Hawks / Flyers Game 3 Plays!

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  • Mr Windy City
    Restricted User
    • 12-27-09
    • 5018

    #1
    Hawks / Flyers Game 3 Plays!
    First the recap. Easy winner in Game 2 with the Under with a 2-1 Hawks victory! My NHL playoff record is 6-3-1 +4.8. I'am doing well just picking my spots and breaking down certain games. Leighton bounced back like I thought he would and Neimi was just a monster in Game 2. Hawks now up 2-0 and all the pressure is on the Flyers to win this game. They lose this one and it's GAME OVER. How about the shit talk and aggressiveness out there in this series? Shit is getting really heated out there. Flyers have had the definite advantage on the power play factor. There have been 7 penalties called on the Hawks compared to a meager 3 on the Flyers. Yet, they have not been able to do much with them only capitalizing twice so far and Hawks failing to score on all 3 of their power plays. DEFENSE is the name of the game for these two teams. Yes, at times they both can explode for goals, but I just do not see that happening tonight, just like in Game 2. This is a gonna be a hard fought, spit in your face and cuss out your mother type of game. I'm sure the place will be rocking and everyone will be decked out in orange. To be completely honest, I think this game is going into overtime or someone wins in the late minutes of the game. Both games have been so close, each one being decided by 1 goal. That happens again here tonight. Going a little off my usual betting patterns but I believe I have a good read on this game. Here's a couple things I found stat wise for this situation. On one day rest, the Flyers are scoring 2.60 goals and giving up an almost identical 2.56, pretty damn close statistical wise, kind of why I think this one comes down to the wire possibly even to ot. Also, Flyers are a dissmisal 0-12 coming off a loss where they scored only 1 goal or less. Whereas, the Hawks are an awesome 25-6 and 13-3 on the Road when allowing 1 goal in the previous game. This team just feeds off of good team play, and it seems Flyers can't seem to shake the bad games off. So what is my conclusion? This is gonna be a ****ing awesome game and I expect it to be 2-2 maybe even 1-1 and we actually get to see a 4th period of this great Stanley Cup. I like the Under AGAIN just like the night before and as bad as I want to see the Hawks just sweep 'em they might lose this one, but not by more than a goal. No way No how. Take it for whatever it's worth folks. Here are my Game 3 Stanley Cup plays. All played at the wonderful 5 Dimes Sportsbook. Cheers to everyone, even the Flyers fans, it has been one hell of a series so far!

    Chicago Blackhawks / Philadelphia Flyers Under 6 (-135)
    Risking 270 to Win 200

    Chicago Blackhawks +1 (-170)
    Risking 170 to Win 100


    {5} CHI/PHI Yes Overtime +313
    Risking 100 to Win 313
  • HedgeHog
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-11-07
    • 10128

    #2
    Excellent write-up. Many good points and stats. I like the Hawks too, but I think they'll have to beat Philly and the Refs tonight. Flyers will likely benefit from power play opps again.
    Comment
    • PuckCoach
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-28-10
      • 468

      #3
      I like the Under as well. I am laying off the +1 because of empty netters. I think Chicago wins again.
      Comment
      • adlai
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 03-11-10
        • 778

        #4
        under 5.5 is the only sensible play imo.
        Comment
        • babyanni
          SBR MVP
          • 09-23-09
          • 1780

          #5
          good luck i really like the under here
          Comment
          • alex81
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-18-09
            • 658

            #6
            I like the UNDER as well. However, I'm not to sure about Chicago +1 at -170. The thing with this bet is that the only way you win is if Chicago wins and you're paying -170 for this... I'd probably break it down a bit more and make 1/3 of that bet Chicago ML and the other 2/3 Chicago +1.
            Comment
            • 1800Gambler
              SBR High Roller
              • 07-27-09
              • 182

              #7
              What about the over under on missed high stick to the face calls by the refs, 2.5 ?
              Comment
              • xdmoney13x
                SBR Hustler
                • 05-16-10
                • 82

                #8
                i like the under here and i like the moneyline for Philly

                Can i have some points?
                Comment
                • TobiasFunke
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-12-09
                  • 1999

                  #9
                  Like the +1 play
                  Comment
                  • Mr Windy City
                    Restricted User
                    • 12-27-09
                    • 5018

                    #10
                    Originally posted by alex81
                    I like the UNDER as well. However, I'm not to sure about Chicago +1 at -170. The thing with this bet is that the only way you win is if Chicago wins and you're paying -170 for this... I'd probably break it down a bit more and make 1/3 of that bet Chicago ML and the other 2/3 Chicago +1.
                    Ok, yes, the only way I win this bet is if they win. BUT. The worst, I'm gonna do in my opinion is push. If they lose it will not be by more than 1 goal. Sure i could have taken the puck line at +1.5 -270 but no thanks not gonna do that. I have more riding on the under anyway so I will just be happy if that comes thru.

                    Thanks to everyone else, I appreciate your replies. good luck tonight!
                    Comment
                    • Soxsfan9
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-30-08
                      • 3705

                      #11
                      I agree here liking the under...
                      Comment
                      • Mr Windy City
                        Restricted User
                        • 12-27-09
                        • 5018

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Soxsfan9
                        I agree here liking the under...


                        Game time in 2 Hours!
                        Comment
                        • Mr Windy City
                          Restricted User
                          • 12-27-09
                          • 5018

                          #13
                          1-1-1 +.43 Strange night.

                          {5} CHI/PHI Yes Overtime +313
                          Risking 100 to Win 313


                          I called overtime though
                          Comment
                          • PuckCoach
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 01-28-10
                            • 468

                            #14
                            Great getback on the OT.
                            Comment
                            • teaserpleaser
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-14-08
                              • 26015

                              #15
                              nice over time call... sick
                              Comment
                              • Mr Windy City
                                Restricted User
                                • 12-27-09
                                • 5018

                                #16
                                Originally posted by PuckCoach
                                Great getback on the OT.
                                Originally posted by teaserpleaser
                                nice over time call... sick
                                Thanks fellas. Really disappointed in the outcome, looked like I had a shot at a 2-2 game but that 1 minute flurry by each team killed that. Knew it would be close though. Let's move on to Game 4 hopefully with a winner. My nhl playoff record now stands at 7-4-1 +5.23. Just finishing in the black is my goal
                                Comment
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