Flyers will be a dog at home tonight by gametime.

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • lakerboy
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-02-09
    • 94379

    #1
    Flyers will be a dog at home tonight by gametime.
    All the money is pouring in on the Hawks right now and The Greek has already made the Hawks a favorite. The flyers have only been dogs at home 2 times this year. One time they beat the Hawks 3-2 as +110 dogs and they lost to the pens as +102 dogs early in the season. The line might be telling but im not buying the Flyers being a dog at home. A 9-1 home team a dog to a team they already beat 2 times at home. I think this is a classic case of books getting ready to bury Hawks bettors.
  • jaymac82980
    SBR MVP
    • 01-08-09
    • 3416

    #2
    or the books dont want to give away all their cash to hawks better
    Comment
    • shari91
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-23-10
      • 32661

      #3
      LB, you know this team inside out. If you tell me they're the play in this one, I'll do it because you know I don't have a clue.
      Comment
      • Jempa
        SBR High Roller
        • 01-21-10
        • 123

        #4
        When the books alter lines as heavily as they do in a situation like this, does not the sharp consider any outcome changes? I jumped on chicago at even money, thinking it will only go lower, therefor making it a real valuebet, no?
        Comment
        • Ralphie1412
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-29-08
          • 13963

          #5
          super cool shari
          "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
          Goat Milk
          Comment
          • shari91
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 02-23-10
            • 32661

            #6
            Originally posted by Ralphie1412
            super cool shari
            Super smart too. I made a promise a long time ago to someone to not bet the NHL and I've broken it in the past month. The least I can do is follow someone who has a friggin clue how to bet the sport because I sure as hell don't and I'm the first to admit it.
            Comment
            • bigsmitty
              SBR MVP
              • 04-12-10
              • 3026

              #7
              There were a couple of good writeups today on the game. If you take away the emotion I agree with some of the articles today giving favors to the home team. There is little to tell me that Pronger won't respond and that some subjective calls will go to Philly's side to account for the non-high-sticking call game 5. The stats are quite even overall and at this point I think Philly has demonstrated that they'll scrap to the end so double that effort at home. I'm going Philly tonight with Chi game 7 (barring injury, etc) Cheers
              Comment
              • jetsjets1028
                SBR MVP
                • 02-10-10
                • 1234

                #8
                i find that hard to beleive considering theyve won both games at home in series and in palyoffs theyre 9-1 at home only loss game 3 to my bruins so im sure that is deff false.
                Comment
                • Goat Milk
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 03-24-10
                  • 25850

                  #9
                  LB this had to be planned right from the beginning and I don't think it has anything to do with money coming in on the hawks. The Books are cooking something up right here and you're right that it is looking fishy for Hawks backers regardless of how the line is moving. This line appears as though its being deliberately moved for a reason.

                  You are the line movement expert so I will wait to see what you have to say before tongiht
                  Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                  Comment
                  • lakerboy
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-02-09
                    • 94379

                    #10
                    Originally posted by jaymac82980
                    or the books dont want to give away all their cash to hawks better

                    you could be right jay but i find it hard to believe that linemakers who installed the flyers at -130 to open were way off in the first place.

                    Originally posted by Goat Milk
                    LB this had to be planned right from the beginning and I don't think it has anything to do with money coming in on the hawks. The Books are cooking something up right here and you're right that it is looking fishy for Hawks backers regardless of how the line is moving. This line appears as though its being deliberately moved for a reason.

                    You are the line movement expert so I will wait to see what you have to say before tongiht
                    I agree with your analysis goat. to me it looks like a big time setup
                    Comment
                    • icecapper
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 09-29-09
                      • 788

                      #11
                      Exactly the reason to jump on Chicago right when the line opened.
                      Comment
                      • Ralphie1412
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-29-08
                        • 13963

                        #12
                        Originally posted by shari91
                        Super smart too. I made a promise a long time ago to someone to not bet the NHL and I've broken it in the past month. The least I can do is follow someone who has a friggin clue how to bet the sport because I sure as hell don't and I'm the first to admit it.
                        just messin with ya.......dont listen to LB hes a homer. LB BLACKHAWKS ARE TAKING YOUR FLYERS DOWN!
                        "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                        Goat Milk
                        Comment
                        • Goat Milk
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 03-24-10
                          • 25850

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Ralphie1412

                          just messin with ya.......dont listen to LB hes a homer. LB BLACKHAWKS ARE TAKING YOUR FLYERS DOWN!
                          Just like Boston gonna beat the Lakers in game 1 and game 3 and the series?

                          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                          Comment
                          • sportspicks31
                            Restricted User
                            • 06-09-10
                            • 4

                            #14
                            Flyers win tonight

                            Think about this...the Hawks have a new stadium and all these new fans, over 22,000 at each game..where did they all come from considering they only had about 17,000 each night before 2007....

                            they salute all these new fans after each game at center ice by raising their sticks, not many nhl teams do this...

                            They will want to win the cup at home for the new fans....

