Do yourself a favor: Make a wager on NSH-LA U5

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  • ochenta y cinco
    Restricted User
    • 12-27-09
    • 660

    #1
    Do yourself a favor: Make a wager on NSH-LA U5
    This wager is ending up at worst as a push, don't fool yourself if you were thinking "over" because of backup goalies between the pipes.

    Nashville is currently without most of its true offensive threats (namely Sullivan, O'Reilly, Erat, and to a lesser extent Lombardi, although he hasn't played a single game yet).

    Also, this is the second game of a B2B for the Preds. They did win 4-1 over the Anaheim Ducks last night, but that was basically a 2-1 win, because the last 2 were insurance markers scored in an empty net. The 1st goal was a crazy garbage goal, the type that the Kings defence doesn't give a lot of.

    Lindback is in goal for NSH, he's reliable with a 2.39 GAA and a .922 Sv %. I think he's more than capable of keeping it close against a LA team that's 19th in goals scored and 4th in goals allowed at Staples Center. For a team with a 13-5-1 record at home, that tells you a lot about the type of game the Kings play in front of their fans.

    2-1, 3-1, 3-2, or 4-1 is the type of score I'm expecting in this one. Maybe even a shutout... Most likely in L.A's favor, but the line is not favorable to a wager on the ML or PL IMO. At + money, it's worth a shot. Maybe wait and see if it's possible to get an even better line, once people start noticing that Quick and Rinne aren't playing.

    Preds-Kings Under 5 (+115)


  • hockeynut
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-02-10
    • 891

    #2
    I actually like the over. Bernier has looked bad this season so far. And after Kings losing 3 or 4 games in a row this year they followed up with scoring 3 goals or more the next game. I expect a Kings win with at least 3-4 goals in a 4-2, 5-3 kind of game.
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    • ochenta y cinco
      Restricted User
      • 12-27-09
      • 660

      #3
      Originally posted by hockeynut
      I actually like the over. Bernier has looked bad this season so far. And after Kings losing 3 or 4 games in a row this year they followed up with scoring 3 goals or more the next game. I expect a Kings win with at least 3-4 goals in a 4-2, 5-3 kind of game.
      Agreed on Bernier, his stats after 10 starts are unimpressive (3.09 GAA and .890%). However he's still a more than capable goalie with tons of character and athleticism. Kings could indeed score 3 or 4 goals, it's the Preds that I don't expect to score much in this game.

      I just find that there's really good value in the Under, it's now at +117 on Pinny.
      Comment
      • ochenta y cinco
        Restricted User
        • 12-27-09
        • 660

        #4
        The more I think about it, there's some decent value on LA -0.5 @ -106 too. I rarely make a wager on the PL in those types of tight-checking games, but the Regulation line looks good.
        Comment
        • hockeynut
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-02-10
          • 891

          #5
          Told ya Bernier sucks lol. I was wrong about the Kings winning the game, but my only bet for this one was the over. Pred's beat downs the Kings.
          Comment
          • rthoughton
            SBR MVP
            • 12-27-09
            • 1992

            #6
            thanks for the thread. nice pickin. ha.
            Comment
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