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  • kwatt4mvp
    SBR Rookie
    • 02-20-11
    • 16

    #1
    NHL Daily Picks
    Hey guys,
    This is my first thread that I've posted and I'll post my picks on here and would love some feedback from yall about them.
    02/21/11:
    Florida Panthers v NY Islanders
    ML: NYI (-115) NYI are 7-3 in their last 10 games. Ride the hot streak.
    O/U: Over 5.5 Both teams have a negative goal differential, and their defenses and goalies are terrible. Look for alot of scoring in this one.

    Chicago Blackhawks v St Louis Blues
    ML: Chi (-110)
    O/U: Under 5.5 -Chicago is +21 on goal differential and STL is -7. If there's a -1.5 spread then take Chicago's -1.5. This game should be a 3-1 or 4-1 blowout.

    Washington Capitals v Pittsburgh Penguins
    ML: Pittsburgh (+110) - Pittsburgh is dominant at home. Even with a couple players missing, I feel that they are still going to be able to defend the Caps lines.
    O/U: Under 5.5 - It will be all defense. Could end in a 1-0 or 2-1 game. the under is very strong.

    These are just the first of many posts that I'll put on this thread so please feel free to follow and give feedback. Thanks and happy betting!
  • Locke
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-09-11
    • 730

    #2
    Do you always play both the total and ml? i am curious why you are so confident in the hawks? i think they have the potential to put a few points up against st louis but i thought they looked a little lackluster today. good luck on the picks though brotha...glad your betting hockey
    Comment
    • kwatt4mvp
      SBR Rookie
      • 02-20-11
      • 16

      #3
      yeah i bet on PlayersOnly.com and they only have the ml's up right now. and you're right they didn't look too sharp today, but they're pretty good on back-to-back games and this game will come down to goaltending and chicago has the better defense.
      Comment
      • CapsFan
        Restricted User
        • 09-30-10
        • 188

        #4
        Pittsburgh has more then a couple players missing.

        Eric Tangradi Feb 12, 2011 Injured Reserve Concussion
        Dustin Jeffrey Feb 11, 2011 Injured Reserve Upper-body injury
        Chris Kunitz Feb 8, 2011 Injured Reserve Lower-body injury
        Evgeni Malkin Feb 5, 2011 Injured Reserve Torn right ACL, MCL
        Arron Asham Feb 2, 2011 Injured Reserve Upper-body injury
        Mark Letestu Feb 1, 2011 Injured Reserve Lower-body injury
        Sidney Crosby Jan 6, 2011 Injured Reserve Mild concussion
        Mike Comrie Nov 26, 2010 Injured Reserve Hip surgery

        And yeah, Missing Crosby and Malkin pretty much makes this team useless
        Comment
        • Andreas
          SBR High Roller
          • 12-01-10
          • 100

          #5
          ove hockey and the way the punch others
          Comment
          • kwatt4mvp
            SBR Rookie
            • 02-20-11
            • 16

            #6
            even with those players missing, they should have won today. dupuis missed 2 wide open shots that would have won it. and again they're great at home.
            Comment
            • LUSabres
              SBR High Roller
              • 02-18-11
              • 231

              #7
              I like Islanders ML, Chigaco Ml, but not Pittsburgh to win straight up, I like Pitt +1.5 though. Good luck!
              Comment
              • gilbert91016
                SBR MVP
                • 04-29-09
                • 1479

                #8
                Really like Panthers/Islanders over 5.5 but for some reason it looks to EZ. Bol
                Comment
                • kwatt4mvp
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 02-20-11
                  • 16

                  #9
                  i agree with the pitt 1.5 spread, i would take it if it were available. it probably will be later on.
                  Comment
                  • kobstopa
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-21-11
                    • 2965

                    #10
                    a sound pick, i agree. except Hawks have just killed the blues - bad luck i suppose, blue was leading 2 -0 until they let Hawks score 2 points to even it within 2 minutes.

