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  • mike-dub
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-22-11
    • 765

    #1
    My plays
    Im going to start posting my plays here as a way to keep track of them. Feel free to comment or make suggestions. Good luck all, lets get that money!
  • mike-dub
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-22-11
    • 765

    #2
    I will try to post my possible pics the night before the games, so i might not be able to post the odds or lines for the games, but ill at least post what i think will happen and then compare what im thinking with what the lines show when theyre posted
    Comment
    • mike-dub
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-22-11
      • 765

      #3
      so to start im leaning towards
      washington over kings. take the over- the teams are pretty much evenly matched when it comes to goals/game, special teams and shots. mike green is possibly back to give caps some more defense. but i think with bernier in net, it'll give the game to the caps

      oilers over senators. take the under. senators in the rebuilding process, theyre not thinking about this season anymore. They havent been playing with any kind of consistency to make me think they will bring their A-game into Edmonton

      hurricanes over lightning. the bolts lead the canes in special teams goals/game and shooting, but hurricanes still pulled out a win last game, i think it'll be another close game. And another win by the canes if they go with the same goalies as last match as carolina tries to maintain a playoff spot

      Canucks over flames. take the over - flames are making some moves, but whatever theyre trying to do will be put on hold here. the canucks dominate them in special teams, goal scoring and defense. Sammi Salo is back to strengthen that defense ( although i heard the over/under for games played until he gets hurt is 8 games!). So far it sounds like Luongo will start.

      Thats it so far...good luck all!
      Comment
      • mike-dub
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-22-11
        • 765

        #4
        Capitals to win
        Oilers to win, and under 5.5 goals

        more plays later
        Comment
        • mike-dub
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-22-11
          • 765

          #5
          canes to win. ward vs roloson, he did it once, hopefully he can do it again!
          canucks to win. game total over 5.5 goals
          Comment
          • mike-dub
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-22-11
            • 765

            #6
            2 - 4 for the day

            canucks:4/flames:2 - nucks out shoot flames 33-26 and go 2/3 on the pp luongo & kiprusoff in net
            Kings:4/Caps:1 - kings score 4 unanswered goals and outshoot caps 28-23. caps go 0/4 on the pp. bernier & varlamov in net
            Sens:5/oilers:3 - lots of back and forth goal scoring. sens outshoot 25-18. Oilers went 0/4 on the pp. Elliot & Khabibulin in net
            Bolts:4/Canes:3 - canes score two in the last minute to send it to ot. Bolts outshoot 41-34. Ward & Roloson in net

            Plays for tomorrow will likely be
            Flyers over Kings - Taking the over, and waiting to see what the team goal total is set at (using Bodog) Flyers are one of the top goal scoring teams in the league and are solid on the pp
            Ducks over Oilers - not impressed with oilers 18 shot game against the sens. Ducks are coming in on a roll. Getzlaf is lookin sharp and ducks are likely to start hiller.
            Comment
            • mike-dub
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-22-11
              • 765

              #7
              Flyers moneyline
              tt over 3
              over 5.5
              ducks moneyline
              tt over 3
              hurricanes moneyline
              Comment
              • mike-dub
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-22-11
                • 765

                #8
                3-3 for the day
                Originally posted by mike-dub
                Flyers moneyline
                tt over 3
                over 5.5
                ducks moneyline
                tt over 3
                hurricanes moneyline
                kings:1 Flyers:0 flyers outshoot kings 40-25 and lose despite 4, weak powerplays (2 shots). the lone goal came on a turnover. Quick & Bobrovsky in net

                Canes:3 Thrashers:2 Thrashers outshoot canes 43-17. Carolina had a 4minute powerplay but failed to score.Ward & Pavelec in net

                Ducks:4 Oilers:0 All Ducks tonight, oilers had 12 shots (5 in the first, 4 in the second, and just 3!! in the third) Hiller & Dubnyk/Khabibulin in net. although Dubnyk got the loss, lack of offense is mostly to blame in this one

                Looking at
                Canucks over St louis with the under. Canucks have the firepower and goaltending to take this and the blues are struggling recently, but for some reason the blues can still give the canucks a tough time.Canucks won the last game in stlouis, and theyre back in st louis again.

                calgary over colorado with the over. flames on their way up, while av's are on their way down (7 losses in a row). Hoping flames start kiprusoff, but i have a feeling they might give him a rest. either way, flames have good offense in jackman and glencross.
                Comment
                • Jones10
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-24-08
                  • 2251

                  #9
                  Like the 2 plays tomorrow as well
                  Comment
                  • mike-dub
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-22-11
                    • 765

                    #10
                    Canucks moneyline, game total under 5.5
                    Flames moneyline, game total over 5.5
                    Parlay Canucks moneyline, Flames moneyline and flames/avalanche over 5.5
                    Comment
                    • RbN
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-02-10
                      • 1514

                      #11
                      Comment
                      • Jones10
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-24-08
                        • 2251

                        #12
                        I'm on board with ya, Van ML & Cal / Col over...Let's get it...
                        Comment
                        • ChrisJ
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 01-05-11
                          • 148

                          #13
                          Nucks 4-1
                          Calgary 4-2
                          Phoenix 3-1

                          One time! (I did not bet on scores, just what I would prefer )
                          Comment
                          • mike-dub
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-22-11
                            • 765

                            #14
                            love it! although not off to the slow start i expected...

