 1 unit or to win 1 unit?

a4u2fear · 10-05-11, 07:01 PM

Originally posted by keel44

Risk 1 unit or to win 1 unit?

Wager 1 unit. So risk 1 if +money or risk X to win 1 if -money

a4u2fear · 10-05-11, 07:07 PM

Love the neutral site lines so far:

Buffalo -115 vs Anahiem 5*
Buffalo +230 vs Anahiem Puckline 1*

NYR LA U5.5 -105 2*

a4u2fear · 10-05-11, 07:10 PM

If you are looking to flat bet a trend here is some food for thought:
Last year, if you were to bet the underdog in the first 100 games of the season to win $10, you would be +31 units. Could be data mining, orrrrrr could be a flaw in Vegas - aka usually there are some good teams that play poorly to start and some crappy teams play great in the beginning of the season (see Toronto and Colorado). Also, Vegas seems to have trouble setting proper lines early on.

Good luck

keel44 · 10-05-11, 08:01 PM

How high do your star bets go? Is 1 or 2 about average?

a4u2fear · 10-05-11, 08:19 PM

Yes, I'm not a bettor who always bets 3-5 units as normal - I won't bet 70 units in one night to end up winning 5, it's flat out stupid

MexicanStallion · 10-06-11, 03:07 PM

Good luck A4. You know I'll be hanging out here. I have been tempted to see what I can do with NHL This year, but I'll probably just tail your thread for some plays instead.

a4u2fear · 10-06-11, 06:52 PM

Originally posted by MexicanStallion

Good luck A4. You know I'll be hanging out here. I have been tempted to see what I can do with NHL This year, but I'll probably just tail your thread for some plays instead.

Good luck, hope your fund is doing well

lowhighboy · 10-06-11, 07:52 PM

Nights young but looking good so far!

a4u2fear · 10-06-11, 08:08 PM

Originally posted by lowhighboy

Nights young but looking good so far!

Hopefully the third periods treat us well

lowhighboy · 10-06-11, 08:38 PM

I will be in Vegas Oct 9th - 12th playing so I hope you dont mind me taking you with me haha...

a4u2fear · 10-06-11, 08:53 PM

Haha good luck. Been there once, 5 years ago. Need to make it there soon

buzzer · 10-06-11, 09:00 PM

Nice calls A4, see ya next friday.

lowhighboy · 10-06-11, 09:02 PM

Thank you for the picks.

MexicanStallion · 10-06-11, 09:56 PM

Great night. Nice way to start the season with positive units. Now finish off with a sweep

keel44 · 10-06-11, 10:31 PM

Are you the type who would add plays in the middle of a night, or will you post fairly early in the afternoon? --- no spur of the moment bets?

lowhighboy · 10-06-11, 11:59 PM

You the man A4!!!!!

a4u2fear · 10-07-11, 05:35 AM

Originally posted by a4u2fear

Pit +135 vs Van 1*
Phi +115 vs Bos 2*
Tor -115 vs Mon 1*

Great start!

3-0 +4.65

Let's go Buffalo!

a4u2fear · 10-07-11, 05:37 AM

Originally posted by keel44

Are you the type who would add plays in the middle of a night, or will you post fairly early in the afternoon? --- no spur of the moment bets?

Most picks will be around 3 hrs prior to the games, I'm working so it's tough to make picks in the early afternoon but sometimes I do most of my research the night before.

a4u2fear · 10-07-11, 05:38 AM

Originally posted by lowhighboy

You the man A4!!!!!

a4u2fear · 10-07-11, 05:38 AM

Originally posted by MexicanStallion

Great night. Nice way to start the season with positive units. Now finish off with a sweep

a4u2fear · 10-07-11, 05:42 AM

Two picks posted for the early games, good luck

Jago2008 · 10-07-11, 06:03 AM

Originally posted by a4u2fear

Two picks posted for the early games, good luck

Great calls, I love the Phi. call on thurs; are u referring to the Buffalo pick aswell as the under earlier in the post?

What do you think about TB +110?

a4u2fear · 10-07-11, 06:28 AM

Originally posted by Jago2008

Great calls, I love the Phi. call on thurs; are u referring to the Buffalo pick aswell as the under earlier in the post?

What do you think about TB +110?

There are actually three picks, Buf ML and PL, NYR under

TB looks good, they will be out to prove they were no fluke.

Adding Nashville -110 1*

bruloc · 10-07-11, 10:31 AM

Originally posted by a4u2fear

Love the neutral site lines so far:

NYR LA U5.5 -105 2*

Where did you take that odds? This game openned U5 at pinny, and the U5.5 is -164 now.

a4u2fear · 10-07-11, 10:53 AM

I got the line opening day, wednesday at 5 dimes, real early

keel44 · 10-07-11, 11:35 AM

Looks like you should have waited on the Nashville game. The line moved against you here, but you got it real good on your under 5.5. It all seems to balance out in the end.

a4u2fear · 10-07-11, 11:42 AM

Yes you can't worry about which side you are on and how it moves, only know that the play you want is locked in. I liked Nashville at that price and not worried about it.