I will be taking the over in every WSH game these playoffs

[cruyff]

Only possible exceptions will be in the case of a major injury (either to a star player, or to me, since that might prevent me from making my picks)

[patswin]

not a bad strategy, just be careful if they hit 6.5 or 7

[Chase Blackbum]

yep, I like all overs as long as it stays at 6

[mrmarket]

Offering -100000 on WSH over 6.5

[tomcast]

Makes sense to me

[Jempa]

You should also check the Over 1.5 Goals (1st), as I know atleast DennisGreen has been harvesting this mine throughout the late season.

Hopefully it will hit around 0.650+ and be profitable throughout the playoffs!

[bruceBRUCEbruce]

it is the playoffs-games tend to be played much tighter than the regular season. careful...you won't see many 6-4 games in the postseason.

[cruyff]

Selection 1: NHL OT Included, Hockey
Montreal Canadiens/Washington Capitals 15-April-2010 4:05 PM PST
Total Points OVER 6 for Game +100
Risking 30.00 to Win 30.00 CAD

[mrmarket]

GL Cryuff I hope it hits for you.

[Stealinhome]

Hope this works, seems to me overs are tough in the playoffs, but if any one is going to do it, it's the Cap's.

[magynuck]

gl with that

[snipeshow23]

gl cryuff... gonna wait till game time to make this play, but i like the over as well... hopefully backstrom is a go for game 1.

[magynuck]

better number available now on over

[Nicky Santoro]

good luck

[jetsjets1028]

prob a pretty good idea for that

[Flight]

I will be first to say

not a good idea. Playoffs always tighten up. O/U for typical teams drops to 5. Caps will be getting 5.5 occasionally.

[magynuck]

yes different brand of hockey in playoffs

[magynuck]

game 2?

[cruyff]

Sorry group, I obviously left this thread for a couple of days. Before we get too far behind though I'll give an update to the experiment:

1-1 ($even) after last games 11 goal massacre, today's bet is:

Washington Capitals/Montreal Canadiens (O 6) for Game -104

31.20 TO WIN 30.00

[superjeff24]

I'm all in on Washington tonight. -165
3-0 halfway thru, lookin good

[OTL]

I'm all in on Washington tonight. -165
3-0 halfway thru, lookin good

Nice cash, I got on it in the 1st intermission. Montreal may not win another game in this series, the Caps have solved Halak and the rest of the Canadiens team just collapsed around him.

[cruyff]

1-1-1 ($even)

[magynuck]

even not a bad thing for most

[cruyff]

2-1-1 ($30)

a push becomes a nine goal game as soon as the net goes empty.. that's why I can't bet unders in playoffs!

[yisman]

2-1-1 ($30)

a push becomes a nine goal game as soon as the net goes empty.. that's why I can't bet unders in playoffs!

why playoffs specifically?

[cruyff]

Coaches become especially desperate for a long shot at a win and pull goalies earlier and more often.

[magynuck]

love unders in playoffs

[cruyff]

2-2-1

[magynuck]

still near even....good work

[superjeff24]

it is the playoffs-games tend to be played much tighter than the regular season. careful...you won't see many 6-4 games in the postseason.

3 of 5 Van/LA games 7 or more goals
2 of 6 SJ/COL
1 of 5 nash/chi
2 of 5 wash/mon
1 of 5 nh/phi
2 of 6 pho/det
1 of 5 bos/buf
4 of 6 between pit/ott

that's 16 of 42 games over 7. 1/3 of all nhl playoff games so far have been 7 goals or more. clearly betting over on every game isn't profitable, but it most certainly happens often in the playoffs

[magynuck]

16/42=often?

[cruyff]

Guys I'm picking a spot tonight and doubling to $60 tonight. I had 30 at -107 and just added another at -10 so all in all the play is

Over 6 betting $65.10 to win $60

2-2-1 (-$2)

[cruyff]

The brick wall has a crack -- after making 50+ saves Halak finally let's one in. 3-1. Let's see what happens.

[magynuck]

another under

[cruyff]

2-3-1 (-$67)


I do feel confident about tonight's over but I'll keep it at 30 -- no need to chase back to even, Caps won't be knocked out tonight

NHL OT Included, Hockey
Montreal Canadiens/Washington Capitals 28-April-2010 4:05 PM PST
Total Points OVER 6 for Game +105
Risking 30.00 to Win 31.50 CAD