                            Originally posted by Jones10
                            I'm on board with ya, Van ML & Cal / Col over...Let's get it...
                            Comment
                            • mike-dub
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 01-22-11
                              • 765

                              #15

                              Originally posted by RbN
                              Comment
                              • mike-dub
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-22-11
                                • 765

                                #16
                                good luck, hopefully canucks win 3-2 unless you got the p/l too

                                Originally posted by ChrisJ
                                Nucks 4-1
                                Calgary 4-2
                                Phoenix 3-1

                                One time! (I did not bet on scores, just what I would prefer )
                                Comment
                                • Jones10
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-24-08
                                  • 2251

                                  #17
                                  Yea that was a terrible screw up by Luongo on that 2nd goal.
                                  Comment
                                  • woody78
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 09-18-08
                                    • 502

                                    #18
                                    Caps really are not that good this year.
                                    Comment
                                    • mike-dub
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-22-11
                                      • 765

                                      #19
                                      Canucks gotta stay out of the box, and play more aggresive to get st louis in the box. they can easily turn this around with the offensive lineup they got! im liking the assists by burrows and salo, bcz burrows was questionable to play today and salo is just coming back. two guys that canucks couldve been missing

                                      Originally posted by Jones10
                                      Yea that was a terrible screw up by Luongo on that 2nd goal.
                                      Comment
                                      • mike-dub
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-22-11
                                        • 765

                                        #20
                                        i agree, but why do you think that?

                                        Originally posted by woody78
                                        Caps really are not that good this year.
                                        Comment
                                        • Jones10
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-24-08
                                          • 2251

                                          #21
                                          Your right Van has gotta stop taking penalties, they've been brutal this game
                                          Comment
                                          • Jones10
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-24-08
                                            • 2251

                                            #22
                                            1-1 so far and the flames are looking solid right now
                                            Comment
                                            • mike-dub
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 01-22-11
                                              • 765

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by mike-dub
                                              Canucks moneyline, game total under 5.5
                                              Flames moneyline, game total over 5.5
                                              Parlay Canucks moneyline, Flames moneyline and flames/avalanche over 5.5
                                              3-2 on the night including the parlay

                                              Blues:3 Canucks:2 Blues outshoot canucks, but the difference here was penalties by canucks (5 by canucks, 1 by the blues),pp goals by the blues (2 of them) the bad reffing, and the giveaway by Luongo.canucks had 1 penalty in the first, blues scored on it. canucks had 4 penalties in the second, blues scored on one of those. Canucks had no penalties in the third, and blues had no goals...they meet again in 10 days, and i will more than likely make the same bet because canucks werent outplayed, they just made some mistakes

                                              Flames:9 Nobody(Avalanche):1 colorado with 8 losses in a row now, lose Duchene to injury. their only goal came on the powerplay.Hard to really analyze the flames when they win by a blowout like this other than to say they didnt have to work hard for this. Not a fan of blowouts, unless they get me money!

                                              considering plays on:
                                              Stars over Oilers- under. Oilers didnt show much game in their last two, so its hard to pick them over dallas. dallas had a recent slump but they showed a different side in the last two games against the bluejackets and hawks.This is more a fade against the oilers than it is a play on the stars though.

                                              isles over sens - over. Pretty much the only difference i make of these teams is 3 points and their recent 10 games.senators coming off a recent slump with the win over the oilers who didnt really challenge them. Im likeing Michael Grabner and Mikko Koskinen who has played well since his debut loss to the leafs.

                                              Buffalo and Montreal - under. Leaning towards montreal here and feeling the under( gut play here based on their history, so...). good goaltending is the main factor in this one for me

                                              Vancouver and Minnesota - over. Cautious to make a play on either team, but will probably just stick with the over ( i assume it'll be 5.5). Vancouver just lost another defenseman against the blues, and besides the blues, the wild are another team that plays the Canucks well. This can go either way, so i'll hope for a goal scoring game and hopefully just enjoy watching the canucks handle the wild
                                              Comment
                                              • mike-dub
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 01-22-11
                                                • 765

                                                #24
                                                Montreal/Buffalo under 5.5
                                                isles/sens over 5.5
                                                Dallas/Edmonton under 5.5, moneyline
                                                parlay montreal/buffalo under,isles/sens over and dallas moneyline
                                                Comment
                                                • RbN
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-02-10
                                                  • 1514

                                                  #25
                                                  Good luck friend!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mike-dub
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-22-11
                                                    • 765

                                                    #26
                                                    same to you buddy!

