Anyone have time to back track this method? Been working great lately.

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Nimo
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-22-10
    • 105

    #1
    Anyone have time to back track this method? Been working great lately.
    I don't have the time to back test this, but I think it would work really well. I will get to it when I can, but if anyone wants to try it please feel free. It's a combo of a few other systems from other people that I put together and applied to totals.


    Wait approximately 15 games per team played, compare the home/away over/under percentage for example in NHL today ( should work for MLB and NHL)

    New York rangers visitor under percentage is 70.3%, their over percentage is 29.7
    Tampa Bay Home under percentage is 59.5%, their over percentage is 40.5

    Add both under percentages and divide by 2, 70.3+59.5=129.8 divided by 2 = 64.9%
    Add both over percentages and divide by 2 , 29.7+40.5 = 70.2 divided by 2 = 35.1%

    To make a Euro line take 1 divided by the percentage to get a line , for under 1 divided by 0.649 = 1.54
    for over 1 divided by 0.351 = 2.85

    Book Line ( thegreek.com) had an under line of 1.77 and an over line of 2.10

    Take the book line minus the line you generated Under = 1.77-1.54 = +23, Over 2.10-2.85 = -75

    Add the numbers +23 plus -75 with a you get 98

    Do this for all games on the board and play the highest number. BTW this was a winner but the highest line for today is Calgary/Colorado Under with a number of 101. Looking good so far tied at zero in the 2nd period.

    Ideally a spreadsheet created to pull the daily numbers would be great, but I'm an excel noob, any programmers that would be able to come up with something, I would be willing to pay for your work. SBR points or cash via paypal.
  • Salmon Steak
    SBR MVP
    • 03-05-10
    • 2110

    #2
    I will give it a shot for baseball. There are many variables in mlb though so i guess we will see. check for results in the baseball thread.
    Comment
    • Nimo
      SBR High Roller
      • 01-22-10
      • 105

      #3
      Another winner. It's 6-1 for the top play since I started using this in NHL. I will post today's play once I've made the calculations.

      Salmon Steak, thanks for tracking the MLB.
      Comment
      • ejohnston76
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-02-10
        • 332

        #4
        Hey Nimo, what website are you getting home an away o/u winning percentages from?
        Comment
        • Nimo
          SBR High Roller
          • 01-22-10
          • 105

          #5
          I have been using vitabet.com, but their numbers are based on a 5.5 total, not a 5, 6 or 6.5. I use them for simplicity since they have the percentage already calculated and it saves me a step.
          Comment
          • Nimo
            SBR High Roller
            • 01-22-10
            • 105

            #6
            So far today the UNDER in the NY Rangers /Florida game is the highest number at 156 but still waiting for lines on 3 games.
            Comment
            • Salmon Steak
              SBR MVP
              • 03-05-10
              • 2110

              #7
              couldn't get vitabet.com to open... i will try tomorrow or do you know of another one.
              Comment
              • ejohnston76
                SBR Sharp
                • 01-02-10
                • 332

                #8
                Its actually vitibet.com salmon, i had the same problem.
                Comment
                • Nimo
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 01-22-10
                  • 105

                  #9
                  Sorry, yes it's vitibet, not vitabet, my bad.

                  Rangers/Florida Under 5 is the play of the day.
                  Comment
                  • newjerseydevils
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-11-08
                    • 3110

                    #10
                    thanx nimo....with a 6-1 record cant help but to trail this and see how it goes....good luck today and nice system
                    Comment
                    • ram1502
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-26-08
                      • 822

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Nimo
                      So far today the UNDER in the NY Rangers /Florida game is the highest number at 156 but still waiting for lines on 3 games.
                      5Dimes has this total at 4.5 with the juice on the over being -225. That is crazy. I have never seen a total below 5.
                      Comment
                      • Nimo
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 01-22-10
                        • 105

                        #12
                        I haven an account with Pinnacle, Greek and 5 dimes, for this method I have found the greek line the best to use.
                        Comment
                        • Nimo
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 01-22-10
                          • 105

                          #13
                          A push today at 5. 6-1-1 record so far. A push is better than a loss any day.
                          Comment
                          SBR Contests
                          Collapse
                          Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                          Collapse
                          Working...