detroit-nashville

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  • gohabsgo
    SBR MVP
    • 03-19-10
    • 1903

    #1
    detroit-nashville
    The play here is nashville, they are 23-13-2 at home, detroit is 16-13-8 away.
    Both teams have been running good lately.
    -111 on the ml for nashville on Matchbook. It's a no brainer, detroit can win course but numbers are for nashville

    just my 2 cents
  • mrg24
    SBR Sharp
    • 03-07-10
    • 307

    #2
    This game is a risk. Anything can happen in this game. Yes Nash is great @ home but remember Detroit is playing great hockey and plus detorit has a chance to come up from 8 to 5th and tie with nash if they beat nash, which obviously nash doesn't want that to happen but Detroit does. So yeah anything can happen.
    Comment
    • gohabsgo
      SBR MVP
      • 03-19-10
      • 1903

      #3
      There is risk for sure, but i think the play is +ev. Play the game 100 times and @home nashville will win 55% of the time or so, the odds do not take this into consideration. Line is at -111

      Here are the numbers for 55% win rate 100 games:
      assume 100$ bets.

      45 games @ 100$ lost = -4500

      100/1.11=90.09
      55 game @ 90.09$ won = +4955

      4955-4500= 455 profit
      Comment
      • Sawyer
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 06-01-09
        • 7761

        #4
        Very hard game. Red Wings are back and they're hot. Can't go against Predators at home either. GL mate!
        Comment
        • denn333
          SBR MVP
          • 09-16-05
          • 1191

          #5
          best to pass.
          Comment
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