DG's 2011-2012 NHL Picks

DennisGreen · 12-11-11, 07:53 PM

Originally posted by RabidGoat

Exactly what I wanted to hear. I've been waiting all day to check my pick against yours. I think it's fantastic what you do and the consistency at which you do it. BOL on the rest of the year!

Thanks and thanks for the points

I have been pretty inconsistent so far unfortunately but things seem to be heading in the right direction lately.

DennisGreen · 12-11-11, 07:54 PM

Well got 1 in the 1st at least. About what I expected. San Jose has been a low scoring 1st period team so far this year.

Good pace and good amount of shots in the 1st though

ebbearsfb1 · 12-11-11, 07:58 PM

yea always like to see a goal in the first when on an over rover

ebbearsfb1 · 12-11-11, 08:13 PM

damn 3 goals in the rangers game ..

1 in sharks come on

DA_MOSS · 12-11-11, 08:15 PM

1-1 in SJS/CHI game.. hoping for at least 1 more in the 2nd

DA_MOSS · 12-11-11, 08:18 PM

Originally posted by DA_MOSS

1-1 in SJS/CHI game.. hoping for at least 1 more in the 2nd

that was fast!

2-1 Sharks

DennisGreen · 12-11-11, 08:41 PM

Well we have a shot in the 3rd at least.

Hoping this goal trend continues, 1 in 1st, 2 in 2nd and 3 in 3rd please

DA_MOSS · 12-11-11, 08:47 PM

DG -- Gotta believe Chicago will turn the pressure up in the 3rd after only getting 13 shots on goal through 2 so far compared to 33 for San Jose... Hopefully the 'Hawks are saving it all for the last 20 min.. I wanna see some damn fireworks!! lol

DennisGreen · 12-11-11, 08:58 PM

Yup let's hope so Moss. Shocked at how bad the Sharks are outshooting them. I'm hoping for 3-1 Sharks in the first 10 mins of the 3rd then 3-2 and 3-3 or 4-2 final.

DennisGreen · 12-11-11, 09:11 PM

Fcuk over not hitting tonight

Both totals doing the opposite of what I expected tonight

ebbearsfb1 · 12-11-11, 09:11 PM

Damn.. I hate sundays... 0 and 4 again this Sunday... idk what it is but every Sunday I can't get a win must because its the Lords day

gottiboy19 · 12-11-11, 09:12 PM

gottiboy19 · 12-11-11, 09:33 PM

2-2 you got a chance!

DennisGreen · 12-11-11, 10:27 PM

Originally posted by ebbearsfb1

Damn.. I hate sundays... 0 and 4 again this Sunday... idk what it is but every Sunday I can't get a win must because its the Lords day

Yup only bet on Tebow on Sunday I guess

I hit my big NFL play today so was an alright day overall for me. Had ATL/CAR over.

DennisGreen · 12-11-11, 10:29 PM

Originally posted by gottiboy19

Yup too bad about your under too. Those pricks hit the over in the 2nd then of course a scoreless 3rd

Salmon Steak · 12-11-11, 11:36 PM

I think TB and U tomorrow... anyway GL DG

DennisGreen · 12-12-11, 12:18 AM

Thanks and under usually is a strong play when Tampa's on home ice.

DennisGreen · 12-12-11, 12:19 AM

What a game that was between the Giants and Cowboys. Can't believe my Giants +4.5 bet covered

Cowboys were up 12 with 5 mins left. I "Beat the Plug" once again too

DennisGreen · 12-12-11, 12:24 AM

Just saw the highlights of the Hawks/Sharks and damn Niemi absolutely robbed sure fire Hawks goals early in the 1st and 3rd period. Should have gone over tonight

gottiboy19 · 12-12-11, 01:51 PM

DennisGreen · 12-12-11, 02:29 PM

Monday Plays

NJ (+109)

NJ Over 2.5 (+103)

Zach Parise Over 0.5 Points (-110)

In honor of my favorite TV show of all time and tonight's Jersey bets

Attached Files

Cicima6709 · 12-12-11, 02:34 PM

Lotta money on the Devils tonight, any particular reason you like them?

I am on the Stamkos vs. Kovi prop and Bergeron vs. Larsson prop...so hopefully we can somehow both hit all our bets.

DennisGreen · 12-12-11, 02:40 PM

Originally posted by Cicima6709

Lotta money on the Devils tonight, any particular reason you like them? I am on the Stamkos vs. Kovi prop and Bergeron vs. Larsson prop...so hopefully we can somehow both hit all our bets.