                                                    Originally posted by RbN
                                                    Good luck friend!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mike-dub
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 01-22-11
                                                      • 765

                                                      #27
                                                      3-2 on the night including parlay

                                                      Originally posted by mike-dub
                                                      Montreal/Buffalo under 5.5
                                                      isles/sens over 5.5
                                                      Dallas/Edmonton under 5.5, moneyline
                                                      parlay montreal/buffalo under,isles/sens over and dallas moneyline

                                                      Buffalo:3 Montreal:2 typical sabres/habs game with alot of shots and not alot of goals. came down to good goaltending. even took 10 rounds of shootouts to decide the game. Jhonas Enroth and Carey Price in goal.

                                                      Islanders:4 Sens:3 ottawa now winless in almost 2 months at home lose after trading alot of goals with the isles.isles go 0/4 on the pp but do score a sh goal while sens went 2/4 on the pp

                                                      Edmonton:4 Dallas:1 alot of penalties,6 of them to be exact, cost dallas this one and oilers took advantage of 2 of them. two of the teams i look to bet against, i just took the one i thought was less likely to not show up. I also made the bet before finding out Richards wasnt going to play. I probably wouldve still made the same bet, just i wouldnt have put so much into dallas moneyline tonight(lesson learned). I dont ever go huge on my plays, just whats comfortable for me so that if i lose, i can get pissed off but still have some money to try and get it back

                                                      on to better plays i hope!

                                                      Pittsburgh over Colorado - their last win over the ave's required the contribution of malkin and crosby. they wont be in the game tomorrow, but the ave's dont have much going for them either with duchene more than likely to be out their respective pp's are okay, but ave's pk is almost bottom of the league while penguins are top. things happen and sometimes bad teams beat good ones, so ill wait to see who starts in net for penguins.

                                                      Calgary over Stars - Edmonton made Dallas work hard. now theyre playing back to back into calgary. calgary is on a tear carrying alot of momentum into this game. they gave it to them about a month ago and i think they can do it again. im thinking raycroft will start since lehtonen played against edmonton and lost, but dallas might want to keep raycroft on the bench since he let in 7 goals the last time these two teams played

                                                      anaheim over capitals - caps have lost 3 in a row, ducks have won 4 in a row. caps didnt produce much against sj, phoenix or kings which explains why theyre near the bottom of the league in goals and powerplay. ducks on the other hand are looking decent with getzlaf back, selanne scoring and hiller back.im thinking take the under in this one
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mike-dub
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 01-22-11
                                                        • 765

                                                        #28
                                                        calgary moneyline
                                                        Ducks moneyline, under. (hiller out 3 games, i still think McElhinney can get it done after beating some other decent teams recently)
                                                        Pittsburgh over Colorado added play pittsburgh puckline. I dont see why penguins are+1 1/2(bodog), i think it should be the other way around, so im taking advantage of this and combining it with a couple of basketball games (miami -9, and Lakers(minus Kobe) -11)I dont know much about basketball, so do what you want with this...GL!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • mike-dub
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 01-22-11
                                                          • 765

                                                          #29
                                                          1-3 on this day including the parlay

                                                          Originally posted by mike-dub
                                                          calgary moneyline
                                                          Ducks moneyline, under. (hiller out 3 games, i still think McElhinney can get it done after beating some other decent teams recently)
                                                          Pittsburgh over Colorado added play pittsburgh puckline. I dont see why penguins are+1 1/2(bodog), i think it should be the other way around, so im taking advantage of this and combining it with a couple of basketball games (miami -9, and Lakers(minus Kobe) -11)I dont know much about basketball, so do what you want with this...GL!
                                                          Today im liking

                                                          Sabres over St.louis -under- Mostly a play on goaltenders here since blues will be without halak. Also i like the offensive power sabres possess compared to the blues

                                                          Bruins over Sens - Bruins will take advantage of the rebuilding-ottawa team. Sens are slowly starting to lack in every possible way as they trade players away, such as brian elliot now.

                                                          Flyers over Carolina - flyers are much better offensively than the canes. imo, they also play a better forecheck, but can risk taking penalties in this matchup since they dominate on the pk. canes will get warn out as flyers make them work, and then flyers will take advantage of them.