                            dont expect the hawks to win tonight based on this...other than what i have stated....philly fans will keep the flyers motivated tonight, and pronger especially what happened in game 5 with his performance
                            Comment
                            • rickbo528
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-22-08
                              • 1842

                              #15
                              I'd love to see the Blackhawks wrap this up tonite because anything can happen in a game 7. But the fact remains that Chicago hasn't won in Philly since 1996. That is a telling stat. No doubt Flyer fans will be pumped for this. The Flyers faced 4 straight elimination games with Boston so I don't think that scares them. Not sure how Chicago would be in a game 7 elimination game which is why I want so bad for them to win this tonight. The hell with winning it on home ice, just win it as soon as possible.
                              Comment
                              • sportspicks31
                                Restricted User
                                • 06-09-10
                                • 4

                                #16
                                Originally posted by rickbo528
                                I'd love to see the Blackhawks wrap this up tonite because anything can happen in a game 7. But the fact remains that Chicago hasn't won in Philly since 1996. That is a telling stat. No doubt Flyer fans will be pumped for this. The Flyers faced 4 straight elimination games with Boston so I don't think that scares them. Not sure how Chicago would be in a game 7 elimination game which is why I want so bad for them to win this tonight. The hell with winning it on home ice, just win it as soon as possible.
                                Tell that to the GM's...
                                Comment
                                • sharpmoney
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-17-10
                                  • 528

                                  #17
                                  Chicago hasn't played well in Philly over the years. 0-10 in the last 10 games in Philly. If the road team finally makes a breakthrough in the series tonight so be it. Small play on Philly tonight.
                                  sbr
                                  Comment
                                  • balman
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 10-29-09
                                    • 387

                                    #18
                                    well i swore of betting hockey to but DAM IT i dont bet MLB, no NBA tonight, World Cup is 2 days away
                                    so i'm having some fun flyers -1 and -1.5 at +205... guess a sucker born every minute...
                                    Comment
                                    • BroadStBullies
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 06-05-10
                                      • 23

                                      #19
                                      The less I have to put on Philly the better. They are my team. Chicago has a great shot at winning this game and I don't believe for one moment that they want to wait until game 7 to be in front of thier home crowd. However I also believe that Philly has an extremely good shot at winning tonight so game 7 could be unavoidable for Chicago. I know this seems that I am covering all the bases but everything must be considered. I don't see a blowout and think that OT is also extremely possible. Would I like to see my Flyers win by a blowout? Heck Yes. Both teams WILL play to a high standard in tonights game 6 and I feel that it will not be so much a case of one playing better than it will be a case of one team making mistake(s) that will cost them the game. I am rooting for my Flyers and hoping for game 7 on Friday night. I feel that the best wager on this game will be the over 5.5 goals.
                                      These are the lines at the book that I am currently using...
                                      CHI-115 PHI-105... CHI-1.5 at +250 PHI+1.5 at -300... Over 5.5 -135 Under 5.5 +115
                                      Regulation Time Lines... CHI and PHI -135... CHI-0.5 -135 PHI+0.5 -155 DRAW+290
                                      Period Lines... 1st period CHI-125 PHI-105 Over 1.5 -135 Under 1.5 +105... 2nd period CHI-105 PHI-125 Over 1.5 -175 Under 1.5 +145... 3rd period CHI-110 PHI-120... Over 1.5 -165 Under 1.5 +135

                                      When I average the period lines together I get...
                                      CHI-113.33 PHI-116.66 Over -158.33 Under +128.33

                                      Based on my nonsense I'll take Philly-105 and Over 5.5 at -135 as being the best value ESPECIALLY since Philly is playing at home.

                                      Just wanted to chime in... That's all. Let's Go Flyers!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                      Comment
                                      • Totolover1409
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 06-14-08
                                        • 1400

                                        #20
                                        Waiting for the call to pull the trigger
                                        Comment
                                        • rickie65
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-27-07
                                          • 2895

                                          #21
                                          I'm torn....do I root for my Hawks to wrap it up in Philly and get the CUP win right away, or root for game 7 after selling my game 7 tix for $2500 (which I have to return if there is no game 7). I could use the betting cash. sucks to kind of want your team to lose....but I actualy think Philly will come out real strong tonite
                                          Comment
                                          • jackny
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 02-24-10
                                            • 194

                                            #22
                                            Flyers...... easy money
                                            Comment
                                            • vitalogist
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-11-08
                                              • 2820

                                              #23
                                              Flyers for me too. GL all.
                                              Comment
                                              • Pick'nParlays
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-22-08
                                                • 3134

                                                #24
                                                Until I hear LB say its a play.....Im waiting
                                                Comment
                                                • t-wizzle
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 12-18-09
                                                  • 38099

                                                  #25
                                                  Taking the Flyers tonight
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Totolover1409
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-14-08
                                                    • 1400

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Pick'nParlays
                                                    Until I hear LB say its a play.....Im waiting

                                                    Agreed!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • CoZalon
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 03-17-10
                                                      • 340

                                                      #27
                                                      Epic. I was going to bet Flyers @ 1,6 (sorry, dont understand your -166 or +123 and so on) and know they tell me that the odds are 2 times the money i put in! Seems awesome. Until I lose :'(
                                                      Comment
                                                      • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-17-09
                                                        • 11939

                                                        #28
                                                        Hockey ends tonight. Hawks close it out on the road
                                                        Comment
                                                        • treece
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 11-28-07
                                                          • 6298

                                                          #29
                                                          The home team has won every game this series.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • CrimsonQueen
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-12-09
                                                            • 1068

                                                            #30
                                                            Have a future on the Flyers so I could bet against them... but I really think they are going to win tonight. Go Flyers!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Gman269
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 03-09-09
                                                              • 296

                                                              #31
                                                              Gotta go with the home team.
                                                              I'll be betting lightly with my Flyers.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Brocc
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-25-09
                                                                • 1660

                                                                #32
                                                                Flyers tonight, this goes 7
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JR007
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-21-10
                                                                  • 5279

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Goatie.....can't give you points for plays as I never know what they are... but your analysis sometimes is spot on.......and you are the biggest hoot in the thread.....5 points...... !!!!!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TobiasFunke
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-12-09
                                                                    • 1999

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Should be a great game, lots of money coming in on the hawks, apparently.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Totolover1409
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 06-14-08
                                                                      • 1400

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Starts in 15 mins...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...