Roloson in net for Tampa, he's been shaky plus Jersey historically plays well in Tampa. Nice well I'll take Jersey in a high scoring game and hopefully Kovi and Larsson don't do well tonight for your props

mebaran · 12-12-11, 02:51 PM

Lol, you ass. Nice avatar...

...but seriously though, what a champ...

Cicima6709 · 12-12-11, 03:22 PM

Originally posted by DennisGreen

Roloson in net for Tampa, he's been shaky plus Jersey historically plays well in Tampa. Nice well I'll take Jersey in a high scoring game and hopefully Kovi and Larsson don't do well tonight for your props

Yup, im down with that. St. Louis being out def. helps your case. Guy is just flat out an incredible hockey player.

Tough to pass up Stamkos -115 at home though. Kovi is a worse road performer and Stamkos is a great home player. 2nd straight year hes getting 1.27 ppg at home...

DennisGreen · 12-12-11, 04:09 PM

Originally posted by mebaran

Lol, you ass. Nice avatar...

...but seriously though, what a champ...

You're a Bears fan you can officially hate him after last night

It just doesn't make sense he sucks for 3 quarters most of his games and then in the 4th quarter somehow the man
upstairs helps him win. Guy makes me wanna start going to church almost

Had to throw $50 on the Broncos to win the Super Bowl at +5500. With Jesus on their side anything is possible

DennisGreen · 12-12-11, 04:12 PM

Originally posted by Cicima6709

Yup, im down with that. St. Louis being out def. helps your case. Guy is just flat out an incredible hockey player.

Tough to pass up Stamkos -115 at home though. Kovi is a worse road performer and Stamkos is a great home player. 2nd straight year hes getting 1.27 ppg at home...

Wow that's unreal low on Stamkos it's definitely great value with the fact he will play 20+ mins and is on home ice.

Dimex · 12-12-11, 04:16 PM

Hi there, i'm from Europe and i really don't understand the american betting sistem.

So i would like to ask which team here is favorite to win the game? NJ?

Cicima6709 · 12-12-11, 04:35 PM

Originally posted by DennisGreen

Wow that's unreal low on Stamkos it's definitely great value with the fact he will play 20+ mins and is on home ice.

Yea, i like the odds a lot. I've got a pretty nice lookin Excel model that converts the players stats into projected odds for a given matchup. Been pretty succesful, just playing the lines where im seeing a huge mismatch between my odds and the sportsbooks odds. Really happy to find a book that has all the matchups i like (BetIslands), now just curious to see if theyll limit me.

I can start posting all my matchups, but it doesnt sound like many people have a sportbook that even allows these bets. Another thing is you kind have to make your bets around 11am EST, otherwise the lines move. Often i get lines at -115 when they first come out, but they are -160 or so around game time. Still worth it for some players, but obviously a ton of lost value.

Anyways, GL tonight DG!

DennisGreen · 12-12-11, 04:38 PM

Originally posted by Dimex

Hi there, i'm from Europe and i really don't understand the american betting sistem.

So i would like to ask which team here is favorite to win the game? NJ?

NJ is the underdog. If you see a +$ team theyre the dog and if you see a -125, -150 team for example they're the favorite.

DennisGreen · 12-12-11, 04:40 PM

Originally posted by Cicima6709

Yea, i like the odds a lot. I've got a pretty nice lookin Excel model that converts the players stats into projected odds for a given matchup. Been pretty succesful, just playing the lines where im seeing a huge mismatch between my odds and the sportsbooks odds. Really happy to find a book that has all the matchups i like (BetIslands), now just curious to see if theyll limit me.

I can start posting all my matchups, but it doesnt sound like many people have a sportbook that even allows these bets. Another thing is you kind have to make your bets around 11am EST, otherwise the lines move. Often i get
lines at -115 when they first come out, but they are -160 or so around game time. Still worth it for some players, but obviously a ton of lost value.

Anyways, GL tonight DG!

Bet Islands seems like a solid book maybe I'll deposit a bit there just for props.

Yeah 5 dimes is exactly the same way for player props. They always open with good prices but if you wait til just before the game starts they're usually chalked up good.

GL to you as well tonight.

DennisGreen · 12-12-11, 08:19 PM

Parise point, and Devils TT hit!

Hold on now Devils!

thedirtybirds17 · 12-12-11, 08:23 PM

Looking good! Took the Devils in Reg.

Mike Huntertz · 12-12-11, 08:25 PM

Nice TT pick.
Can you believe I took NJ and over but not NJ TT over????
What an idiot.

RabidGoat · 12-12-11, 08:25 PM

I took total over 5.5 because it had better odds than Devils over 2.5 but I was hoping for a 4-2 game and when I saw your play on the Devils overs it was the final confirmation. We are cashing out there for sure just need them to hold on now.