I think I am done with Over/Unders!

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  • Rubicon
    SBR Rookie
    • 09-16-09
    • 34

    #1
    I think I am done with Over/Unders!
    Anyone else agree they are too unpredictable? I know its easy to say now after going 0 for 2 Tonight in O/U , and hitting both games that I laid chalk on. But it just seems to me that its a hell of a lot easier to pick a winner and lay some loot than pick the over unders. They seem like a crap shoot. Thoughts????
  • nextdurrrr63
    SBR High Roller
    • 04-05-09
    • 107

    #2
    I don't see any surprise tonight

    Rangers = Never bet Under

    Islanders
    = Never bet Over

    Wild = Never bet Over
    Comment
    • DennisGreen
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-27-08
      • 18369

      #3
      Sorry buddy I got mucked in the over/unders tonight. I find I usually get burned with ML bets because of all the juice. I find better value in over/under usually, but hey everyone has a different preference. Just stick to whatever you find suits your style the most
      Comment
      • Unitage
        SBR High Roller
        • 02-24-09
        • 218

        #4
        its always a crap shoot everything ends up very close to the 50% mark. over and under.
        Comment
        • jgilmartin
          SBR MVP
          • 03-31-09
          • 1119

          #5
          I bet way, way, more totals in NHL than I do ML, for the reason DG stated - it can be harder to find value on the ML with the juice you are paying at times.
          Comment
          • Hybris
            SBR MVP
            • 07-22-09
            • 1023

            #6
            Yeah I´m done with them now. Just going to play underrated underdogs...
            Comment
            • Kav
              SBR MVP
              • 02-25-09
              • 3281

              #7
              instead of laying juice on ML i usually just buy the -1 usually goes from for example -190 to -115 or some shit like that. anyhow yeah i hate o/u!
              Comment
              • Rubicon
                SBR Rookie
                • 09-16-09
                • 34

                #8
                Originally posted by DennisGreen
                Sorry buddy I got mucked in the over/unders tonight. I find I usually get burned with ML bets because of all the juice. I find better value in over/under usually, but hey everyone has a different preference. Just stick to whatever you find suits your style the most
                Hey DG, just to clarify, my post wasnt directed towards you, I actually played one of yours (NYI,MTL which i actually liked a lot, too) and the other one was the under in the ANA/TOR. I was a little boozed, too, when I posted. (Booze and betting are not a good combo) HA!

                Was just frustrated laying 350 on the Rangers/Canadiens ML and then to lose 120 on the O/U's that I played, Neither one seemed to have a chance.

                I will continue tailing you since I am definitely up more than I am down when doing so.

                Comment
                • jackpot269
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 09-24-07
                  • 12842

                  #9
                  I struggle on football O/U every time I bet 1 its the wrong Fricking side!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                  Comment
                  • suicidekings
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 03-23-09
                    • 9962

                    #10
                    Playing Totals is tricky because they're much less intuitive than sides, and they require a lot more homework / number crunching. With the game log data from NHL.com and a couple of hours in Excel, you can model the totals decently. Once you see all the teams' game totals compiled and compared under different criteria, you get a much better feel for which way to lean on each matchup. The simple O-U stats available on a lot of sites don't give you a complete picture.
                    Comment
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