Betting and Chasing the BHF -1.5 puckline

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  • spankmythighs
    SBR MVP
    • 01-26-10
    • 2884

    #1
    Betting and Chasing the BHF -1.5 puckline
    I have been betting the puckline minus 1.5 pts everynight on the biggest home favorite. Doubling up and chasing when I lose. My record without chasing is 16-10 puckline on the BHF. Betting $100 a unit and doubling up the next night after a loss, I am +22 units for nearly $2300 profit. Last 2 have been losses so I will go 4 units on Washington to win 5.4 units. Later, and let the winners be ours.
    sbr
  • Josu
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-02-09
    • 842

    #2
    I've thought about this but never really looked into it. Remember someone doing something similar with MLB with a 6-game-progression chase system and it worked out without any losses, although they never started tracking until June. Are any of your losses on a team playing back-to-back? Or any of your wins?
    Comment
    • spankmythighs
      SBR MVP
      • 01-26-10
      • 2884

      #3
      Let me check into it. I'll get back to you. Unfortunately when I made my stats I did not include the name of the team that won. Might be a good idea.
      sbr
      Comment
      • Blargh
        SBR High Roller
        • 04-20-08
        • 241

        #4
        There's a thread about betting on the biggest dog on the +1.5PL. It went well Oct and Nov but started hitting less in Dec and was horrible in early Jan.
        I looked at the past two years and the +1.5PL seemed to do better in the first half than the second.
        So the -1.5PL started poorly, but has been very good of late. More research may be needed but the +1.5PL may be good to chase early in the season and the switch over to the -1.5PL in Dec or Jan.
        Comment
        • spankmythighs
          SBR MVP
          • 01-26-10
          • 2884

          #5
          I agree. Thats exactly what I did. BHF records for last 3 months: NOV 10-18, DEC 15-14, JAN 16-10. A few nights only had 1 game or none around xmas. BHD +1.5 points is very good all season but the payout is only 30 or 40 % usually. From Nov-Today BHD +1.5 is 64-19. Never more than 3 losses in a row, which happened once! So if you bet accordingly after a loss, you will do quite well over the season.
          sbr
          Comment
          • spankmythighs
            SBR MVP
            • 01-26-10
            • 2884

            #6
            If you have chased the BHF -1.5 for the last 2 months, you have cleaned up.
            sbr
            Comment
            • Josu
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 07-02-09
              • 842

              #7
              So win last night, Flyers -1,5 tonight.
              Comment
              • spankmythighs
                SBR MVP
                • 01-26-10
                • 2884

                #8
                Definitely. Flyers -1.5 over the Thrashers. Since I won last night, I will drop back to 1 unit ($100) for tonight. Will also chase the BHD and BAD in NBA.
                sbr
                Comment
                • Busterflywheel
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-13-09
                  • 3991

                  #9
                  THis system has proven to be unsuccessful over time but ride it while its hot..
                  Comment
                  • spankmythighs
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-26-10
                    • 2884

                    #10
                    This system works very well from season to season after christmas. Before xmas I would steer clear.
                    sbr
                    Comment
                    • spankmythighs
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-26-10
                      • 2884

                      #11
                      ...But by chasing, it has worked very well since early Dec.
                      sbr
                      Comment
                      • Josu
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 07-02-09
                        • 842

                        #12
                        Loss last night, Caps -1,5 tonight.
                        Comment
                        • Busterflywheel
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-13-09
                          • 3991

                          #13
                          To run it all season you will hit under 50% though..Maybe in streaks it's good..But everything about gambling is streaks...
                          Comment
                          • oiler
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 06-06-09
                            • 6585

                            #14
                            gl i also had the loser with u
                            Comment
                            • spankmythighs
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-26-10
                              • 2884

                              #15
                              You might hit 50% but if you chase and double up after a loss you'll make money. Lets go with the Caps tonight at 2 units, double the loss from last night. I like the NJ game aswell though. Maybe both. Or just stick to the system. Anyone have the average on the Caps for number of goals won by at home? GL
                              sbr
                              Comment
                              • spankmythighs
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-26-10
                                • 2884

                                #16
                                On second thought, forget I ever said anything about NJ. Steer clear!
                                sbr
                                Comment
                                • Busterflywheel
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-13-09
                                  • 3991

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by spankmythighs
                                  On second thought, forget I ever said anything about NJ. Steer clear!
                                  Good idea..lol
                                  Comment
                                  • Josu
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 07-02-09
                                    • 842

                                    #18
                                    Caps are on fire atm.

                                    Flames PL tonight. Should be interesting. Two teams on long losing streaks.
                                    Comment
                                    • spankmythighs
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-26-10
                                      • 2884

                                      #19
                                      I had San Jose as the BHF last night which came through -1.5 for another win. Should have taken Calgary aswell at -1.5. I watched the game last night and it was brutal! Tonight we have the Caps once again. They have been killer lately and bringin in good dollar. Unfortunately they are so good that the line is only +105 right now. Oh well, gl all. My NBA picks are doing excellent aswell picking BHD and BAD with the points. Check out my spreadsheet.
                                      sbr
                                      Comment
                                      • spankmythighs
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-26-10
                                        • 2884

                                        #20
                                        Lost with Wash last night. Gonna take Pitt tonight -1.5 and also like the Carolina game -1.5 over Edm. GL
                                        sbr
                                        Comment
                                        • spankmythighs
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-26-10
                                          • 2884

                                          #21
                                          Going with 4 units on San Jose -1.5 and 2 units on Wash -1.5. GL
                                          sbr
                                          Comment
                                          • spankmythighs
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-26-10
                                            • 2884

                                            #22
                                            Wash comes through but still cant hit BHF for -1.5. Gonna go 8 units or $800 on Chicago -1.5. Also like Phili to win -1.5 for 1 unit and Carolina +1.5 2 units to win 1.
                                            sbr
                                            Comment
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