MTL IS 15-12 THIS YEAR FOR UNDERS AT HOME. i might of missed one or two, but if you only play mtl at home, then you would have lost a couple series, however if you just play mtl overall like you are suppose to then the system is....
39-1 if you play A b c, out of those 39 series i believe 4 times it went to C.
THAT is why you should play mtl overall and not just at home or not just away. you get way more series even if it makes for a lil bit more variance.
What you are saying is not true. Sure, the more events, the better noone likes variance. The more events you are able to play the more you are able to reduce variance. But you should never bet games to reduce variance if results show it is not +EV at all.
First of all montreal is @home 15-15 with 7 pushes. if you would have only played straight bets you would have lost money against average odds of the wins valued @-112. This is with only straight bets. No matter if you play system bets or just straight bets with a fixed unitsize both should be proftiable. Only a system play can turn to be more profitable. But it cannot be true that you lose with straight bets and win (long term) with system bets. There is always a system to construct where you are winning in the short term. The lack of real samplesize makes it easy to construct a system. A streak easily becomes a system which is always questionable.
To go back to montreal. Away therey are 25-8 under. This is the reason why the overall under is still profitable. Away unders makes up for the the potential losses of home overs. Due to small samplesize plain luck in gameschedule is the reason of only one lost series. Only playing montral home under would have already resulted in 3 lost series. So not matter if you used straight bets with fixed unitsize or series betting you would have lost money only betting montreal home under.
Without playing montreal home under you would have made way more money than montreal overall under. Arguing something else is just factual untrue. No offence but playing home montreal under is just so ill advised. Anyone still playing that angle should seriously stop doing sportsbetting because it means you stopped being critical on your bets and are being leaded by pure greed and by the fear too miss the money train
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oklahoma
SBR Wise Guy
11-22-10
602
#634
since i started playing these feb 19 the most profitable trends are:
6-2 MTL AwAY UNDER
7-1 WSH AWAY UNDER
4-2 WSH HOME UNDER
4-1-1 NJ HOME UNDER
the rest are either negative or just ahead by one win.
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atari5200
Restricted User
09-15-10
464
#635
8-1
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oklahoma
SBR Wise Guy
11-22-10
602
#636
Originally posted by atari5200
8-1
at least they got it over early in the second and didnt keep us in suspense.
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honeyeater
Restricted User
01-20-11
253
#637
What happened to JW Cash?- Isn't this his thread?
Comment
skm39
SBR High Roller
01-03-11
171
#638
He'll be back after a win
Btw Detroit over would be a play according to him, but I would advise against it.
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J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#639
I think we should stop betting these trends late in the season cause as others have said teams stop playing defense. That or start betting the overs randomly.
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jsw64
SBR Wise Guy
02-28-11
520
#640
Originally posted by honeyeater
What happened to JW Cash?- Isn't this his thread?
With the last 2 going down in flames- 5-2 & 8-1,maybe he is smart and has gotten off while still ahead-unlike me.
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oklahoma
SBR Wise Guy
11-22-10
602
#641
Tonights official play, Detroit Home Over, is 1-4 in the past four weeks. Their last over was Feb22. but of course it will probably cash tonight, since i wont be playing it.
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jphil
SBR Wise Guy
07-12-09
757
#642
JW, there's a win now! What's for dinna?
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oklahoma
SBR Wise Guy
11-22-10
602
#643
Originally posted by oklahoma
but of course it will probably cash tonight, since i wont be playing it.
of course
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atari5200
Restricted User
09-15-10
464
#644
this thread is done. I really enjoyed the run we had. Now with every loss it destroys what bankroll we built up...That's it for hockey, See you all in the MLB threads...BOL
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honeyeater
Restricted User
01-20-11
253
#645
I know what you mean- ABOUT Det
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honeyeater
Restricted User
01-20-11
253
#646
3 wins one loss NHL over/under! Det yesterday and MTL, NASH, won and Wash lost today- Still paying and I'm still playing-
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#647
Into the playoffs and we pick up 2 nice wins last night with
Detroit HOME OVER
NY Rangers AWAY UNDER
Tonight we have a play on Montreal AWAY UNDER...
The Wash/NYR series will gave us a play every game ( Wash Away Under/NYR Away Under )
Lets see how many more units we can CASH !!!
