BIG Hockey Pick

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  • #1 Capper
    Restricted User
    • 02-26-10
    • 3

    #1
    BIG Hockey Pick
    USA / FINLAND 3PM EST

    Did anyone really expect Finland to make it this far? Or are they truly the underdog throughout this whole tournament? Yes Finland has talent on the bench and in net and a pretty good stacked defense line up. They play a very conservative style type of game and wait for the opposing team to make a mistake and then they capitalize on that mistake and take full advantage. The net-minder Kiprusoff could easily be the only reason they are still alive in this tournament, and many wouldn’t disagree. But when facing a team like USA he needs to be 150% ready to play. You can’t take a team like the Czech Republic into factor, I mean, with the talent they had on the bench you expected them to destroy the Fins and that was not the case. Kiprusoff played average if you ask me and that is all he had to do against a poorly anticipated Czech team. I expect the Fins defense and goalie to come up very big in this game and could be the deciding factor on the outcome of the game.

    As for Team USA, what is there to say that you don’t know already? Young, fast, strong, motivated, heart, defense, and most of all goaltending. Let’s face the facts if it was not for Miller, Team USA would have been sent home games ago. They completely humiliated Brodeur and sent him to being the back up goaltender for Team Canada, but Brodeur was on a bad stretch before the Olympics started. As for the other goalies they have faced they were only averaging 2 goals per game after shooting the puck over 45 times on net.

    When looking at what the books are offering for this matchup, I can see them offering a PK game. This game could swing either way, it is going to come down to what goalie stands on his head better and gets the win. With that said we are going to take the safer bet and go with UNDER 4.5 or better. Anything lower than 4.5 is not a safe bet.

    UNDER 4.5 BIG
  • denn333
    SBR MVP
    • 09-16-05
    • 1191

    #2
    Tend to agree.
    Comment
    • Irish Lumberjack
      SBR MVP
      • 12-04-07
      • 2086

      #3
      Good luck with that. but i'm staying far away from that total
      Comment
      • swiss88
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 02-07-10
        • 906

        #4
        Nice write-up, I'm on the under too
        Comment
        • PuckCoach
          SBR Sharp
          • 01-28-10
          • 468

          #5
          The under is by no means a lock in this game. The IIHF does want any of the NHL players to get hurt so they are calling things close. The last 3 games will be seen by alot of viewers on tv and the product will be fast and more finesse. The teams have had time to gel, the international guys are now used to the smaller rinks. Plenty of snipers on both teams. I think the difference will be the blue-liners. USA D is better than Finland.

          3-2 USA
          Comment
          • gti175
            SBR MVP
            • 11-06-08
            • 1192

            #6
            this game is going to a shootout
            Comment
            • PorkChop
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-18-08
              • 8193

              #7
              USA and OVER>
              Comment
              • eMdOtkay
                SBR High Roller
                • 01-17-10
                • 112

                #8
                Originally posted by PorkChop
                USA and OVER>
                i agree.. specially if your book has 4.5... but these odds for usa to win -190!? terrible
                Comment
                • DennisGreen
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 11-27-08
                  • 18369

                  #9
                  I'd never bet an under 4.5 it's just way too low. 2-2 game and you lose unless your book is regulation only.
                  Comment
                  • jasonw
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 11-03-09
                    • 214

                    #10
                    usa wins 4-2, 4-1 or something...finland at +160 seems like good value though.
                    Comment
                    • eMdOtkay
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 01-17-10
                      • 112

                      #11
                      I really dont think the fins have a chance. But +160 is nice. The usa odds are just bad. Im not gunna lay nearly double to win half
                      Comment
                      • branch0095
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 12-03-09
                        • 247

                        #12
                        My book has 4.5 for the total but it is regulation only. I can get USA ML -180 with OT included but no total with OT. Im thinking about taking the U in regulation and USA ML with OT included..
                        Comment
                        • inflames
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 06-08-09
                          • 711

                          #13
                          Jeez, just turned the tv on and 4-0 already
                          Comment
                          • DennisGreen
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-27-08
                            • 18369

                            #14
                            R.I.P. well at least you don't have to sweat out the under late in the 3rd. In fairness no one saw this coming.
                            Comment
                            • ringemup
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-24-08
                              • 2112

                              #15
                              whoever took fin is sweatin cold rite now
                              Comment
                              • Jive
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-10-10
                                • 1405

                                #16
                                Definitely unexpected. I was thinking 3-1 or so. Never would have dreamed 6 first period goals.
                                Comment
                                • whatsgood5
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 10-13-09
                                  • 15359

                                  #17
                                  Yikes, tough loss here. Very hard to predict what happened..
                                  Comment
                                  • cecil127
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 11-19-09
                                    • 7310

                                    #18
                                    i think the G was underlined for a reason. Gone? thats a big ol "ouchy" there. my condolences.
                                    Comment
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