                    LUSabres was right he picked Chicago, we'll try again tomorrow
                    keep up the good work
                    Comment
                    • kwatt4mvp
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 02-20-11
                      • 16

                      #11
                      I did very well yesterday. here's my W-L stats. I parlayed quite a few. I play on playersonly.com and here's what my ticket looked like. I also bet the syracuse-villanova game and won 13 on a 5 dollar bet. My next post will be with my picks for tomorrow from tonight. playersonly doesn't have the spreads out on the games yet though....

                      <------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------>

                      Parlay (4 Teams) 02/21/11 09:52 ET

                      bet 2.87 to win 21.00 (paid 23.87) Result: Wager Won

                      Blackhawks(Chicago) 5
                      Blues(StLouis) 3
                      Over 5.5 (-115)

                      Capitals(Washington) 1
                      Penguins(Pittsburgh) 0
                      Penguins(Pittsburgh) +1.5 (-290)

                      Capitals(Washington) 1
                      Penguins(Pittsburgh) 0
                      Capitals(Washington) -130

                      Panthers(Florida) 1
                      Islanders(NewYork) 5
                      Islanders(NewYork) -115

                      <------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------->

                      Parlay (3 Teams) 02/21/11 09:49 ET

                      bet 5.00 to win 25.67 (paid 30.67) Result: Wager Won

                      Blackhawks(Chicago) 5
                      Blues(StLouis) 3
                      Blackhawks(Chicago) +1.5 (-330)

                      Capitals(Washington) 1
                      Penguins(Pittsburgh) 0
                      Penguins(Pittsburgh) +1.5 (-290)

                      Panthers(Florida) 1
                      Islanders(NewYork) 5
                      Islanders(NewYork) -1.5 (+250)

                      <----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------->

                      Parlay (2 Teams) 02/21/11 00:28 ET

                      bet 5.00 to win 13.64 Result: Wager Lost

                      Blackhawks(Chicago) 5
                      Blues(StLouis) 3
                      Under 5.5 (-105)

                      Blackhawks(Chicago) 5
                      Blues(StLouis) 3
                      Blues(StLouis) -110

                      <---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------->

                      Parlay (3 Teams) 02/21/11 00:26 ET

                      bet 5.00 to win 26.57 (paid 31.57) Result: Wager Won

                      Blackhawks(Chicago) 5
                      Blues(StLouis) 3
                      Blackhawks(Chicago) -110

                      Capitals(Washington) 1
                      Penguins(Pittsburgh) 0
                      Capitals(Washington) -130

                      Panthers(Florida) 1
                      Islanders(NewYork) 5
                      Islanders(NewYork) -115

                      <---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------->

                      Parlay (5 Teams) 02/21/11 00:26 ET

                      bet 5.00 to win 118.57 Result: Wager Lost

                      Blackhawks(Chicago) 5
                      Blues(StLouis) 3
                      Blackhawks(Chicago) -110

                      Capitals(Washington) 1
                      Penguins(Pittsburgh) 0
                      Over 5.5 (+105)

                      Capitals(Washington) 1
                      Penguins(Pittsburgh) 0
                      Capitals(Washington) -130

                      Panthers(Florida) 1
                      Islanders(NewYork) 5
                      Over 5.5

                      Panthers(Florida) 1
                      Islanders(NewYork) 5
                      Islanders(NewYork) -115

                      <-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------->

                      Total record For 2-21-11 : 4-2 (3-2 NHL)
                      Comment
                      • kwatt4mvp
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 02-20-11
                        • 16

                        #12
                        Alright guys, Here are my picks for 2-22-11. Would love feedback and thoughts on it. I play on PlayersOnly.com so the Spreads arent out yet.