                                                          Devils over rangers -under- im not sure if ill make this bet yet, but i may end up going for it. i really want to see devils ride the momentum and make it into the playoffs and since theyre on a 5 game winning streak and looking good recently, im leaning towards them beating the rangers
                                                          Comment
                                                          • RbN
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-02-10
                                                            • 1514

                                                            #30
                                                            Good luck bro!! Devils are tearing every team apart!!! Ride it baby
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mike-dub
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 01-22-11
                                                              • 765

                                                              #31
                                                              thanks dude, tired rangers team playing the 2nd game on a b2b, its tough to pick rangers here. gl to you too!

                                                              Originally posted by RbN
                                                              Good luck bro!! Devils are tearing every team apart!!! Ride it baby
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mike-dub
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 01-22-11
                                                                • 765

                                                                #32
                                                                going with:
                                                                sabres ML
                                                                Bruins PL
                                                                Flyers ML
                                                                Devils ML/under
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mike-dub
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 01-22-11
                                                                  • 765

                                                                  #33
                                                                  3-2 on the night (not sure why i wrote sabres ML, i actually played Detroit ML. but, i posted sabres, so thats what i'll include in my record)

                                                                  Originally posted by mike-dub
                                                                  going with:
                                                                  sabres ML
                                                                  Bruins PL
                                                                  Flyers ML
                                                                  Devils ML/under
                                                                  Devils:1 Rangers:0 Lundqvist was the difference maker in this game, imo, it should have been3-0 devils. Hedberg didnt get much action. and Kovalchuk scored the lone goal on a breakaway. Not many penalties.Devils really looking good now.

                                                                  Bruins:4 Ottawa:2 A lot closer game than i imagined with the new aquisitions by boston, and trades by ottawa. Boston had 5 pp opportunities but could only profit from one of them.Lehner with the loss, Rask with the win

                                                                  Red wings:4 Panthers:3 Datsyuk with 9 points in 6 games since coming back doesnt look like he missed any games due to injury. Bertuzzi looking good too. Thought the first panther goal looked weak, and a turnover by them nearly resulted in a goal.Macdonald looked steller with a couple of key saves, especially one with 20 seconds left in the game.

                                                                  hurricanes:3 Flyers:2 not sure what it is with flyers, sometimes they show up,tonight they didnt.its hard to score when you spend so much time in the box, including 4 penalties in the second. flyers came back to tie it after being down 2-0 after the first, but that was it.bobrovsky with the loss, ward with the win

                                                                  Possible plays for tomorrow:

                                                                  Kings over isles -under- last time these teams met was handled by the kings who spent alot of time shorthanded yet isles couldnt capitalize.although, since then ny has looked better. gotta be careful of grabner and koskinen, who is still looking to prove himself but has been doing pretty good so far

                                                                  Oilers over thrashers-under- though oilers have been able to handle the habs and stars, i think thrashers might make it difficult for them which will keep the score down.none of these teams are 'goal-scoring' teams and also khabibulin looks decent of late. i normally fade oilers, but id give them a chance here

                                                                  Ducks over Blues-over- as far as i know, hiller and halak are both out.and after losing two in a row, i think ducks will be playing with more purpose against the blues. i think the offense ducks have will be enough to get this done for them.

                                                                  Canucks over Stars -over-possibly puckline as well depending on the line- Canucks down alot of defense, stars down Richards kinda evens things out, but then canucks have a lot of power up front. hoping luongo gets the start.Canucks need just a few more wins to guarantee a playoff birth
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • mike-dub
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 01-22-11
                                                                    • 765

                                                                    #34
                                                                    oilers m/l, under 5.5
                                                                    Canucks m/l, p/l
                                                                    ducks m/l
                                                                    sharks m/l
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mike-dub
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-22-11
                                                                      • 765

                                                                      #35
                                                                      4-2 on the day
                                                                      19-18 overall
                                                                      Originally posted by mike-dub
                                                                      oilers m/l, under 5.5
                                                                      Canucks m/l, p/l
                                                                      ducks m/l
                                                                      sharks m/l
                                                                      leans for tomorrow:

                                                                      Buffalo/Washington under - its been awhile since these two met, and since then the caps have dropped off when it comes to goal-scoring and buffalo not being far out of the playoff picture and needing to bounce back from a couple of poor performances should keep this a tight game

                                                                      Philadelphia over Rangers - gotta go with the dominant Flyers here. after making an attempt to come back from a 2 goal deficit against the canes and falling short of a victory, i can see them taking out some frustrations on the rangers.Hoping Boucher is net, will see tomorrow

                                                                      Chicago over Pittsburgh - Penguins without their topguns and blackhawks fighting for the 8th playoff spot . i think chicago will be able to take advantage with their offense and second best powerplay in the league right now
                                                                      Comment
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