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#648
I got Montreal AWAY UNDER 5 at -105....
With playoff hockey being what it is....I could see a lot of 3-2 finals in this series....
But you have to go with the percentages and hope to pick up a unit or two.....
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#649
Well we are standing at a 1-0 score after 2 periods so we are looking pretty....
just wished it was Boston leading instead of the Habs.....
Lets see what happens in the 3rd.....
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#650
.....winna winna...Chili Mac ...........dinna......
Montreal wins the UNDER tonight and we are 3-0 in the Playoffs............
A little Celebration music I believe is in order........Oh Yea !!!
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#651
Originally posted by liangliang
These things looked pretty good, and some that I can learn, and I hope to learn more on it!
Hope U picked up our 3 Winners so far in the playoffs liang liang....
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jcygts6
SBR MVP
04-05-09
3316
#652
any plays tonite?
DO WORK + KROW OD do work! do work! do work! do work!
od krow! od krow! od krow! od krow!
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#653
Originally posted by jcygts6
any plays tonite?
NY Rangers
AWAY UNDER......
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#654
...winna ...winna....Chicken Fettucine.....dinna......
NY Rangers AWAY UNDER Cashes !!!! We be 4-0 this playoff season.....
A little celebration music, please...............
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BMaddz
SBR Sharp
12-10-10
449
#655
i followed these trends and than they started falling off..now tht the games matter again they're back!! it was def tough down the stretch cause whoever wasn't in playoff contention didnt play D like they were capable of..lets win tht cash again though!! great work ma dude
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#656
Originally posted by BMaddz
i followed these trends and than they started falling off..now tht the games matter again they're back!! it was def tough down the stretch cause whoever wasn't in playoff contention didnt play D like they were capable of..lets win tht cash again though!! great work ma dude
Thanks BMaddz !!!!!!!!!!!
You Da Man.............
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BMaddz
SBR Sharp
12-10-10
449
#657
i say this because people who found out about this thread in the final month or so of the season didn't catch it when the plays were going 2-1, 3-0 each night...they came in here bashing you saying this system was shit meanwhile they had no clue how successful these trends were, i made me some serious cash flow by following here so thanks ma dude
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#658
Originally posted by BMaddz
i say this because people who found out about this thread in the final month or so of the season didn't catch it when the plays were going 2-1, 3-0 each night...they came in here bashing you saying this system was shit meanwhile they had no clue how successful these trends were, i made me some serious cash flow by following here so thanks ma dude
No one, I say No One can bash the Cashman....I wont let it happen...
I am invincible........
( the above message written completely " tongue in cheek "..........
Nice Win with Detroit HOME UNDER.....We are now 5-0 in Playoffs.....
Music Please.......
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#660
...winna....winna....Roast Beef....dinna.......
WOW....Another Win With Montreal AWAY UNDER......
We are 6-0......Playoff Style........WOW !!!
Yes...Celebration Music is indeed in order......
WOW !!!!!!
-------------
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Drakken
SBR Rookie
03-18-11
8
#661
Is there somewhere else you post your picks? You got two wins today but never (as far as I can see) posted your picks here.
Nice job with the playoffs so far!
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BMaddz
SBR Sharp
12-10-10
449
#662
Originally posted by Drakken
Is there somewhere else you post your picks? You got two wins today but never (as far as I can see) posted your picks here.
Nice job with the playoffs so far!
here are the trends..
Washington AWAY UNDER 21-0
Detroit HOME OVER 18-1
Nashville HOME UNDER 15-0
Montreal OVERALL UNDER 32-1
NY Islanders HOME OVER 18-0
NY Rangers AWAY UNDER 22-1
so those are the plays so tmw we have rangers/caps under as well as the ducks/preds under since the preds are at home
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hawtshawt
SBR High Roller
04-11-11
101
#663
Also interested in knowing where/how to get these trends since I'm not seeing you post them:P BOL today!
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JW Cash
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4453
#664
a push today with Wash/NYR
...and we have Nashville pending...
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mike-dub
SBR Wise Guy
01-22-11
765
#665
ducks defense worries me. preds are exceptional when it comes to the trap game, lets hope they dont get too greedy! your system looks good so far!