hockeynuts Totals and Picks

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  • hockeynut
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-02-10
    • 891

    #1
    hockeynuts Totals and Picks
    I thought I would post some of my picks in here. It's more of a easier way for me to keep track of how I'm doing. Feel free to tail me or ignore me. I'll be betting in small amounts so I wont bother posting the amount of my bets. I'll simply post the odds along with the lines (from bet365) and my pick.

    I don't use any type of system. I just use facts, trends, stats, and my over 20 years of hockey knowledge.

    In this thread I will specialize in team totals and picks. I don't usually do period total's, may from time to time. I rarely also go for the 1.5 scenarios. You will notice a lot of my picks when picking a team will mostly be regulation only. There will be times when I will do a regular money line, but for the value play it will mostly be regulation only. This will be shown with the team highlighted in Blue. If it's not in blue than you know it's a regular money play, and not a 3 way money line play.

    I'll post some noteworthy facts about the teams in these picks. You can choose if there relevant or not. I find it useful in making my selections. I'll post what is relevant to my picks, but also what may be to yours.

    I don't believe in locks, and I have a system where I bet the same amount on every bet. But I'll go ahead and post what I think is the play of the day, just to see how well I do and if it's something I should consider betting more on in the future.

    Lets gets this started than.

    11/9/2010

    Team Totals

    Washington vs N.Y Rangers 5.5 -115
    Vancouver vs Montreal 5.5 +100
    Atlanta vs Ottawa 5.5 +110
    Anaheim vs SJ 5.5 +100

    Team Picks

    Carolina +105
    Washington +110
    Vancouver +130


    PLAY OF THE DAY

    Vancouver +130



    Some key notes for these match ups.

    Edmonton vs Carolina
    • Carolina 3-0 as a fav, Edmonton 2-7 as the dog
    • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Edmonton's last 10 games
    • The total has gone OVER in 14 of Edmonton's last 18 games on the road
    • Edmonton is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
    • Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
    • Edmonton has the third worst defence in the league, allowing 3.4 goals per game
    • Edmonton allows the most power play goals in the league with 1.3 per game
    • Edmonton has the worst penalty killing in the league 70.9%
    • Carolina has the third worst shots against allowing 35.3 per game


    Washington vs N.Y Rangers
    • Washington is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
    • 3 of the last 4 meetings have gone over 5.5
    • The Caps PP on the road is 6th in the NHL and the Rangers PK at home is 27th


    Anaheim vs SJ
    • The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Anaheim's last 23 games on the road
    • 5 of the last 10 meetings have gone under


    Vancouver vs Montreal
    • Vancouver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    • Vancouver is 11-2-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Montreal
    • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vancouver's last 9 games when playing on the road against Montreal
    • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games
    • Montreal has the worst power play in the league 6.4%


    Atlanta vs Ottawa
    • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games


    Good luck in your picks.
  • bigsmitty
    SBR MVP
    • 04-12-10
    • 3026

    #2
    Agree on WSH and VAN. Super value being with VAN but I wouldn't trust them on the road with important coin at this point. CAR and EDM too much of a tossup for me. Where did you find your lines for WSH and VAN? Good luck.
    Comment
    • hockeynut
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-02-10
      • 891

      #3
      Where did you find your lines for WSH and VAN? Good luck.

      AS it says in my topic, bet365.
      Comment
      • hockeynut
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-02-10
        • 891

        #4
        Pretty good start to my thread. I knew starting one could give me some luck.

        Overall 5-2 on the night including 3-1 in team totals.

        Team Totals

        Washington vs N.Y Rangers 5.5 O -115 W
        Vancouver vs Montreal 5.5 U +100 W
        Atlanta vs Ottawa 5.5 U +110 L
        Anaheim vs SJ 5.5 U +100 W

        Team Picks

        Carolina +105 W
        Washington +110 W
        Vancouver +130 L


        Overall 5-2
        Comment
        • eastvan09
          SBR MVP
          • 09-30-09
          • 1400

          #5
          Great start man! I may tail some of your plays
          Comment
          • thespeculator
            SBR MVP
            • 09-09-08
            • 2999

            #6
            i took a beating on the canucks, price is starting to play like the elite goalie he should be , i just saw the highlights on nhl network, but sounded like a playoff game
            Comment
            • hockeynut
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-02-10
              • 891

              #7
              5-2 on the season.