                        Coyotes @ Flyers:
                        Coyotes (+155)-----> Coyotes riding a 7-game win streak and 8-2 in their last 10. Keep riding that streak for as long as possible.
                        Under 5.5 (-130)----> Goalies are both solid. Bryzgalov has been strong lately.
                        Prediction- Phoenix 3-1

                        Predators @ Blue Jackets
                        Predators (even) ----> Nashville has too strong of an offense for Columbus to hang with. Col allows 3 goals per game and Nash. is +17 in Differential.
                        Over 5 (PUSH) -------> Nashville is +17 in goal differential yet the 5 goal line is too dangerous to bet. Leave it.
                        Prediction: Nashville 3-2

                        NY Rangers @ Hurricanes
                        Rangers +1.5 -----> This comes down to goal differential for me. Rangers are +16 while Carolina is -10. NY is also a great road team.
                        Over 5.5 (+120)-----> Both high scoring teams. Carolina has scored more total this season, but they also give up more.
                        Prediction: NYR 5-2

                        NY Islanders @ MapleLeafs
                        NY Islanders +1.5-------> New York is on fire right now, 7-3 last 10. Don't totally bet against them. It's gonna be a tight game.
                        Over 5.5 (-105)-------> Poor goaltending means many goals and both teams allow over 3 per game.
                        Prediction: NY Islanders 5-3

                        Sharks @ Red Wings
                        Sharks +1.5 ------> This will be a 1-goal game either way, but the wings at home are tough to beat riding a 5 game W streak. SJ +1.5 is safe.
                        Under 5.5 -------> Both teams can score goals, but SJ has a defense that can play with Detroit even at home. I like the under here.
                        Prediction: Red Wings 2-1

                        Oilers @ Wild
                        Wild -1.5 --------> Lets face it. Edmonton sucks. Minnesota is at home, and will win by 2 or more goals.
                        Under 5.5 (-130)-------> Both defenses suck, but Edmonton's offense is worse than Minnesota's defense.
                        Prediction: Wild 3-0

                        Avalanche @ Blues
                        Blues (-210) and/or -1.5-------> The AV's are on a 0-9-1 streak right now. As I've stated before... ride the streaks in the NHL.
                        Over 5.5 (-130)-----> Colorado CAN score, but St. Louis can score much more, especially at home. Look for about 8 goals in this game.
                        Prediction: Blues 6-3

                        Bruins @ Flames
                        Bruins -1.5 or (-110)-------> The Flames are on a back-to-back and Boston is 7-1 with 3 or more days rest and good on the road.
                        Over 5.5 (+115)----------> Boston will come in fresh and hot with 10 goals in their last 2 games and Calgary just came off a 4-goal shutout.
                        Prediction: Bruins 5-2

                        Canadiens @ Canucks-------[B]K-WATT'S GUARANTEE[B]
                        Canucks -1.5 AND (-180)-------> Blow.Out. Vancouver is the best team, and Montreal just got dominated by Calgary.
                        Over 5.5---------> Canucks will dominate the game and the Canadiens might get 1 or 2 scrappy goals.
                        Prediction: Vancouver 6-2

                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------>

                        Let me know what you think. Leave some feedback as well.
                        Comment
                        • oiler
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 06-06-09
                          • 6585

                          #13
                          to much info to comprehend .going to go with a smaller version of a few of those bets
                          Comment
                          • kwatt4mvp
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 02-20-11
                            • 16

                            #14
                            yeah i'm not taking them all obviously... just what i've researched and come up with. feel free to pick and choose.
                            Comment
                            • brettels
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-04-10
                              • 3376

                              #15
                              how confident are you with the pheonix pic? i backed the flyers before i saw this and theres no turning back
                              Comment
                              • oiler
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 06-06-09
                                • 6585

                                #16
                                so far i got two plays;;detroit and stl ,both overs
                                Comment
                                • kobstopa
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-21-11
                                  • 2965

                                  #17
                                  excellent analysis, i'll pick a few. except Bruins @ Flames - Flames, they're solid right now or maybe safe with over 5.5
                                  NY Rangers @ Hurricanes - Hurricanes, will have a home edge while rangers just had a quality lost at home against Phi,
                                  Comment
                                  • kwatt4mvp
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 02-20-11
                                    • 16

