toronto +125 .

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  • shantystar
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-13-05
    • 7299

    #1
    toronto +125 .
    toronto +125 .
  • D3 Mighty Ducks
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-17-09
    • 11939

    #2
    No write up or reasoning behind this?

    I see no value in taking the Leafs tonight at a price like that. Also, if you were to wait till closer till puck drop you will be able to get a better price. I'm probably going to play the the Flyers and fade this
    Comment
    • FreddDS
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 09-29-10
      • 656

      #3
      Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
      No write up or reasoning behind this?

      I see no value in taking the Leafs tonight at a price like that. Also, if you were to wait till closer till puck drop you will be able to get a better price. I'm probably going to play the the Flyers and fade this
      I'm right with you. I think the Flyers will come out seeking revenge over there loss to the Leafs at home last week. Expecting a Philly win tonight.
      Comment
      • bigsmitty
        SBR MVP
        • 04-12-10
        • 3026

        #4
        I hear you D3 but it's hard to see the line moving that much. I think TOR pulls this out (Reimer) and Phaneuf is actually having fun playing again. PHI has been floundering. Good luck.
        Comment
        • Whitee
          SBR Hustler
          • 02-24-11
          • 85

          #5
          Originally posted by FreddDS
          I'm right with you. I think the Flyers will come out seeking revenge over there loss to the Leafs at home last week. Expecting a Philly win tonight.
          Agreed. I am playing Philly too as well. They lost against the Leafs last time. Kessle's line has not been scoring. Philly going to avenge it tonight. Even though i like T.O.
          Comment
          • gambler CK
            Restricted User
            • 03-09-11
            • 232

            #6
            only play i would make on this game is OVER 5.5, otherwise i would stay away
            Comment
            • gilbert91016
              SBR MVP
              • 04-29-09
              • 1479

              #7
              I agree whit gambler ck i think over 5.5 it's the play!!
              Comment
              • Sawyer
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-01-09
                • 7761

                #8
                I'm on Leafs too but picked it at +135.

                Reasoning: It's an Iron Dog, lol.
                Comment
                • D3 Mighty Ducks
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-17-09
                  • 11939

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Sawyer
                  I'm on Leafs too but picked it at +135.

                  Reasoning: It's an Iron Dog, lol.
                  Even +135 for the Leafs ML isn't enough value in my opinion. Before last Thursday game where the Leafs barley hung on the Flyers have owned the Leafs home and away. Philly just came off a convincing 4-1 win at home against the Oilers which ended a 4 game losing skid. Leafs are playing desperate hockey right now just trying to get into the playoffs. I wouldn't even rank the Leafs in the top 10 in the East so the fact their even this close to the 8th spot I'd consider them lucky. The Capitals are slowly creepy up on the Flyers for the first spot in the East only 2 points back but Philly has 2 games in hand.

                  All said and done I think this is very short price for the Flyers at -140 (what I got it at) and there isn't enough value to place a wager on the Leafs. Good luck nonetheless guys
                  Comment
                  • Whitee
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 02-24-11
                    • 85

                    #10
                    Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
                    Even +135 for the Leafs ML isn't enough value in my opinion. Before last Thursday game where the Leafs barley hung on the Flyers have owned the Leafs home and away. Philly just came off a convincing 4-1 win at home against the Oilers which ended a 4 game losing skid. Leafs are playing desperate hockey right now just trying to get into the playoffs. I wouldn't even rank the Leafs in the top 10 in the East so the fact their even this close to the 8th spot I'd consider them lucky. The Capitals are slowly creepy up on the Flyers for the first spot in the East only 2 points back but Philly has 2 games in hand.

                    All said and done I think this is very short price for the Flyers at -140 (what I got it at) and there isn't enough value to place a wager on the Leafs. Good luck nonetheless guys
                    Well said D3 i picked Philly for small coins! LETS GET IT!
                    Comment
                    • bigsmitty
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-12-10
                      • 3026

                      #11
                      I don't know D3, Reimer is really coming along and the Leafs can play without fear. A lot of teams play much better when the pressure is off (which it effectively is for TOR-if they make the playoffs their peeps will say hurray, if not then they "tried well"). PHI has been pissing their pants lately and a victory over EDM is kind of like pushing your kid brother down the stairs. I could see PHI small coin as being reasonable though. Good luck.
                      Comment
                      • MathewXB
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-08-09
                        • 1629

                        #12
                        Philly is getting to where they are healthy again so I am confident that they can pull this one out.
                        Comment
                        • odog11
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-14-11
                          • 3874

                          #13
                          Like the over in this one, but probably Philly is the pick.
                          Comment
                          • Sawyer
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 06-01-09
                            • 7761

                            #14
                            Value is a subjective thing you know. Team-A may be EV+ for me but you may find value on Team-B since we all have different handicapping models/systems. Toronto is a EV+ bet in my opinion but it doesn't mean they will win %100. My iron dogs' (you can google it if you like to have more information) winning percentage is only %52 but it's enough to make profit.
                            Comment
                            • Whitee
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 02-24-11
                              • 85

                              #15
                              Good Night for Philly. 3-1 for tonight WHAT A GAME BY VANCOUVER!!!
                              Comment
                              • ZZPop
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 02-08-11
                                • 79

                                #16
                                People put too much faith into Reimer.
                                Comment
                                • Whippit
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 04-29-10
                                  • 3065

                                  #17
                                  Philly caught bigtime breaks in this game

                                  Reimer played good enough to win
                                  Comment
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