NHL - Florida Panthers +145

[frizzelli]

Bax, deal i am trying to teach you here not bash your pick. lets say you book panthers at +145 and it closes at +155 you cant feel good about it

I think you are looking into too much into line movement in hockey. NBA and NFL I agree but Hockey a lot of dogs have won this year regardless of the line movement last week alone I nailed 5 +120 dogs in a row on the ice.

[jrk]

Starting new threads, not answering others plays in the service thread. Dude your an attention whore. Unreal

[xraygord]

how about just the over with both backups in net?

I wouldn't.

[Baxter Man13]

I think you are looking into too much into line movement in hockey. NBA and NFL I agree but Hockey a lot of dogs have won this year regardless of the line movement last week alone I nailed 5 +120 dogs in a row on the ice.

This is true, I only pointed out what happened the few hours ago, now it can go as high as it wants and it does not matter to me.
-160 for the Leafs, nah no thanks. They lost to the Islanders with Roloson in net and to the Rangers with Biron in net, all on Leafs home ice...-160 is a joke and a trap for vegas....enough said

[rfr3sh]

if it goes up to +200 your +145 bet is -ev I know line movement doesn't mean much in hockey but that's just basics

[Baxter Man13]

if it goes up to +200 your +145 bet is -ev I know line movement doesn't mean much in hockey but that's just basics

I never bet the game yet, I want it as high as I can get......

[rfr3sh]

sorry was under the assumption you bet it

[Baxter Man13]

sorry was under the assumption you bet it

[dcollins86]

if it goes up to +200 your +145 bet is -ev I know line movement doesn't mean much in hockey but that's just basics

rfr3sh, even if he did bet it early it doesn't make it -EV it just makes it less +EV. If he makes them +115 for example they are still +EV whether he bets them at +145 or +200. BUT THAT'S JUST BASICS!!!!!

[rfr3sh]

rfr3sh, even if he did bet it early it doesn't make it -EV it just makes it less +EV. If he makes them +115 for example they are still +EV whether he bets them at +145 or +200. BUT THAT'S JUST BASICS!!!!!

[alex81]

Good value on Florida... Leafs are falling back to reality lol

[rfr3sh]

if you bet +140 lines that close at +200 you will lose long term I can't believe yu just tried to tell me that's +ev

[Mr KLC]

I wasn't planning on watching this game before, but after all of this discussion, I guess I will be now. GO LEAFS!!

[Metalhead]

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[soni]

toronto absolutely not worth at -160

[rfr3sh]

dcollins you dumb fukk
please explain to me how betting a game at +125 is +EV IF THE LINE CLOSES AT +200
how dumb can you be

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

I like the Leafs in this one won't play the game though.

[rfr3sh]

Let me teach you something dcollins
your bet in this game is +EV if you beat the no-vig closer

closing lines are +148/-161 as per pinnacle

Panthers: 100/248 = 0.4322
Leafs = 161/(261) = 0.6169

0.4322+0.6169 = 1.0491

0.4322/1.0491 = 0.4120 = +142.72
0.6169/1.0491 = 0.5880 = -142.71

therefor if you bet panthers +143 or greater your bet is +EV
or leafs under 142 your bet is +EV

however if you bet Panthers at +120 IT IS NOT +EV it is -EV

so in this case as the OP stated if you bet panthers +145 or above you have a small edge

[Thr33stacksHS]

yeh and? What you do not think the crazy loud Leafs fans trying to scare him don't turn him on game wise?

Thats like Crosby coming into Philly, getting booed everytime he touches the puck and uses those boo's against them and scores 2 goals every time.

Hockey = Motivation and Emotion

So by this logic more away games should be won than home games in any given season. Run the numbers and you will find it is the exact opposite.

So maybe you could say this only applies to some players, my opinion....can't judge that off of 2 games in the last 9 years.

[Baxter Man13]

The Panthers are absolutely OUT PLAYING the Leafs....but losing 1-0...Panthers will cash in shortly

[Mr KLC]

The Panthers are absolutely OUT PLAYING the Leafs....but losing 1-0...Panthers will cash in shortly

They're having the same problem that has been plagueing them all year. They can't convert the power play. 4% is awful.

[Mr KLC]

Speaking of power plays, here's their third one. I hope its not the charm.

[Mr KLC]

Speaking of power plays, here's their third one. I hope its not the charm.

Damn!

[Baxter Man13]

1-1 End of the Second

[rfr3sh]

Bax do you understand what I was explainign above

[Baxter Man13]

Bax do you understand what I was explainign above

Kinda but it dont matter i got it at +150 and the Panthers are outplaying the $hit of the overrated Leafs

[rfr3sh]

so +150 is a +EV bet good job

[Baxter Man13]

so +150 is a +EV bet good job

What? I lay $500 down I take back in $750..how is it even?

[rfr3sh]

+EV is not even

it is expected value

[Baxter Man13]

+EV is not even

ok whatever just watch the game

[rfr3sh]

I am 2-1 leafs

[Baxter Man13]

What a bs goal wow...Clemmensen was interfered and the announcers even said it...wow

[Mr KLC]

What a bs goal wow...Clemmensen was interfered and the announcers even said it...wow

That was one hell of a pick! Give that guy an NBA contract!

[Baxter Man13]

How does a ref allow that he was standing right there!!??

[ChileCheese]

Thats because BACK UP goalies get no respect.
Thats what that is.
Clemmensen in net, not Vokoun.