SJ at VAN Sunday

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  • bigsmitty
    SBR MVP
    • 04-12-10
    • 3026

    #1
    SJ at VAN Sunday
    With the line being about -170 VAN right now I can see the opportunity for a SJ wager or even better a "game to OT" wager which by my check pays about +279. The last two meetings (yes, I realize a great deal changes in the playoffs) went to OT. VAN is nursing a fair number of injuries (who isn't, but theirs are fairly notable) which may counteract some of the last change advantage. As well, I personally think that home ice has been a DISadvantage for VAN with the pressure and SJ has to be feeling on top of the world fresh off the DET win. Given all the factors I think I'm going with SJ moneyline and think very carefully about an OT wager. Good luck everyone.
  • LLXC
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-10-06
    • 8972

    #2
    SJ +158 is too much...almost have to put a unit on it.
    Comment
    • Terrapin Station
      SBR MVP
      • 01-05-10
      • 2583

      #3
      I'm playing a little bit on the Sharks. Good luck guys.
      Comment
      • bobbyk1133
        SBR MVP
        • 08-05-10
        • 2245

        #4
        The line on SJ is ridiculous. Bank it.
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        • twelvejewelz
          SBR MVP
          • 01-29-11
          • 2388

          #5
          dont know why its set at 5.5 with the way van plays D especially at home most other games were set at 5 i believe..
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          • DennisGreen
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-27-08
            • 18369

            #6
            Have to agree with the value on the Sharks. These teams are very evenly matched and no way I'd lay -170 on my Nucks in game 1 vs the Sharks. I like the over the most tomorrow.
            Comment
            • bobbyk1133
              SBR MVP
              • 08-05-10
              • 2245

              #7
              Originally posted by DennisGreen
              Have to agree with the value on the Sharks. These teams are very evenly matched and no way I'd lay -170 on my Nucks in game 1 vs the Sharks. I like the over the most tomorrow.
              VAN have been so overpriced this post-season anyone hoping to make a penny on them will be bankrupt by the time the playoffs are over. The only value they've had is in futures....which is a risky proposition all on it's own.

              Like you said, they are so evenly matched that you would be passing up a great opportunity to pass on SJ in this series.
              Comment
              • DennisGreen
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-27-08
                • 18369

                #8
                Originally posted by bobbyk1133
                VAN have been so overpriced this post-season anyone hoping to make a penny on them will be bankrupt by the time the playoffs are over. The only value they've had is in futures....which is a risky proposition all on it's own. Like you said, they are so evenly matched that you would be passing up a great opportunity to pass on SJ in this series.
                Yup. I have made good money on them in series bets but the bookies are over-pricing the shit outta them unfortunately Sharks are a good live dog in the series and every road game.
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                • cutesauce
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 11-01-09
                  • 68

                  #9
                  i also agree lots of value on sj
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                  • twelvejewelz
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-29-11
                    • 2388

                    #10
                    Originally posted by DennisGreen
                    Have to agree with the value on the Sharks. These teams are very evenly matched and no way I'd lay -170 on my Nucks in game 1 vs the Sharks. I like the over the most tomorrow.
                    really you like the over, why? Public fade? I mean at home van plays a lockdown type game and considering it is the first of their series i would think they would do that more.
                    Comment
                    • JuniorAnalyst
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-21-11
                      • 2148

                      #11
                      The only reasonable play here is the Under. Both teams in Round 1 and 2 had there Game 1's go under 5.5 Tonight they will play even tighter making the under a lock. Betting moneylines isnt smart here because betting vancover is to much juice but even with the sharks value there most likely not gonna win in this position 75% of the time.
                      Comment
                      • bigsmitty
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-12-10
                        • 3026

                        #12
                        I don't play totals but I would think Under 5.5 would be my route. A key in taking the Sharks (the line is great but it's irrelevant if they are that unlikely to win) is the Sedins. I think that although they can still be a presence on the ice, realistically if VAN can't count on two of the best point producers through the season they are left to play a similar style as developed with NSV. For SJ I think Niemi and a defensive mindset will continue to be their focus-letting their offense capitalize in bursts. At any rate, I think I'm likely to try out the OT wager along with the SJ side. I do have to say I am quite shocked that the Sedins have so fallen off the radar-what with being called out, etc one must only figure they have been (to this point) literally unable to produce points. Good luck guys.
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                        • Cranium
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 09-05-08
                          • 363

                          #13
                          Go with the under... SJ is tired and VAN will be rusty..
                          Comment
                          • D3 Mighty Ducks
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-17-09
                            • 11939

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Cranium
                            Go with the under... SJ is tired and VAN will be rusty..
                            Over it is.
                            Comment
                            • moses millsap
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-25-05
                              • 8289

                              #15
                              no clue, but should be a helluva game...tend to think it will be high scoring, b/c i dont trust either goalie, especially not luongo
                              Comment
                              • window
                                Restricted User
                                • 04-12-11
                                • 35

                                #16
                                spreads

                                vancouver is crazy and they will cover w/ spreads 1.5
                                Comment
                                • NYER5680
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-10-07
                                  • 1486

                                  #17
                                  I will take canucks -1.5 as well small play.
                                  Comment
                                  • Canukc
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 01-11-10
                                    • 139

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
                                    Over it is.
                                    VAN averaged 4.85/game (5/13 over) while SJ has a 6/13 over so far.
                                    First 2 games each were 1-3 o/u and 3/4 home.
                                    I,m on the home + under.
                                    Comment
                                    • thebestthereis
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-01-09
                                      • 11459

                                      #19
                                      -170 is too high, value on the sharks for sure. that is why you take vancouver because it makes no sense.
                                      Comment
                                      • bigsmitty
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-12-10
                                        • 3026

                                        #20
                                        Well losing the SJ moneyline and the OT gig was a bit of a punch to the melon for me. I would complain about the reffing but VAN absolutely dominated that last half. VAN was seriously cranking them in bodychecking, faceoffs and stifling the transitions. That was a quality game on the Canucks behalf, perhaps their best of this playoffs. Cheers
                                        Comment
                                        • JuniorAnalyst
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-21-11
                                          • 2148

                                          #21
                                          Yea most deserved win by canucks so far. Sedins stepped up and i see more coming from them. Vancover is gonna take series in 5 or 6
                                          Comment
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