                                    #18
                                    i'm very confident in phoenix. this win streak has been good for them and they're still healthy AND coming off a couple days rest.
                                    Comment
                                    • kwatt4mvp
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 02-20-11
                                      • 16

                                      #19
                                      kobstopa: if you feel safer with just taking the over just do that. I think the over on that game is safe, but more of a tossup with the winner of it. but remember the bruins offense has been on fire lately. i wouldn't take the hurricanes outright, which is why i gave the NYR +1.5.
                                      Comment
                                      • gilbert91016
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-29-09
                                        • 1479

                                        #20
                                        What do u think it's the best over?
                                        Comment
                                        • kwatt4mvp
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 02-20-11
                                          • 16

                                          #21
                                          vancouver is the best over. they could end up putting up 6 goals on their own
                                          Comment
                                          • gilbert91016
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-29-09
                                            • 1479

                                            #22
                                            Yeah I was looking at it but y the plus $$$ on the over?? What do u think off the islander over?
                                            Comment
                                            • kwatt4mvp
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 02-20-11
                                              • 16

                                              #23
                                              i'm no expert by any means though...
                                              Comment
                                              • kwatt4mvp
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 02-20-11
                                                • 16

                                                #24
                                                basically.. if vancouver loses... it's going to be a 4-3 or 5-4 game. like the NYI over because of their offensive hot streak. their front and second offensive lines have been looking good lately.
                                                Comment
                                                • kobstopa
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-21-11
                                                  • 2965

                                                  #25
                                                  cant believe the Canuck lost this one, ahrr. I got NJ/under right. Most of the NBA games today are easier to predict
                                                  Comment
                                                  • brettels
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-04-10
                                                    • 3376

                                                    #26
                                                    hockey is too unpredictable for me, im not going near it again.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LUSabres
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 02-18-11
                                                      • 231

                                                      #27
                                                      hockey is one of the easier sports to cap imo, basketball and football are much harder, especially basketball.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • kobstopa
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-21-11
                                                        • 2965

                                                        #28
                                                        in basketball there's a sound consistency where a lowly teams(namely Cle) will like to lose away from home & the top team would have a good streak. in hockey that's not always the case. In short NHL hasnt been good for me so far
                                                        Comment
                                                        • brettels
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-04-10
                                                          • 3376

                                                          #29
                                                          not for me, i have found basketball and football easier. football(all footballs except soccer) i have found easy except this years nfl. basketball was good for me except this year and last year has been horrible. my bad patch has gone for a good two years now. i dont know if it will ever turn around, it certainly wont with hockey, have never won with hockey.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • kobstopa
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-21-11
                                                            • 2965

                                                            #30
                                                            just parlay a small amount & keep it simple to build your confident & rhythm back. good luck

                                                            i case any of you're interested in NBA - I have posted my capp projection for tomorrow in the Basketball
                                                            Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

                                                            see what you think & i hope its a profitable one.

                                                            gl
                                                            Comment
                                                            • kobstopa
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-21-11
                                                              • 2965

                                                              #31
                                                              kwatt what happen to u.? we like your insight
                                                              Comment
                                                              • brettels
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-04-10
                                                                • 3376

                                                                #32
                                                                yeah, i've been waiting for your posts! come on kwatt!!!!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • kobstopa
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-21-11
                                                                  • 2965

                                                                  #33
                                                                  while waiting for the Mosad to search and confirm where about kwatt, I'll do some posting

                                                                  Colorado at Los Angeles
                                                                  Continuing with a their winning way the Kings is 18-9-1at home, (7-3) in the last 10, & 9 of these played away from home, their last two games are solid against a sound defensive teams
                                                                  2/24/11 MIN W 4-2
                                                                  2/23/11 @ ANA W 3-2
                                                                  Currently sitting 5th in the west with 4 games leading over 7 teams in the bottom 8. With 16 remaining games to play thing can change & they will look to take care of business at home against a lowly, bottom ranked Avalanche (away 12-13-3) and 1-9 in the last 10. Colorado’s trade last week will not be quick enough to aid them in this game.