              Here are todays plays.

              (Remember bolded in blue picks are regulation only. O.T/Shootout not included.)

              11/10/10

              Team Picks

              Columbus +155
              Penguins +120

              Sabres +120


              Team Totals

              Boston vs Pittsburgh 5.5 +120
              Buffalo vs NJ 5.0 +125

              Play of the Day

              Sabres +120

              Some key notes for these matchup's

              St.Louis vs Columbus
              • Columbus 4-2 as Dog
              • St. Louis is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
              • Columbus is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
              • Columbus is 3-3 in the last 6 meetings


              Boston vs Pittsburgh
              • Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
              • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
              • Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh


              Buffalo vs N.J
              • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing New Jersey
              • Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
              • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Buffalo's last 11 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
              • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games
              • New Jersey is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home


              Good luck!
              Comment
              • eastvan09
                SBR MVP
                • 09-30-09
                • 1400

                #8
                GL man. Columbus is winning 4-0.
                Comment
                • hockeynut
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-02-10
                  • 891

                  #9
                  Another day, another dollar. Went 3-2 tonight. Could have been better but the Pens fell apart in the 3rd. But the big winner is the Columbus Blue Jackets absolutely trashing the Blues and telling them to get the **** out of their house.

                  2-1 Team picks tonight, 1-1 in team totals.

                  Team picks

                  Columbus +155 W
                  Pittsburgh +120 L
                  Buffalo +125 W (Also POD winner)

                  Team Totals

                  Boston vs Pittsburgh 5.5 O +120 W
                  Buffalo vs NJ 5.0 +125 U L


                  2010-2011 NHL Season 8-4 66%
                  Comment
                  • eastvan09
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-30-09
                    • 1400

                    #10
                    Good show man! I'm starting to get rolling myself with a few more plays. Its hard here in Vancouver as the early games start when I'm still working lol.
                    Comment
                    • hockeynut
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-02-10
                      • 891

                      #11
                      Plays for 11/11/2010

                      Season 8-4-0 66%

                      (Remember picks in blue are regulation only, O.T/shootout not included.)

                      Team Picks

                      Predators +190
                      Canucks +125

                      Wild +110
                      Flyers +130

                      Team Totals

                      Ottawa vs Vancouver 5.5 -105
                      Dallas vs L.A 5.5 -120
                      T.B vs Washington 6.0 -110
                      Minnesota vs Atlanta 5.5 -110

                      Play of the day 1-1 50%

                      Vancouver +125



                      Some key notes for these matchups

                      Nashville vs St.Louis
                      • Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
                      • St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville


                      Carolina vs Philadelphia
                      • Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
                      • Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina


                      Minnesota vs Atlanta
                      • Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
                      • Atlanta is 2-6-1 SU in its last 9 games ,when playing Minnesota
                      • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games
                      • Minnesota 5-2 as a dog


                      Ottawa vs Vancouver
                      • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 6 games on the road
                      • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 8 games when playing Ottawa
                      • Vancouver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
                      • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Ottawa


                      Dallas vs L.A
                      • The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 13 games when playing Los Angeles


                      T.B vs Washington
                      • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Washington





                      Good luck tonight.
                      Comment
                      • eastvan09
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-30-09
                        • 1400

                        #12
                        BOL on the card man!
                        Comment
                        • hockeynut
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-02-10
                          • 891

                          #13
                          Well not a great night. Went 2-2 in team picks as well as 2-2 in Team totals. I will have to re-evaluate my selection for regulation only plays. the ML was already generous for the Preds and I got greedy and went for Regulation only. So instead of being up 5-3 on the night, it's a 4-4 night.

                          However I still did not lose on the night. 4-4 = a +$1.26. Not much. But it's better than being down.

                          My POD cashed in easily with the Canucks. That is now 2-1.

                          Team Picks

                          Preds L
                          Wild L
                          Flyers W
                          Canucks W

                          Team Totals

                          Ottawa vs Vancouver 5.5 -105 U L
                          Dallas vs L.A 5.5 -120 U W
                          T.B vs Washington 6.0 -110 U L
                          Minnesota vs Atlanta 5.5 -110 O W

                          Season record now at 12-8-0 60%
                          Comment
                          • eastvan09
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-30-09
                            • 1400

                            #14
                            Even days are annoying, i agree. I was 3-2 +1.55 units. Did get me into positive units for my official plays Damn 2 unit loss on the Sharks. I am going to try to pass on my marginal plays.
                            Comment
                            • hockeynut
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-02-10
                              • 891

                              #15
                              I usually try and go for the value plays. I look for the teams with value that I think can win as opposed to the bigger favorites. But I don't deal in units so I kind of have to look for those value plays. Until I get my BR higher my wagers will be small, and thus I need to look for those value lines.

                              It's annoying wagering in such small numbers, but hopefully I'll get my BR up to the point where I can deal with going even and still coming away with a nice chunk of change.
                              Comment
                              • hockeynut
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 11-02-10
                                • 891

                                #16
                                Plays for 11/12/2010

                                Picks in Blue are regulation only

                                Season 12-8-0 60% [Team Picks (7-5) [Team Totals (5-3)

                                Team Picks


                                Colorado +115
                                Florida -110
                                NJ -135


                                Team Totals

                                T.B vs Pittsburgh 6.0 +105
                                Colorado vs Columbus 5.5 -105
                                Edmonton vs NJ 5.5 +105

                                Play of the Day 2-1

                                Colorado +115

                                BOL today!
                                Comment
                                • hockeynut
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-02-10
                                  • 891

                                  #17
                                  Starting to roll. 4-1-1 on the night, and the POD cashes in again.

                                  2-0-1 in team totals, and 2-1-0 in team picks.

                                  Team Picks

                                  Colorado +115 W
                                  Florida -110 W
                                  NJ -135
                                  L

                                  Team Totals

                                  T.B vs Pittsburgh 6.0 +105 O P
                                  Colorado vs Columbus 5.5 -105 O W
                                  Edmonton vs NJ 5.5 +105 O W

                                  2010-2011 NHL Season 16-9-1 61%
                                  Team Picks 9-6-0
                                  Team Totals 7-3-1

                                  Play of the Day 3-1 (Won 3 straight)

                                  Looking forward to a busy day tomorrow.
                                  Comment
                                  • DennisGreen
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-27-08
                                    • 18369

                                    #18
                                    Nice job man. First time checking out this thread and impressed with your work so far
                                    Comment
                                    • eastvan09
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-30-09
                                      • 1400

                                      #19
                                      Excellent night man! I passed on hockey tonight and won a unit in CFB.
                                      Comment
                                      • hockeynut
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-02-10
                                        • 891

                                        #20
                                        Thanks guys! Good luck to you guys on the season. Hope to continue this hot streak. My goal is to finish the season at 55%.

                                        Right now though, I have to say I think I am going to stop with my nba bets. It seems like it keeps bringing me down. The NBA seems like crapshoot for me so far, and if it weren't for the nba I would be up, I'm actually down like $60 because of losing in there.

                                        I think I'm just going to stick with NHL picks from now on.
                                        Comment
                                        • eastvan09
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-30-09
                                          • 1400

                                          #21
                                          stick with what is working
                                          Comment
                                          • hockeynut
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-02-10
                                            • 891

                                            #22
                                            Plays for 11/13/2010

                                            Picks in blue regulation only

                                            Season 16-9-1
                                            team totals 7-3-1
                                            team picks 9-6-0

                                            Team Picks

                                            Pittsburgh +135
                                            Canadians +100
                                            Bruins -105

                                            Panthers +185
                                            Phoenix -110


                                            Team Totals

                                            Chicago vs Nashville 5.5 +110
                                            Pittsburgh vs Atlanta 6.0 -110
                                            Calgary vs SJ 5.5 +105

                                            Play of the Day 3-1

                                            Bruins -105

                                            Good luck tonight!
                                            Comment
                                            • FreddDS
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-29-10
                                              • 656

                                              #23
                                              Hard to tail you if your posting your picks 5 mins before games start. Just a suggestion.
                                              Comment
                                              • hockeynut
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-02-10
                                                • 891

                                                #24
                                                Yeah I was a little late with my picks the last few days. I'll try and get these up at least a few hours before game time.