                                                                  The 2 teams last met with results:
                                                                  12/21/10 COL 0 - LA 5
                                                                  10/23/10 COL 4 - LA 6

                                                                  Colorado:
                                                                  Over is 12-5 in COL last 17 Sat. games.

                                                                  Los Angeles:
                                                                  LA are 20-8 in their last 28 Sat. games.
                                                                  LA are 10-4 in their last 14 overall.
                                                                  Under is 12-5 in LA last 17 overall.

                                                                  Prediction:
                                                                  Colorado 1 Los Angeles 5


                                                                  Result:

                                                                  Colorado 3. LA King 4. Winner chicken for dinner


                                                                  Washington Capitals at New York Islanders
                                                                  The rangers came to town shredded Capitals’s Swiss cheese D with a Win 6-0. This time they’re facing another New Yorkers that can scores all you can eat at an average 4 goals per game in the their last 7 at home or at 3 per game even in a loss game.

                                                                  Washington won twice when the 2 teams last met with results:
                                                                  1/20/11 NYI 1 - WAS 2
                                                                  10/13/10 WAS 2 - NYI 1
                                                                  But back then Islanders’ record was merely 14-24-7, loss almost every single game to every man and his dog in the league. It’s a different story the last 10 where they are 6-4 even won 4 in a row in one stretch, also won 2 at home against record team.

                                                                  2/21/11 FLA W 5-1
                                                                  2/19/11 LA W 3-0 1.5
                                                                  2/17/11 BOS L 3-6 1.5
                                                                  2/15/11 @ OTT W 4-3 (SO)
                                                                  2/13/11 @ BUF W 7-6 (OT)
                                                                  2/11/11 PIT W 9-3
                                                                  2/10/11 @ MON W 4-3 (SO)

                                                                  Interesting to note in Capitals’s last 11, they were only over 3 times

                                                                  2/21/11 @ PIT W 1-0
                                                                  2/20/11 @ BUF W 2-1
                                                                  2/17/11 @ SJ L 2-3
                                                                  2/16/11 @ ANA W 7-6
                                                                  2/14/11 @ PHO L 2-3
                                                                  2/12/2011 LA L 1-4
                                                                  2/08/2011 SJ L 0-2
                                                                  2/06/2011 PIT W 3-0
                                                                  2/04/2011 @ TB W 5-2
                                                                  2/01/2011 MON L 2-3 (SO)

                                                                  Capitals 4 Islanders 3 (SO) (that is some crazy shit, hey)

                                                                  Result:

                                                                  Capitals 3 Islanders 2


                                                                  ps. i did post Capitals 3 Islanders 2 in the basketball forum before i posted here Capitals 4 Islanders 3 (SO), damn
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • kobstopa
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-21-11
                                                                    • 2965

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Predators at Dallas Stars

                                                                    with 2 key wing players returned Dallas has some winning to do, started with a 4-1 win at Detroit, but keep in mind Detroit has more success on the road than at home lately. Predators however is (1-4-0) on the road and loss 5 of 9 games in February. At home Dallas 17-9-5, sitting barely 8th in the west with Chicago, Predators and Donald Ducks et al. pushing for the same spot.
                                                                    since this is a very important game for both teams breaking a tie, it will be an attention to details & great preparation than normal, both will focus on D.

                                                                    Head to Head trend:

                                                                    NAS are 5-16 in the last 21 meetings in Dallas.
                                                                    Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Dallas.

                                                                    Prediction Dal 2 Nash 1

                                                                    Result: Dal 3 Nash 2. WIN
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • LUSabres
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 02-18-11
                                                                      • 231

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Dallas really? I dunno why there favorited against the preds
                                                                      Comment
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