                                                And it's not looking good so far today. Had to have a losing day some time.
                                                Comment
                                                • hockeynut
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 11-02-10
                                                  • 891

                                                  #25
                                                  Wow, after things didn't look so hot to start, I still end up with another great night. I went 5-2-1. 3-2 in team picks, and 2-0-1 in Team totals. My last 2 nights I have gone 4-0-2 in team totals. This brings my record to 21-11-2 65%

                                                  Team Picks

                                                  Pittsburgh +135 W
                                                  Canadians +100 W
                                                  Bruins -105 L
                                                  Panthers +185 L
                                                  Phoenix -110 W

                                                  Team Totals

                                                  Chicago vs Nashville 5.5 +110 O W
                                                  Pittsburgh vs Atlanta 6.0 -110 O P
                                                  Calgary vs SJ 5.5 +105 O W

                                                  Not sure if there will be any plays for me tomorrow, as most of my plays will come from the nfl.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • spbtpro1
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 10-03-09
                                                    • 82

                                                    #26
                                                    What was your W/L record last season on Hockey?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • hockeynut
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-02-10
                                                      • 891

                                                      #27
                                                      This is the first time I have actually kept track of it. I'm pretty new to the sportsbook scene. Only just joined up at the beginning of the month. I'm no capper, and don't pretend to be. Just a guy who has watched the game for a very long time. Like I said I don't run any type of system, I don't cap games. I make predictions based on my knowledge of the game, stats and trends available and just my gut instinct.

                                                      So, sorry I have no record to give you of last season.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • hockeynut
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 11-02-10
                                                        • 891

                                                        #28
                                                        Plays for 11/15/2010

                                                        (picks in blue are regulation only)

                                                        Team Picks

                                                        Rangers +145
                                                        Blues +100
                                                        Canucks +150
                                                        Sharks +125

                                                        Team Totals

                                                        L.A vs SJ 5.5 +120
                                                        Vancouver vs Buffalo 5.5 +100

                                                        Play of the day 3-2

                                                        Canucks +150

                                                        Good Luck!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • hockeynut
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-02-10
                                                          • 891

                                                          #29
                                                          A 3-3 night tonight. A small profit on the night.

                                                          Team Picks

                                                          Rangers +145 W
                                                          Blues +100 L
                                                          Canucks +150 L
                                                          Sharks +125 W

                                                          Team Totals

                                                          L.A vs SJ 5.5 +120 O W
                                                          Vancouver vs Buffalo 5.5 +100 U L

                                                          Play of the day loses to go 3-3.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • dugdogg
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-10-10
                                                            • 2708

                                                            #30
                                                            does bob have a thread as well?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • hockeynut
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 11-02-10
                                                              • 891

                                                              #31
                                                              Plays for 11/16/2010

                                                              (Blue=Regulation only)



                                                              Team Picks

                                                              Leafs +135
                                                              Flyers +100
                                                              Stars +105

                                                              Team Totals

                                                              Philadelphia vs Montreal 5.5 +115
                                                              Anaheim vs Dallas 5.5 +105

                                                              Good Luck tonight.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Jones10
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-24-08
                                                                • 2251

                                                                #32
                                                                Nice work been following you for a week or two now, keep it up...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • hockeynut
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-02-10
                                                                  • 891

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Thanks, man. Appreciate it.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • hockeynut
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-02-10
                                                                    • 891

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Another winning night tonight. 3-2 on the night.

                                                                    Team Picks

                                                                    Leafs +135 W I'm still amazed they won this.
                                                                    Flyers +100 L
                                                                    Stars +105 W

                                                                    Team Totals

                                                                    Philadelphia vs Montreal 5.5 +115 O L
                                                                    Anaheim vs Dallas 5.5 +105 U W

                                                                    Get ready for a busy night tomorrow.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • eastvan09
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-30-09
                                                                      • 1400

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I'm looking forward to tomorrow night
                                                                      Comment
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